Compare Shuffle Methods for Bias

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    From Wikibooks, under CC BY-SA 4.0, as the source states it. This page at Wikibooks.

    Compare Shuffle Methods for Bias

    Summary

    This VBA code module shows how bias can affect a shuffle algorithm, even when a random generator is used. The module is intended for MS Excel and prints two statistics panels on the worksheet to show how the selected methods differ. The good version is the Knuth shuffle algorithm, and the other is one that makes methodical swaps, sometimes multiple swaps, throughout the length of the array.

    Notes on the code

    • Copy the entire code listing into an Excel Standard module, save it, then run the top procedure.
    • The shuffle algorithms run for many cycles, (user set), and the bin count of discrete outcomes is presented in statistics. Notice that a very small number of elements, (3 or 4), has been used to keep the display and run time manageable. It may be of interest to know that the number of discrete outcome combinations is equal to the factorial of the number of elements. That is; using just six elements, say A,B,C,D,E,and F, would result in 6! = 120 discrete combinations, and a corresponding increase in the time to run.
    • In particular, it should be noted that a small coefficient of variation (CV) denotes a method that is close to random whereas one with a higher CV shows that there is bias in the method.
    • The method that uses multiple swaps is biased, whereas the Knuth method is not.

    VBA Code Module

    Option Explicit
    Option Base 1
    
    Private Sub RunShuffleBiasDemo()
        'Run this to compare the bias for shuffling
        'character arrays using two methods.
        'Note large sets are too time consuming,
        'since there are n! combinations.
        'THIS SUB CLEARS AND WRITES TO SHEET1
        
        Dim vArr As Variant, vRet As Variant
        Dim nT As Long, bOK As Boolean, vT As Variant
        Dim nCycles As Long, n As Long, sT As String
        
        'load a typical 1D data array with test data
        '3 elements makes 3! = 6 bins
        '4 elements needs 4! = 24 bins etc.
        vArr = Array("A", "B", "C")
        
        'set number of cycles for test
        'Typical time to complete 3 element test:
        '25 secs for 100000 cycles
        '225 secs for 1000000 cycles
        nCycles = 100000
        
            
        'dimension the collection array
        ReDim vT(1 To nCycles)
            
        'clear the worksheet
        ClearWorksheet "Sheet1", 3 'contents and formats
            
        'runs number of shuffle samples
        For n = 1 To nCycles
            'give way to commands-eg; break
            DoEvents
            
            'pass array to a random shuffling proc
            bOK = KnuthArrShuffle(vArr, vRet)
                    
            'make a single string from array elements
            sT = Arr1DToStr(vRet)
            
            'save shuffle instance in an array
            vT(n) = sT
        Next n
           
        'pass array to the proc with label for the display
        CountUniqueArrayValues2 vT, 2, 2, "Test Set: Rnd Knuth"
        
        'run a number of shuffle samples
        For n = 1 To nCycles
            'give way to commands-eg; break
            DoEvents
            
            'pass array to a random shuffling proc
            bOK = BiasedMultiSwapArrShuffle(vArr, vRet)
            
            'make a single string from array elements
            sT = Arr1DToStr(vRet)
            
            'save shuffle instance in an array
            vT(n) = sT
        Next n
           
        'pass array to the proc with label for the display
        CountUniqueArrayValues2 vT, 2, 7, "Test Set: Rnd Biased?"
    
        'report end
        MsgBox "Display done."
    
    End Sub
    
    Private Sub CountUniqueArrayValues2(vI As Variant, Optional nRow As Long = 1, _
                                       Optional nCol As Long = 1, Optional sLabel As String = "")
        'Counts instances of data number values in vI. Generates various stats
        'for the bin quantities.
        'THIS SUB CLEARS AND WRITES TO SHEET1
        
        Dim vRV As Variant, vRQ As Variant, vDS As Variant
        Dim LB As Long, UB As Long, vDB As Variant
        Dim n As Long, bOK As Boolean
        
        'make bins and count contents
        bOK = DiscreteItemsCount(vI, vRV, vRQ)
        
        LB = LBound(vRV, 1): UB = UBound(vRV, 1)
        ReDim vDS(1 To 12, 1 To 3)
        ReDim vDB(LB To UB + 2, 1 To 3)
        
        If bOK Then 'load bins and stats arrays
            vDB(1, 1) = sLabel: vDB(1, 2) = "Value": vDB(1, 3) = "Quantity"
            For n = LB To UB
                 DoEvents
                 vDB(n + 2, 1) = "Bin # " & n 'headings
                 vDB(n + 2, 2) = vRV(n)       'value
                 vDB(n + 2, 3) = vRQ(n)       'quantity
            Next n
            
            On Error Resume Next 'avoids Mode() error when no value stands out
            With Application.WorksheetFunction
                vDS(1, 1) = sLabel: vDS(1, 2) = "": vDS(1, 3) = "Quantity"
                vDS(3, 1) = "Average": vDS(3, 3) = Format(.Average(vRQ), "#0.000")
                vDS(4, 1) = "Median": vDS(4, 3) = .Median(vRQ)
                vDS(5, 1) = "Mode": vDS(5, 3) = .Mode(vRQ)
                vDS(6, 1) = "Minimum": vDS(6, 3) = .Min(vRQ)
                vDS(7, 1) = "Maximum": vDS(7, 3) = .Max(vRQ)
                vDS(8, 1) = "Std.Deviation": vDS(8, 3) = Format(.StDevP(vRQ), "#0.000")
                vDS(9, 1) = "StDev/Av %": vDS(9, 3) = Format(.StDevP(vRQ) * 100 / .Average(vRQ), "#0.000")
                vDS(10, 1) = "Variance": vDS(10, 3) = Format(.VarP(vRQ), "#0.000")
                vDS(11, 1) = "No.Unique Values": vDS(11, 3) = UBound(vRQ) - LBound(vRQ) + 1
                vDS(12, 1) = "No.Samples": vDS(12, 3) = UBound(vI) - LBound(vI) + 1
            End With
            Err.Clear
        Else
            MsgBox "Problems getting bin count - closing"
            Exit Sub
        End If
        
        'output to sheet
        'ClearWorksheet "Sheet1", 3                    'clear both contents and formats of the worksheet
        Array2DToSheet vDS, "Sheet1", nRow, nCol      'transfer stats panel to sheet with top left at row2, col2
        Array2DToSheet vDB, "Sheet1", nRow + 13, nCol 'transfer bins panel to sheet with top left below stats
        FormatCells "Sheet1"                          'apply font and autofit formats to all cells of the worksheet
    
    End Sub
    
    Private Function DiscreteItemsCount(vIn As Variant, vRetV As Variant, vRetQ As Variant) As Boolean
        'Counts number of repeats of element values found in vIn
        'Returns with one column for each unitque value and quantity found.
        'Returns as 2D vRet, unsorted; row1=input value, row2=item count.
    
        Dim vA As Variant, vTS As Variant, vTB As Variant
        Dim s As Long, b As Long, n As Long, bFound As Boolean
        Dim LB1 As Long, UB1 As Long, LB2 As Long, UB2 As Long
        Dim LBS As Long, UBS As Long
        
        'dimension 2D work array
        ReDim vA(1 To 2, 1 To 1)
        
        'get source 1D array bounds
        LBS = LBound(vIn): UBS = UBound(vIn)
        
        'get work array bounds
        LB1 = LBound(vA, 1): UB1 = UBound(vA, 1) 'd1 rows
        LB2 = LBound(vA, 2): UB2 = UBound(vA, 2) 'd2 cols
        
        'intitial values
        s = LBS
        b = 0
        vA(2, 1) = 0
        
        Do 'step through store
            DoEvents
            'get source element value
            vTS = vIn(s)
            'check bins
            Do
                DoEvents
                b = b + 1
                'get bin element value
                vTB = vA(1, b)
                If vTS = vTB Then 'found in bins
                    vA(2, b) = CLng(vA(2, b)) + 1 'update bin
                    bFound = True
                End If
            Loop Until b >= UB2 Or bFound = True
            
            If bFound = False Then 'no such bin exists yet
                'not found in bins
                If vA(2, UB2) <> 0 Then 'first element been used
                    ReDim Preserve vA(LB1 To UB1, LB2 To UB2 + 1)
                    UB2 = UBound(vA, 2)
                End If
                'update new bin
                vA(1, UB2) = vTS
                vA(2, UB2) = 1
                bFound = True
            End If
            
            'reset loop variables
            bFound = False
            b = 0
            s = s + 1
        Loop Until s > UBS
    
        'transfers -need to be separate for other uses
        LB1 = LBound(vA, 1): UB1 = UBound(vA, 1) 'd1 rows
        LB2 = LBound(vA, 2): UB2 = UBound(vA, 2) 'd2 cols
        ReDim vRetV(LB2 To UB2) 'contains values
        ReDim vRetQ(LB2 To UB2) 'contains quantities
        
        For n = LB2 To UB2
            vRetV(n) = vA(1, n)
            vRetQ(n) = vA(2, n)
        Next n
            
        For n = LB2 To UB2
            Debug.Print vRetV(n) & vbTab & vRetQ(n)
        Next n
            Debug.Print vbCrLf
       
       DiscreteItemsCount = True
    
    End Function
    
    Private Sub ClearWorksheet(ByVal sSheet As String, Optional ByVal nOpt As Integer = 1)
       'clears worksheet contents, formats, or both
       'but does not remove charts from the worksheet
       'nOpt options: contents=1, formats=2, all=3
          
       Dim oWSht As Worksheet
       Set oWSht = ThisWorkbook.Worksheets(sSheet)
       oWSht.Activate
       
       With oWSht.Cells
        Select Case nOpt
            Case 1 'contents only
                .ClearContents
            Case 2 'formats only
                .ClearFormats
            Case 3 'formats and contents
                .Clear
        Case Else
            MsgBox "Illegal option in ClearWorksheet - closing"
            Exit Sub
        End Select
       End With
       
       oWSht.Cells(1, 1).Select
    
    End Sub
    
    Private Sub Array2DToSheet(ByVal vIn As Variant, sShtName As String, nStartRow As Long, nStartCol As Long)
        ' transfers contents of input 2D array to specified worksheet positions
        ' Works for any array bounds
        
        Dim oSht As Worksheet, rTarget As Range
        Dim nRows As Long, nCols As Long
        Dim nNewEndC As Long, nNewEndR As Long
        
        'get reference to sheet for output
        Set oSht = ActiveWorkbook.Worksheets(sShtName)
    
        'get the pre-shift end points
        nRows = UBound(vIn, 1) - LBound(vIn, 1) + 1
        nCols = UBound(vIn, 2) - LBound(vIn, 2) + 1
        
        'modify end point for parameter starting values
        nNewEndR = nRows + nStartRow - 1
        nNewEndC = nCols + nStartCol - 1
           
        ' define the sheet range for the array contents
        Set rTarget = oSht.Range(oSht.Cells(nStartRow, nStartCol), oSht.Cells(nNewEndR, nNewEndC))
        
        'transfer the array contents to the sheet range
        rTarget.Value = vIn
    
    End Sub
    
    Private Sub FormatCells(sSht As String)
        ' Applies certain formats to all cells
        ' of the named parameter worksheet
        
        Dim oSht As Worksheet
        
        Set oSht = ThisWorkbook.Worksheets(sSht)
        oSht.Activate
        
        'format all cells of the worksheet
        oSht.Cells.Select
        With Selection
            .Font.Name = "Consolas" 'mono
            .Font.Size = 14
            .Columns.AutoFit
            .Rows.AutoFit
            .HorizontalAlignment = xlLeft 'xlRight 'xlCenter
            .VerticalAlignment = xlBottom 'xlCenter 'xlTop
        End With
        oSht.Range("A1").Select
    
    End Sub
    
    Private Function KnuthArrShuffle(vIn As Variant, vR As Variant) As Boolean
        ' Performs a modified Knuth random shuffle on the elements of the input array.
        ' The original by Fisher-Yates, was modified for computers by Durstenfeld
        ' then popularised by Knuth. Returns result in vR with vIn unchanged.
           
        'Note: Some or all elements COULD occupy their original positions,
        'but only in accordance with expectation based on the random generator.
        'This is best seen for small arrays, say with only 3 elements or so.
            
        Dim vW As Variant
        Dim LB As Long, UB As Long, nL As Long
        Dim i As Long, j As Long
        
        'initial assignments
        LB = LBound(vIn): UB = UBound(vIn)
        ReDim vR(LB To UB) 'return array
        ReDim vW(LB To UB) 'work array
        nL = UB - LB + 1   'length of input array
        vW = vIn 'transfer to a work array
                
        'working
        Randomize
        For i = LB To nL
            'first get a random number
            j = Int((UB - LB + 1) * Rnd + LB)
                
            'transfer jth of vW to ith of vR
            vR(i) = vW(j)
            
            'replace selection with current last of vW
            vW(j) = vW(UB)
            
            'remove last of vW by shortening array
            ReDim Preserve vW(LB To UB - 1)
            
            'get new UBound of shortened vW
            UB = UBound(vW)
            
            'exception; return if last chara
            If UB = LB Then
                vR(i + 1) = vW(UB)
                Exit For
            End If
                    
            DoEvents 'allow breaks
        Next i
            
        KnuthArrShuffle = True
    
    End Function
    
    Private Function BiasedMultiSwapArrShuffle(vIn As Variant, Optional vRet As Variant) As Boolean
        'Performs a random shuffle on input array strings.
        'Input parameter is a single array.  Returns in single vRet
        'if provided, else in vIn modified.  Multiple shuffles applied.
        'Displays more bias than the Knuth method.
        
        Dim vR As Variant
        Dim sT As String, sTJ As String, sTS As String, nC As Long
        Dim LB1 As Long, UB1 As Long, LB2 As Long, UB2 As Long
        Dim i As Integer, j As Long, bSUsed As Boolean, bRUsed As Boolean
    
        'get dimensions of vIn
        LB1 = LBound(vIn): UB1 = UBound(vIn)
    
        'dimension a work array
        ReDim vR(LB1 To UB1)
    
        'load local array
        For i = LB1 To UB1
            DoEvents
            vR(i) = vIn(i)
        Next i
    
        'get dimensions of vR
        LB2 = LBound(vR): UB2 = UBound(vR)
    
        'randomize the rnd generator
        Randomize
    
        For i = LB2 To UB2
            
            DoEvents
            'get rnd number
            j = Int((UB2 - LB2 + 1) * Rnd + LB2)
    
            'exchange elements
            sT = vR(i) 'swap
            vR(i) = vR(j)
            vR(j) = sT
        Next i
    
        'transfers
        If Not IsMissing(vRet) Then
            ReDim vRet(LB2 To UB2)
            For i = LB2 To UB2
                DoEvents
                vRet(i) = vR(i)
            Next i
        Else
            For i = LB2 To UB2
                DoEvents
                vIn(i) = vR(i)
            Next i
        End If
    
        'return status
        BiasedMultiSwapArrShuffle = True
    
    End Function
    
    Private Function Arr1DToStr(vIn As Variant) As String
        ' Makes a single string from 1D array string elements.
        ' Works for any array bounds.
    
        Dim nC As Long, sT As String, sAccum As String
        Dim LB As Long, UB As Long
    
        LB = LBound(vIn): UB = UBound(vIn)
    
        'join characters of array into string
        For nC = LB To UB
            DoEvents
            sT = vIn(nC)
            sAccum = sAccum & sT
        Next
    
        Arr1DToStr = sAccum
    
    End Function
    

    See Also