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Course12110149060 lectures

Risk-based Engineering

Prof. Prabhakar V Varde · Homi Bhabha National Institute

Start with lecture 1 At NPTEL

About

Considerations of risk reduction to minimum and acceptable level is integral to design, operations and regulation of complex engineering systems. Traditionally, risk and reliability aspects were addressed employing qualitative and experienced-based approaches that, at times, tends to be arbitrary as they were not based on quantitative metrics of risk and reliability.

This course on Risk-based engineering presents an integrated model where the deterministic and probabilistic approaches compliment and supplement each other towards providing a more holistic framework for safety assessment and management for complex engineering systems. Further, this framework extends the science of probabilistic risk assessment and reliability engineering to include the state-of-the-art in physics-of-failure, prognostics & health management, human reliability and uncertainty prediction to make this approach more rational based. This model is expected to address the requirement of real-time advanced engineering system, more effectively.

This course is based on a book entitled ‘Risk-based Engineering’ co-authored by Prabhakar V Varde and Michael Pecht, published by Springer in 2018. The main objective was to extend the current state-of-the art in risk-informed approach to risk-based engineering. Risk-based engineering is an applied subject that has been developed based on, over 20 years of experience in the area of risk and reliability and its applications to complex engineering systems. Risk-based engineering is an interdisciplinary subject and the lectures provides concepts, fundamentals, techniques, methods, and complex modelling requirements such that, risk and reliability targets can be achieved for engineering systems.

Intended audience: Ph. D. students and researchers in engineering sciencesDisclaimerThis course on Risk-based Engineering offered through the NPTEL platform, where the objective is to share the experience and expertise of the instructor with scholars, working…

Lectures

Week 1 : Risk Based Engineering (RBE)- Introduction

  1. Lecture 1 : RBE: Background and Overview YouTube
  2. Lecture 2 : RBE Framework YouTube
  3. Lecture 3 : RBE- Framework continuation and Major Procedural Elements YouTube
  4. Lecture 4 : RBE-Major Procedural Elements Continued…. YouTube
  5. Lecture 5 : Risk Characterization YouTube

Week 2 : Probabilistic Approach to Risk and Reliability

  1. Lecture 6 : Reliability Characterization and Probability Distributions - Discrete Distribution YouTube
  2. Lecture 7 : Probability Distributions - Continuous Distribution YouTube
  3. Lecture 8 : Statistical Estimation in Probability Theory YouTube
  4. Lecture 9 : Probability and Confidence Interval YouTube
  5. Lecture 10 : Regression Analysis YouTube

Week 3 : Life Prediction

  1. Lecture 11 : Life Prediction: Introduction YouTube
  2. Lecture 12 : Life Prediction – Related Aspects YouTube
  3. Lecture 13 : Life Prediction and Assessment Approaches YouTube
  4. Lecture 14 : Life Prediction : Accelerated Screening & Life Testing YouTube
  5. Lecture 15 : Probabilistic Fracture Mechanic Approach YouTube

Week 4 : System Reliability Modelling

  1. Lecture 16 : Introduction & Reliability Block Diagram (RBD) YouTube
  2. Lecture 17 : RBD - System Redundancies YouTube
  3. Lecture 18 : Fault Tree Analysis YouTube
  4. Lecture 19 : Fault Tree Analysis Conti… & Event Tree Analysis YouTube
  5. Lecture 20 : Markov Model YouTube

Week 5 : System Reliability Modelling: Advanced Topics

  1. Lecture 21 : Dynamic Fault Tree YouTube
  2. Lecture 22 : Dynamic Event Tree & Binary Decision Diagram YouTube
  3. Lecture 23 : Common Cause Failure YouTube
  4. Lecture 24 : Importance & Sensitivity Analysis YouTube
  5. Lecture 25 : Maintainability YouTube

Week 6 : Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA)- Part A

  1. Lecture 26 : PRA-Introduction YouTube
  2. Lecture 27 : PRA-Organizational and Quality Aspects YouTube
  3. Lecture 28 : PRA-Qualitative Modeling & Analysis YouTube
  4. Lecture 29 : PRA-Quantification of the PRA model YouTube
  5. Lecture 30 : Monte Carlo Simulation, Root Cause Analysis YouTube

Week 7 : Probabilistic Risk Assessment- Part B

  1. Lecture 31 : Low Power & Shutdown PRA YouTube
  2. Lecture 32 : Internal Flood PRA YouTube
  3. Lecture 33 : Level 1 Fire PRA YouTube
  4. Lecture 34 : Seismic PRA YouTube
  5. Lecture 35 : Level 2 and Level 3 PRA YouTube

Week 8 : Human-Reliability

  1. Lecture 36 : Human Reliability- Introduction YouTube
  2. Lecture 37 : State of the Art in Human-Reliability YouTube
  3. Lecture 38 : Technique for Human Error Rate Prediction (THERP) YouTube
  4. Lecture 39 : Human Cognitive Reliability (HCR) Method YouTube
  5. Lecture 40 : CQB - Method Consciousness, Cognition, Conscience and Brain YouTube

Week 9 : Uncertainty

  1. Lecture 41 : Uncertainty - Introduction YouTube
  2. Lecture 42 : Uncertainty – Overview, preliminary discussions considering selected approaches YouTube
  3. Lecture 43 : Parametric Approach to Uncertainty YouTube
  4. Lecture 44 : Uncertainty Modelling using Fuzzy Approach in RBE YouTube
  5. Lecture 45 : Uncertainty – Bayesian, and Monte-Carlo technique YouTube

Week 10 : Physics-of-Failure (PoF)

  1. Lecture 46 : Scope of Course and Introduction YouTube
  2. Lecture 47 : PoF and FMMECA YouTube
  3. Lecture 48 : Failure Mechanism and Models YouTube
  4. Lecture 49 : Virtual Qualification YouTube
  5. Lecture 50 : Physical qualification and Prognostics YouTube

Week 11 : Prognostics & Health Management (PHM)

  1. Lecture 51 : PHM Introduction YouTube
  2. Lecture 52 : Prognostics & Health Management in RBE YouTube
  3. Lecture 53 : Major AI & ML Techniques and Algorithms in PHM YouTube
  4. Lecture 54 : Role of ANN technique in RUL Estimation YouTube
  5. Lecture 55 : Uncertanity Management in PHM YouTube

Week 12 : Risk Based Engineering (RBE) Applications

  1. Lecture 56 : RBE-Introduction YouTube
  2. Lecture 57 : RBE for Life Extension in support of regulatory relicensing YouTube
  3. Lecture 58 : RBE-Risk Monitor YouTube
  4. Lecture 59 : RBE-Inservice-Inspection YouTube
  5. Lecture 60 : RB Operator Support System YouTube

Syllabus and materials

At NPTEL, as the course publishes them.

Credits and licence

Institution
Homi Bhabha National Institute
Department
Multidisciplinary
Teacher
Prof. Prabhakar V Varde
Level
Graduate
Language
English
Subjects
Engineering
Source
NPTEL
Licence
CC BY-NC-SA, as NPTEL states it. Non-commercial use only. NPTEL's terms
Attribution
NPTEL states: "Distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike / CC BY - NC - SA", beside a BY-NC-SA badge. Coordinated by IIT Bombay.
Who can watch
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