# Finding an edge in prediction markets | Netflix, market hate is an opportunity?

An episode of [WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown](https://invisiblenetwork.ai/podcast/962733842), 21 Jul 2026, 24 min.

Audio: https://traffic.libsyn.com/secure/justonelap/WorldWideMarkets_687_20260722.mp3?dest-id=244998

Can you find a real edge in prediction markets? Simon hunts the arbitrage — and calls Netflix cheap. In this week's WorldWideMarkets: • 🎲 Prediction markets: where's the edge, and where's the scam? • 🇧🇷 The Brazil election "two-horse arbitrage" explained • 📈 Betting SA's 2026 inflation print with a Bayesian model • 🎬 Netflix halved — Simon says it's now cheap • 📊 Stocks on the move: Bid Corp, Mr Price, OUTsurance, Vodacom, Absa, Gold Fields CHAPTERS: 0:00 Introduction 1:20 Prediction markets: where's the edge? 4:35 The Brazil election arbitrage 8:05 Betting SA inflation with a Bayesian model 13:30 Upcoming events 14:25 Oil, Iran & Canada tariffs 16:45 Netflix: cheap for the first time in years 19:50 Stocks on the move 🌐 More at JustOneLap.com

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