Podcasts · Wall Street Wildlife Investing Podcast
We Got Lied To By $EOSE Here's What We're Doing About It. +$ODD + $MELI (E122)
· 1 h 15 min · Episode 122
Episode We Got Lied To By $EOSE Here's What We're Doing About It. +$ODD + $MELI (E122)
The Good, The Bad & The Ugly — EOS Energy misses massively, Oddity Tech loses 49% in a day, and Mercado Libre goes nowhere for five years. We dig into three portfolio battle scars and what every investor can learn from them. Plus: WSW hits #19 on Pod Ranker's Top 25 investing podcasts, and an Alex Honnold-inspired lesson on managing fear as an investor.
📉 The Good, The Bad & The Ugly — EOS Energy misses massively, Oddity Tech loses 49% in a day, and Mercado Libre goes nowhere for five years. Luke and Krzysztof dig into three portfolio battle scars and what every investor can learn from them.
💥 EOS Energy: Betrayal or Gray Area? — Monkey breaks down the emotional rollercoaster after EOS missed guidance by 30-40%, supply failures, yield problems, and insider selling. Was this management fraud, or an ethical gray area? Should you stay or sell?
📊 Mercado Libre: 5 Years, Zero Gains — MELI has delivered great fundamentals — revenue up 400%+ — but the stock price is down ~6% over five years. Luke defends the long-term thesis while Krzysztof challenges whether "feeling good" about a company is enough when the price says otherwise.
💄 Oddity Tech: Black Swan or Fat Pitch? — A Meta algorithm shift wrecked Oddity's customer acquisition model overnight, sending the stock down nearly 70% from its highs. Krzysztof makes the case that a company trading near its cash balance, with 25% revenue growth and 70% repeat customers, might be a rare, asymmetric opportunity.
🧠 Managing Fear Like a Free Climber — a powerful insight from Alex Honnold's interview on Diary of a CEO: the goal isn't to eliminate fear — it's to develop a relationship with it so you can act rationally when it creeps in. A must-listen for any investor navigating volatility.
⚖️ Portfolio Allocation: The Bear Trap You Set for Yourself — Luke delivers some tough love: if a single stock's earnings can leave you emotionally wrecked, your allocation is too high. Hard limits, tax tail, and house money fallacies all get unpacked.
🏆 We Made the Top 25! — Wall Street Wildlife lands at #19 on Pod Ranker's list of the best investing podcasts in the world, alongside We Study Billionaires, Motley Fool Money, and Invest Like the Best. The jungle is growing.
Segments:
00:00 Cold Open — The Bear Trap
00:49 Welcome & Episode Overview
03:06 The Good: Top 25 Investing Podcast
07:16 EOS Energy: Setting the Scene
10:32 The Miss — Guidance vs. Reality
13:27 Supply Failures, Yield Issues & Insider Selling
17:00 Lie by Omission? The PayPal Analogy
20:05 Should You Sell If You Distrust Management?
27:29 Luke's Psychiatrist Moment: Portfolio Allocation
33:20 Mercado Libre: 5 Years, No Returns
36:26 The Fundamentals vs. Price Action Debate
40:05 Squeezing Luke's Shoes
46:41 Oddity Tech: Record Results Meet Technical Storm
50:00 Meta's Algorithm Dislocation Explained
54:17 Is Oddity a Fat Pitch or a Black Box?
57:21 Warren Buffett on Fear & Cheap Stocks
01:04:00 Patreon Update
01:04:55 King of the Jungle Portfolio — The Ugly Chart
01:07:40 Climbing Without Fear: Alex Honnold & Investing Psychology
01:11:39 Wrapping Up — Three Investing Ideas: EOSE, ODD, MELI
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Disclosure: Wall Street Wildlife hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation
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