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Course11010143842 lectures

Business Forecasting

Prof. Pankaj Dutta · IIT Bombay

Start with lecture 1 At NPTEL

Lectures

Week1

  1. Week 1: Lecture 1: Introduction to Business Forecasting Video
  2. Week 1: Lecture 2A: Data Driven Decision Making and Essentials of Predictive Analytics Video
  3. Week 1: Lecture 2B: Data Driven Decision Making and Essentials of Predictive Analytics Video
  4. Week 1: Lecture 3: Types of Forecasting: Qualitative Approaches and Quantitative Approaches Video

week-02

  1. Week 2: Lecture 4A: Components of a Time Series and Measures of Forecast Accuracy Video
  2. Week 2: Lecture 4B: Components of a Time Series and Measures of Forecast Accuracy Video
  3. Week 2: Lecture 5A: Moving Average Methods: Simple, Weighted, and Exponential Moving Average Video
  4. Week 2: Lecture 5B: Moving Average Methods: Simple, Weighted, and Exponential Moving Average Video

week-03

  1. Week 3: Lecture 6: Exponential Smoothing Video
  2. Week 3: Lecture 7: Trend Projections and Holt Model Video

week-04

  1. Week 4: Lecture 8A: Simple Linear Regression and Measure of Goodness & Standard Error Video
  2. Week 4: Lecture 8B: Simple Linear Regression and Measure of Goodness & Standard Error Video
  3. Week 4: Lecture 8C: Simple Linear Regression and Measure of Goodness & Standard Error Video
  4. Week 4: Lecture 9A: Multiple Linear Regression and Multicollinearity Video
  5. Week 4: Lecture 9B: Multiple Linear Regression and Multicollinearity Video
  6. Week 4: Lecture 9C: Multiple Linear Regression and Multicollinearity Video

week-05

  1. Week 5: Lecture 10A: Seasonality, Seasonal Index, and Quarterly Average Method Video
  2. Week 5: Lecture 10B: Seasonality, Seasonal Index, and Quarterly Average Method Video
  3. Week 5: Lecture 11A: Seasonality and Trend: Winter's Holt Method Video
  4. Week 5: Lecture 11B: Seasonality and Trend: Winter's Holt Method Video
  5. Week 5: Lecture 12: Multiplicative Decomposition Method Video

week-06

  1. Week 6: Lecture 13: Autocorrelation Function (ACF) & Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF) Video
  2. Week 6: Lecture 14A: ARIMA: Auto-Regressive (AR) Process Video
  3. Week 6: Lecture 14B: ARIMA: Moving Average (MA) Process Video
  4. Week 6: Lecture 14C: ARIMA: Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA) Process Video
  5. Week 6: Lecture 14D: Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model Video

week-07

  1. Week 7: Lecture 15A: Introduction to Machine Learning Video
  2. Week 7: Lecture 15B: Introduction to Machine Learning Video
  3. Week 7: Lecture 16A: Logistic Regression Video
  4. Week 7: Lecture 16B: Logistic Regression Video
  5. Week 7: Lecture 17: Human Judgment in Time Series Analysis Video

Excel Files

  1. Week 8: Lecture 18_A: Monte Carlo Simulation: Discrete Case Video
  2. Week 8: Lecture 18_B: Monte Carlo Simulation: Discrete Case Video
  3. Week 8: Lecture 18_C: Monte Carlo Simulation: Continuous case Video
  4. Week 8: Lecture 18_D: System Dynamics (Additional Learning) Video
  5. Week 8: Lecture 19_A: Predictive Analytics using @Risk Software Video
  6. Week 8: Lecture 19_B: Predictive Analytics using @Risk Software Video
  7. Week 8: Lecture 19_C: Predictive Analytics using @Risk Software Video

Live Session

  1. Live Session 05-03-2024 Video
  2. Live Session 08-04-2024 Video
  3. Live Session 28-03-2025 Video
  4. Live Session 23-04-2025 Video

Syllabus and materials

At NPTEL, as the course publishes them.

Credits and licence

Institution
IIT Bombay
Department
Management
Teacher
Prof. Pankaj Dutta
Level
Undergraduate
Language
English
Subjects
Business and management
Source
NPTEL
Licence
CC BY-NC-SA, as NPTEL states it. Non-commercial use only. NPTEL's terms
Attribution
NPTEL states: "Distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike / CC BY - NC - SA", beside a BY-NC-SA badge.
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