Patrick Boyle On Finance
Patrick Boyle
300 episodes
This podcast is all about quantitative finance and financial history. Subscribe to hear about financial markets, derivatives, and how investors use quantitative tools from statistics and corporate finance theory. Included are interviews with some of the most interesting thinkers in finance. Occasional longer form financial documentaries, open up fascinating elements of financial markets history. Patrick Boyle is a quantitative hedge fund manager, a university professor, and a former investment banker. To contact Patrick visit http://onfinance.org Find Patrick on YouTube at: https://www.youtube.com/c/PatrickBoyleOnFinance DISCLAIMER:This podcast is not affiliated with any financial institution. The information provided is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Those seeking investment advice should seek out a registered professional in their home jurisdiction and confirm their credentials on your national regulator's website. Patrick Boyle is not responsible for any investment actions taken by viewers and his content should not be used as a basis for investment or other financial decisions.
Episodes page 2 of 6
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Does OpenAI expect a Government Bailout?
OpenAI has signed $1.4 trillion in infrastructure commitments, but how do they plan to pay for it? Are government subsidies and taxpayer-backed guarantees the next step? In this video, we dive into the financing…
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Trump’s 50-Year Mortgage Plan: What You MUST Know!
Is Trump’s 50-Year Mortgage Plan the answer to America’s housing affordability crisis—or a financial trap? In this video, we break down the economics, politics, and history behind ultra-long mortgages.You’ll learn:*…
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Elon Musk's Anti Woke Encyclopedia
Elon Musk says his new online encyclopedia Grokipedia will fix Wikipedia’s flaws by replacing human editors with AI. But can a chatbot really deliver “the whole truth and nothing but the truth” as he says? In this…
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China’s Rare Earth Chokehold!
In this video, we explore how China’s dominance in rare earth elements has become a powerful geopolitical tool—and why the United States is struggling to catch up. From the Mountain Pass mine in California to Apple’s…
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Is AI’s Circular Financing Inflating a Bubble?
The AI boom isn’t just about algorithms — it’s about money, power, and a race to build infrastructure on a scale we’ve never seen before. In this weeks podcast, we break down the circular deals between OpenAI, Nvidia,…
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Private Equity’s Quiet Crisis!
Private equity has long promised smooth returns, operational excellence, and sophisticated diversification. But behind the pitch decks and performance charts lies a growing crisis. In this video, we explore:🔹 Why…
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The Chainsaw Stalls: Can Milei Cut Through Argentina’s Currency Collapse?
Argentina’s economy is in crisis—again. President Javier Milei’s reforms slashed inflation and balanced the budget, but now the peso is under siege. In this video, we unpack the $20 billion U.S. bailout, the…
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AAA Rated Junk: What Tricolor and First Brands Reveal About Credit Markets!
Two companies collapsed last month. One sold used cars, the other distributed brake pads and spark plugs. Both issued debt rated AAA. Now their bonds are trading at cents on the dollar—and Wall Street is pretending not…
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The End of Legal Immigration?
Is America Closing the Door on Global Talent?Donald Trump’s new $100,000 fee on H-1B visa applications has sent shockwaves through the tech industry, universities, and foreign governments. In this video, we unpack the…
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Are the Rich Really Leaving Britain?
Are Britain’s millionaires really fleeing the country—or is the “exodus” just a statistical mirage?This video digs into the numbers behind the headlines, from the much-quoted Henley & Partners migration report to the…
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The Book That Wasn’t Supposed to Exist - Epstein's Birthday Book Released!
In 2003, Ghislaine Maxwell compiled a 238-page leather-bound book for Jeffrey Epstein — filled with letters, sketches, poems, and photos from billionaires, politicians, scientists, and celebrities. This book was never…
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New Meme Stocks Just Dropped!
This summer, a new trend hit Wall Street: Chinese meme stocks. Promoted in WhatsApp groups, Reddit threads, and even under fake YouTube comments, a group of obscure Chinese companies soared — and then collapsed —…
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Is AI Slop Killing the Internet?
AI chatbots are replacing search engines—and in the process, they’re gutting the economics of journalism, reviews, and the open internet. In this video, we explore how tools like ChatGPT, Claude, and Google’s AI…
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The Mortgage Divide: Why America’s Housing Market Is Splitting in Two!
Why are some homeowners thriving while others are struggling to keep up? In this video, we explore how America’s housing market has fractured—creating a sharp divide between those who locked in low mortgage rates and…
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15% to the Treasury: Trump’s Nvidia Export Kickback!
In weeks podcast, we unpack Donald Trump’s controversial deal with Nvidia and AMD — a 15% revenue-sharing arrangement that allows U.S. AI chips to be exported to China. Is this a clever geopolitical strategy or a…
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Sales Down, Pay Up: Inside Tesla’s Strange New Reality!
Tesla’s sales are falling across the globe—from the UK to China to California. So why did the board just hand Elon Musk a $29 billion pay package? In this video, we break down the contradictions at the heart of Tesla’s…
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Is the Global Trading System Breaking Down?
In this weeks podcast, we examine the implications of Trump’s latest trade deals —from the one-sided EU deal to politically charged moves against Brazil. Are the deals being structured to exclude China from global…
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Epstein - Follow The Money!
Jeffrey Epstein was a college dropout with no formal financial training who amassed a fortune worth hundreds of millions of dollars and mingled with presidents and billionaires. Drawing on court records and media…
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The Mirage of Megaprojects: Why the West Keeps Getting Infrastructure Wrong
Britain once built world-class infrastructure with speed and purpose—now it plans ideas like a £24 billion extension cords to Morocco that are unlikely to ever work. This video dives into the rise and fall of the…
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How Jane Street Made $4.3 Billion in India—Then Got Banned!
Jane Street, a prominent quantitative trading firm, has been at the center of controversy in India regarding its options trading activities. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), have accused Jane Street…
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Bitcoin on the Balance Sheet: Why Companies Are Turning to Crypto as a Treasury Strategy
As Bitcoin surges into the financial mainstream, a growing number of companies — from obscure microcaps to global tech giants — are transforming themselves into crypto-holding entities. This video explores the rise of…
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How Big Tech Is Quietly Taking Over AI (Without Mergers)
In the race to dominate generative AI, Big Tech firms haven’t just been building, they’ve been buying. But there’s something strange about most of the deals that they have struck. Companies like Meta, Microsoft,…
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Trader Rates Biggest Wall Street Films
Patrick Boyle, a former Wall Street trader, rates the biggest finance movies like "The Wolf of Wall Street," "The Big Short," "Rogue Trader" and "American Psycho" for realism.Patrick's Books: Statistics For The…
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America’s Tax on Foreign Investors - Section 899
As the Senate decides on Donald Trump’s One Big Beautiful Budget, a lesser-known provision tucked into the House-approved bill has drawn attention from Wall Street.The measure, known as Section 899, would allow the…
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The Trump Musk Blowup!
Donald Trump and Elon Musk have been locked in a public fight after Musk spent days bashing Trump's "big, beautiful bill" — a multi-trillion dollar budget key to unlocking the president's agenda currently being voted…
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Art Market Collapse?
Why did the star lot of the spring season, a bronze head by the master sculptor Alberto Giacometti, fail to sell at Sotheby’s?Alberto Giacometti’s 1955 bust, “Grande tête mince" (“Big Thin Head”), carried a pre-sale…
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The Alarming Rise in Global Debt!
Developed economies around the world have been growing their debts over the last twenty-five years. This was less of a problem when interest rates were close to zero but in the era of trade wars, lower credit ratings…
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Can Trump Cut Prescription Prices?
Donald Trump has promised to slash the US’s high prescription medication prices by as much as 80 per cent with an executive order that seeks to force other countries to pay more for their medicines.“Americans will no…
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The Biggest Wealth Transfer In History is Happening Right Now!
This week, let's talk about the great wealth transfer, what this means for the economy, and why millennials are expected to become the wealthiest generation in history. Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading…
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Why Is Russia's Economy Growing?
Since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, its economy has surpassed most expectations. Last year, Russia’s economy grew more than the United States and Europe and on top of that Russian unemployment is at a record low.…
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America's Shopping Addiction!
For decades, the American consumer has powered not just the world's biggest economy but the entire global economy. According to the World Bank – Americans make up around one third of global consumer spending but are…
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Is China Dumping the Dollar? - And is Ray Dalio Right about Reserve Currencies?
In the wake of Trump's liberation day tariffs, stocks, bonds and the US dollar collapsed all at once as investors started dumping American assets. Some commentators argued that China might be behind the selling to put…
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Panic In the Car Market - Americans Rush to Beat Tariffs!
Americans have ben rushing to buy new cars as President Trump’s 25% tariffs on imported cars and car parts remains in effect despite the deferral of other country-based taxes that were announced last week. Analysts are…
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How Trump’s Tariffs Will Transform Global Trade?
President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on April second were more severe than the market expected. On top of a 10 per cent universal minimum tariff, the new regime includes significantly higher tariffs for…
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Is Elon Musk's Business Empire Collapsing?
Elon Musk once described competition for his businesses as non-existent, but today the two businesses that underpin his corporate empire - Tesla and SpaceX, are facing more and more competition. In todays video we…
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Why Are Birthrates Plummeting Worldwide?
Birth rates are plummeting worldwide – and while this might seem like nothing new – as it has been the case in developed countries for quite some time. The thing that is interesting is that we are seeing declining…
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Saudi Arabia's Megaproject Disaster!
Saudi Arabia's Neom megaprojects are running into major financial problems according to The Wall Street Journal.After more than $50 billion dollars has been spent the fantasy city has collided with reality.Costs have…
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Germany's Historic Debt Deal!
European markets rallied sharply this week as German borrowing costs soared after the country’s new leaders announced a historic deal to loosen its “debt brake” rule to boost spending on defense.The interest rate on…
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Why Are Politicians So Old?
The average American is 39 years old - which is half the age of the sitting president - Donald Trump. When Ronald Reagan was inaugurated at 69 years old, he became the oldest person to have ever served as president.…
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Argentina's Memecoin Disaster
Argentina’s president Javier Milei has been rocked by a scandal over his promotion of a memecoin called $LIBRA which soared in value before collapsing last week, triggering lawsuits and calls for impeachment.Buyers of…
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The Dumbest Megaprojects!
From skyscrapers in the middle of nowhere, to man-made islands that are sinking into the sea. And from abandoned buildings to foolish transportation infrastructure - let's look at the world's most useless…
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Trump’s Tariff Wars - What Happens Next?
Last weekend Donald Trump announced 25 per cent tariffs on most imports from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10 per cent levy on imports from China. Canadian oil was hit at a lower rate of 10 per cent. The duties…
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DeepSeek - How a Chinese AI Startup Shook Silicon Valley
On Monday, over a trillion dollars was wiped off the US stock market due to the appearance of a Chinese artificial intelligence start-up DeepSeek. The release of a new reasoning model, known as R1, led investors to…
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The South Sea Bubble
1720 was a year of two bubbles and a plague - The Mississippi Company in France –and the South Sea Bubble in England were the first large scale financial bubbles on record. In September 1720 - when the bubbles burst,…
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The Economic Toll of The Los Angeles Wildfires
The Los Angeles wildfires have destroyed more than 12,000 structures and at least 24 people have died with more unaccounted for as multiple wildfires, fueled by severe drought conditions and strong winds, continue to…
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How Would Mass Deportations Affect the US Economy?
Donald Trump has promised to conduct “the largest deportation effort in American history,” no matter what it costs—but the price tag may be bigger than expected. In today's video we look at a history of US border…
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Is Electrification Killing the Auto Industry?
For years, the auto industry has been hyping the transition to electric vehicles with optimistic sales forecasts for electric models and huge growth projections. Investors pumped up valuations for automakers, based on…
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2024 - The Financial Year in Review
Here's a look back on some of the most impactful events in markets during 2024. Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF…
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Swamped by Rules! - Which Ones Should Go?
There is a long history of regulation and deregulation where big scandals provide the catalyst for new rules, and then the realization that the rules are possibly excessive has caused them to be rolled back. In finance…
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Javier Milei One Year In!
Javier Milei has been in office for one year having taken over an economy on the brink of collapse. Milei managed to cut the monthly inflation rate from 26 per cent before he took office to 2.7 per cent in October. The…
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