# SpaceX Jumps in First Trades Following Record $75 Billion IPO

An episode of [Bloomberg Intelligence](https://invisiblenetwork.ai/podcast/326301337), 12 Jun 2026, 24 min.

Audio: https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/tracking.swap.fm/track/UVBrz8bN8aM2Xe47PEPu/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/7f534b8c-9e91-429a-b102-ae3c00090c6d/a7956a74-cc47-457b-953c-b467011fda38/audio.mp3?utm_source=Podcast&in_playlist=0ad812bf-fd15-4012-a18c-ae3c00090c76

Watch Paul and Scarlet LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Intelligence hosted by Paul Sweeney and Scarlet Fu -Anthony Hughes, Bloomberg US Equity Capital Markets Reporter, discusses SpaceX’s IPO. Shares of SpaceX climbed in their first day of trading after the company made history with a $75 billion IPO. The stock sold for $150 in its opening trade on Nasdaq, 11% above its $135 offering price, and climbed as high as $168.75. -George Ferguson, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Aerospace, Defense, & Airlines Analyst, discusses SpaceX’s IPO. According to Bloomberg Intelligence: The strongest 2Q revenue growth should come from xAI, as the Anthropic data-center deal adds $1.5 billion and propels SpaceX sales to $7.3 billion. -Ross Hamilton, Chief Operating Officer at Space Network, discusses the broad impact of SpaceX’s IPO, and the space economy. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

## Transcript

[0:02] Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the
[0:10] Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am
[0:14] Speaker 1: Eastern on Apple Coarclay, and Android Auto with the Bloomberg
[0:17] Speaker 1: Business App. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts,
[0:21] Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube.
[0:24] Speaker 2: I've got this seeing trading. It's now trading. It priced
[0:27] Speaker 2: at thirty five, opened at fifty here at one fifty six.
[0:31] Speaker 2: Anthony Hughes, Bloomberg US Equity Capital Markets Reporter.
[0:33] Speaker 3: What do you think you're Anthony, Well, I think you know,
[0:36] Speaker 3: eleven percent game on the first trade is probably a
[0:40] Speaker 3: number that would for most IPOs would be considered, you know,
[0:44] Speaker 3: what you would hope to achieve. But you know, in
[0:46] Speaker 3: the sense that this IPO, there's a lot of hype
[0:49] Speaker 3: and enthusiasm and a lot of people involved in this deal.
[0:54] Speaker 3: I think maybe people hoping for a bigger number.
[0:57] Speaker 4: I really like the fact that you started there because
[1:00] Speaker 4: the headlines were crossing as of the first thirty minutes
[1:03] Speaker 4: of trade, and the initial headline was that it was
[1:06] Speaker 4: indicated to open at one hundred and seventy five dollars
[1:09] Speaker 4: a piece, and it's been steadily going down we've gotten
[1:11] Speaker 4: headlines about you know, oh, now it's one seventy four,
[1:14] Speaker 4: and now it's one seventy two, Now it's one seventy
[1:16] Speaker 4: all the way down to one hundred and fifty. Is
[1:18] Speaker 4: that about sign Yeah?
[1:19] Speaker 3: Well, just to understand the process a bit better. I mean,
[1:22] Speaker 3: Morgan Stanley's a stabilization agent for the IPL and they
[1:25] Speaker 3: also have the role of opening the IPO. But basically
[1:29] Speaker 3: that process involves bringing together all these buyers and sellers
[1:32] Speaker 3: for this opening print, and you want to make sure
[1:34] Speaker 3: that the opening print is sort of ideally as fair
[1:38] Speaker 3: a price as you can get. And generally speaking from
[1:41] Speaker 3: what I'm told, that banks like to have about ten
[1:44] Speaker 3: percent of the deal size traded in that opening print.
[1:47] Speaker 3: So I think you can see the number there was
[1:49] Speaker 3: around sixty million shares and you know the IPO was
[1:52] Speaker 3: five hundred. You know, about ten percent of the stock
[1:54] Speaker 3: basically went through in the opening print. That's about standard, right,
[1:57] Speaker 3: But that allows the banks to be sort of confident.
[2:00] Speaker 3: I guess that you know, taking the buyers and the
[2:03] Speaker 3: sellers together, the price that you're opening the stock at
[2:05] Speaker 3: is is you know, the price that the market wants
[2:08] Speaker 3: to pay, and then you know looking at the success
[2:10] Speaker 3: of this first day trading. One measure of it will
[2:13] Speaker 3: be like where the stock closed, and you want the
[2:15] Speaker 3: stock to close near to or ideally above where it opens.
[2:18] Speaker 3: You don't want it to like you want to open
[2:20] Speaker 3: the stock really high and then it ended the day lower,
[2:23] Speaker 3: because that meant that would mean that a lot of
[2:24] Speaker 3: people lost money. So you know, that's the art of
[2:27] Speaker 3: opening an IPA. But this is just all one day's trading,
[2:29] Speaker 3: and it's many days ahead.
[2:30] Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly right. We've got close to one hundred million
[2:33] Speaker 2: shares trading hands here again, about one hundred and fifty
[2:36] Speaker 2: nine dollars one hundred and sixty dollars to share open
[2:38] Speaker 2: at one fifty after pressing it one thirty five here.
[2:42] Speaker 2: How long typically will we see I guess higher than
[2:47] Speaker 2: usual volume when a company goes public. Is it that
[2:50] Speaker 2: I'll get kind of exercised the first day? It does
[2:53] Speaker 2: a last a few days.
[2:54] Speaker 5: I think.
[2:55] Speaker 3: I think from my experience, the first day will be
[2:57] Speaker 3: the heaviest day for a while. I mean the first
[3:00] Speaker 3: days will also be relatively heavy. I mean SpaceX. You know,
[3:04] Speaker 3: the interesting thing with IPOs is that, you know, the
[3:06] Speaker 3: art of executing IPOs is to try and place the
[3:10] Speaker 3: stock with as many long term investors as you can
[3:12] Speaker 3: and investors that won't sell. But there's always a portion
[3:15] Speaker 3: of the stock you want to get to people who
[3:16] Speaker 3: are traders because obviously we want stock, some stock to
[3:19] Speaker 3: be in the market for people to buy and sell
[3:20] Speaker 3: and not to sort of overly exaggerate the price if
[3:23] Speaker 3: there's a real supply and demand imbalance. But you know,
[3:26] Speaker 3: I think they from the institutional book, they allocated like
[3:30] Speaker 3: seventy I think was seventy percent of the deal to
[3:32] Speaker 3: what they call long only investors or you know, people
[3:35] Speaker 3: who are people are not traders, and but you are
[3:37] Speaker 3: going to have an element of the you know, as
[3:38] Speaker 3: you know from your experience, you're going to have an
[3:40] Speaker 3: element of the book that's got to be going to
[3:42] Speaker 3: people who are a bit more short short term. But yeah,
[3:46] Speaker 3: the first first first day will probably be the biggest
[3:48] Speaker 3: day of trading. I mean may be different from SpaceX,
[3:50] Speaker 3: but yeah, I mean when you go and see SpaceX
[3:54] Speaker 3: do another maybe they'll do another stock sale in the
[3:56] Speaker 3: future or some sort of corporate event. Might it might
[4:00] Speaker 3: be a die when it's high, but this could be
[4:02] Speaker 3: you know, it could be the highest I'm training for
[4:04] Speaker 3: the stock.
[4:05] Speaker 2: It's interesting. I'm just looking at the rich go function
[4:08] Speaker 2: on the Bloomberg terminal had Elon's steak in SpaceX valued
[4:14] Speaker 2: at one hundred and thirty five dollars to share, which
[4:16] Speaker 2: placed him, again farther away, the number one richest person
[4:20] Speaker 2: on the planet, with a net worth of nine hundred
[4:22] Speaker 2: and seventy billion dollars. Now with the rise and the price,
[4:25] Speaker 2: he's well over a trillionaire. So there you go. That's
[4:28] Speaker 2: also kind of an interesting event, therey in the world's history.
[4:32] Speaker 2: I guess on paper, of course, on paper, of course,
[4:35] Speaker 2: exactly right. This has to be I'm gonna call, let's
[4:37] Speaker 2: just say, if we kind of trade like this today,
[4:40] Speaker 2: you know, you call this a successful IPO and a
[4:43] Speaker 2: successful historic IPO. For many reasons, not just least which
[4:48] Speaker 2: is the dollars involved. That bodes well. I would think
[4:52] Speaker 2: for the anthropics of the world, the open eyes of
[4:54] Speaker 2: the world, which have also filed registration statements to go public,
[4:58] Speaker 2: this has got to.
[4:59] Speaker 3: Be a good sign. Well, I think we'll see how
[5:01] Speaker 3: the stock trace to day. I mean to be honest,
[5:03] Speaker 3: coming out eleven percent out of the gate, you probably
[5:05] Speaker 3: might be a little worried that it could drift back
[5:07] Speaker 3: and maybe end not as well. But you know, I
[5:11] Speaker 3: think the banks have put a lot of work into this,
[5:13] Speaker 3: so you know, maybe maybe they know that they can
[5:16] Speaker 3: get it to finish around where it's where it's opened here,
[5:18] Speaker 3: or maybe there's more enthusiasm from the rest of the day.
[5:20] Speaker 3: But yeah, I think it shows you that seventy five
[5:23] Speaker 3: billion is I mean, we we've reported this is a
[5:25] Speaker 3: huge number. It's a record deal. But you know, I
[5:28] Speaker 3: think even the senior person there at Gold and Sacks
[5:31] Speaker 3: today I saw the note And something I've been thinking
[5:33] Speaker 3: a lot about is that, you know, the numbers we
[5:35] Speaker 3: talk about these days are so much larger than even
[5:37] Speaker 3: even a few years ago. We talk about trillions just
[5:39] Speaker 3: left hand, and you know, the amount of volume you
[5:42] Speaker 3: see in the IPO market we're talking you know, I
[5:45] Speaker 3: think I think the I think we're thinking globally maybe
[5:48] Speaker 3: three hundred billion, you know, someday that if all these
[5:50] Speaker 3: deals happen and and like that's that's a lot of
[5:52] Speaker 3: money to raise. And their market cap is obviously much
[5:55] Speaker 3: bigger than the trillions, but the amount of money that
[5:57] Speaker 3: they're sucking out of the market is is a relative
[6:00] Speaker 3: small amount of you know, well, well below one percent.
[6:03] Speaker 3: You know, it's like, I think the number was something
[6:04] Speaker 3: like twenty bases puts or something. It's not it's not
[6:07] Speaker 3: that much money these days.
[6:09] Speaker 1: What do we know.
[6:09] Speaker 2: About the lockup period here? Typically an ipel lockup is
[6:13] Speaker 2: one hundred and eighty days six months before the insiders
[6:16] Speaker 2: can sell their shares. What do we know about this transaction?
[6:18] Speaker 3: Yes, it's a bit of a long answer to that question.
[6:20] Speaker 3: It is a non traditional lock up. Normally you have
[6:23] Speaker 3: a six month lock up and everyone comes out and
[6:24] Speaker 3: can trade it six months and the stop falls as
[6:27] Speaker 3: a result. But here, you know, yeah, I've got to
[6:29] Speaker 3: take account this is twenty four year old, twenty four
[6:32] Speaker 3: year old company, so you know, it's not like it's
[6:35] Speaker 3: it's not like it had already had a very fairly
[6:39] Speaker 3: developed shareholder base. So you know, there's a logical argument
[6:42] Speaker 3: that you can maybe not have the standard lock up,
[6:45] Speaker 3: but they still have, you know, put some some standards
[6:50] Speaker 3: around it by making sure that the company's going to
[6:53] Speaker 3: have to report its first set of earnings before people
[6:55] Speaker 3: get to start to get out. But even then they'll
[6:57] Speaker 3: there'll be a small proportion of the people who will
[6:58] Speaker 3: be able to sell and then a little bit later
[7:01] Speaker 3: a bit more. But and the whole lock up sort
[7:03] Speaker 3: of basically comes off over a one year period, and
[7:05] Speaker 3: Elon Musk himself is locked up for a year or so,
[7:09] Speaker 3: and he probably wouldn't be selling, I don't think in
[7:11] Speaker 3: any substantial size in any case. But you know, there's
[7:15] Speaker 3: the point, is I guess that he's got he's got
[7:17] Speaker 3: a lot of pre IPO investors alongside him there, and
[7:19] Speaker 3: there are some there are definitely some of those investors
[7:22] Speaker 3: who who aren't investing in the IPO and do want
[7:25] Speaker 3: to get out because they only invest in private companies,
[7:27] Speaker 3: and other investors who are continuing. So that you know,
[7:30] Speaker 3: there's all different types of investors involved in an IPO
[7:32] Speaker 3: like this, and some of them are going to want
[7:34] Speaker 3: to sell and some of them are going to hang on,
[7:36] Speaker 3: and it's just going to be a bit of a
[7:37] Speaker 3: different bit different. But the lock up structure is quite complex,
[7:41] Speaker 3: stretches over a year. There are multiple multiple I think
[7:43] Speaker 3: it's eight to ten, might even be more periods when
[7:47] Speaker 3: a little bit of stock comes out like seven percent here,
[7:49] Speaker 3: eight percent here, and you know it's very it's all
[7:51] Speaker 3: outlined in the prospectives, but it's quite it's quite lengthy
[7:55] Speaker 3: and well considered.
[7:56] Speaker 2: So how about the retail coupon it? Yeah, do we
[8:00] Speaker 2: know generally how much kind of went to the retail.
[8:02] Speaker 3: Yeah, so I think if we look at the IPI
[8:04] Speaker 3: was like seventy five plus the green shoe, which will
[8:06] Speaker 3: be exercised because the stocks traded up will likely be exercised.
[8:10] Speaker 3: I think our understanding was that twenty percent of the
[8:13] Speaker 3: deal went to retail, so that would be a little
[8:15] Speaker 3: bit less than twenty billion dollars. The demand was more
[8:18] Speaker 3: than one hundred billion, and you have to you know,
[8:20] Speaker 3: when you talk about retail, after there's different types of retail.
[8:23] Speaker 3: There's the rich, rich, high network customers of the banks,
[8:26] Speaker 3: and then there's the robin Hood. There's you know, there's
[8:28] Speaker 3: the whole spectrum. There's the robin Hood customers. I mean,
[8:30] Speaker 3: if you talk about the robin Hood customers from all
[8:33] Speaker 3: the what people have said this morning, it sounds like
[8:37] Speaker 3: all hundreds of thousands of robin Hood customers got at
[8:40] Speaker 3: least a share, and that was the case probably with
[8:43] Speaker 3: some of the other digital platforms as well. But a
[8:45] Speaker 3: lot of people are disappointed because they only got one
[8:46] Speaker 3: share but maybe now they look at and see ten
[8:48] Speaker 3: percent gain, maybe they're not so disappointed. I don't they
[8:51] Speaker 3: looking at just taed.
[8:51] Speaker 2: Tesla stock's down two percent here today, down thirteen percent
[8:56] Speaker 2: for the year, up twenty two percent for a trailing
[8:59] Speaker 2: twelve months. You're and of course one of the storylines
[9:02] Speaker 2: out there, Anthony, is that Elion's just for for no
[9:05] Speaker 2: other reason, just for keeping everything neat and tidy, just
[9:09] Speaker 2: kind of have SpaceX acquire a roll up into SpaceX.
[9:14] Speaker 2: I know that was discussed out there in the marketplace.
[9:16] Speaker 2: Do we expect they're hearing anything from the company on that, Well,
[9:19] Speaker 2: it's unclear.
[9:19] Speaker 3: I think that something that people are expecting to happen,
[9:22] Speaker 3: it might have some industrial logic, I think, particularly because
[9:25] Speaker 3: there's different things that pretty you know, big ambitions that
[9:28] Speaker 3: Tesla has around robotics, which makes might make more sense
[9:31] Speaker 3: in a in a in a business like SpaceX, with
[9:33] Speaker 3: a business like SpaceX where there's so many of these big, big,
[9:36] Speaker 3: big projects and ambitions that they're trying to pursue, and
[9:39] Speaker 3: you know, maybe robotics in space together makes a lot
[9:41] Speaker 3: of sense. And you know, but but I think we
[9:44] Speaker 3: might be a while before we hear about that. I mean,
[9:47] Speaker 3: I think people do expect that to happen, but it's
[9:50] Speaker 3: you know, it has to make sense for you know,
[9:55] Speaker 3: based on you know, how these you know, how these
[9:57] Speaker 3: stocks are trading whatever. But I think the main argument
[10:00] Speaker 3: perhaps for that happening from I guess more I could
[10:03] Speaker 3: say from a more cynical perspective, is that it would
[10:06] Speaker 3: allow Elon musk to you know, to potentially take control
[10:10] Speaker 3: of this bigger entity, because Tesla doesn't have the dual
[10:15] Speaker 3: class structure and SpaceX does. But you know, I think
[10:19] Speaker 3: idea like that would take a while. I think the
[10:21] Speaker 3: other extraordinary thing about SpaceX, though, is that we've really
[10:24] Speaker 3: seen that Elon must get stuff done quickly and quicker
[10:27] Speaker 3: than everyone else. I mean, even the pressure releases, the filings,
[10:30] Speaker 3: the road show, the way the S one was drafted
[10:36] Speaker 3: and filed, everything happened a lot quicker than the average company,
[10:39] Speaker 3: that's for sure.
[10:40] Speaker 4: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
[10:46] Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
[10:50] Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarcley, and Android
[10:53] Speaker 1: Otto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
[10:57] Speaker 1: you get your podcasts or watch us live on you.
[11:01] Speaker 2: Let's go to George Ferguson here. He's been tasked to
[11:03] Speaker 2: lead the research efforts here, involving lots of the analysts
[11:07] Speaker 2: at Bloomberg Intelligence. Because this is a technology play, it's
[11:10] Speaker 2: an AI play, it's a rocket ship play. You gotta
[11:14] Speaker 2: have some experts. Unfortunately, Bloomberg does for all of those businesses. George,
[11:19] Speaker 2: what do you think the buyer of a SpaceX what
[11:22] Speaker 2: do you think the buyer of a SpaceX share? What
[11:25] Speaker 2: is he or she thinking here when they place that order?
[11:29] Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I honestly think most of them are
[11:32] Speaker 5: believers in Elon Musk, believers in his vision of the
[11:36] Speaker 5: future and his ability to get things done. Because I
[11:38] Speaker 5: think you've got to be a big believer to buy
[11:41] Speaker 5: in it at these valuations. So that's why that's where
[11:44] Speaker 5: I think. That's why I think you saw so much
[11:47] Speaker 5: of the IPO get shunted into the retail side of
[11:51] Speaker 5: the world, and because I think that's where you see
[11:54] Speaker 5: a lot of support and buy into that vision.
[11:57] Speaker 4: It feels like the SpaceX IPO is a real beast.
[12:00] Speaker 4: You look at this perlative surrounding it. It's the biggest
[12:02] Speaker 4: IPO ever, it'll be the first company to move people
[12:05] Speaker 4: to Mars, that it's going to mint that world's first trillionaire.
[12:08] Speaker 4: I almost said billionaire and I had to correct myself. Now
[12:10] Speaker 4: we have that, And this is kind of the point,
[12:12] Speaker 4: right George. I mean, this is the Elon Musk formula.
[12:15] Speaker 4: Create an entirely new category and then you know, claim
[12:18] Speaker 4: leadership and set the standard and you know, make everyone
[12:21] Speaker 4: follow in your footsteps. If that's the case, how does
[12:25] Speaker 4: someone analyze a company like this, because whatever you do,
[12:28] Speaker 4: he's going to come back with, well, it's never been
[12:30] Speaker 4: done before, so you can't you know, compare to anything.
[12:33] Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean that's why it's extremely hard. But I
[12:35] Speaker 5: think when you know, when you look at it, I
[12:37] Speaker 5: think we do understand pretty well the launch business as
[12:41] Speaker 5: it stands today. We understand the connectivity business, the satellite
[12:48] Speaker 5: business pretty well. And I think the big variable here
[12:52] Speaker 5: again is that is that AI business, and it's it's
[12:55] Speaker 5: a variable out there for a number of other companies.
[12:57] Speaker 5: But look, I think launch we saw, like you know,
[13:00] Speaker 5: some seventy six percent of the launches were primarily for Starlink.
[13:05] Speaker 5: So when we think about the demand for launch in
[13:07] Speaker 5: the future, Look, I think there'll be more constellations that
[13:11] Speaker 5: go up, but I don't think there's going to be
[13:13] Speaker 5: more than five or six LEO constellations in the next
[13:16] Speaker 5: couple decades. And they're the ones that use a lot
[13:19] Speaker 5: of satellites. You know, that's sort of ten thousand plus
[13:22] Speaker 5: kind of constellations. And I think of those five or six,
[13:25] Speaker 5: I think you're going to see two US. They're kind
[13:28] Speaker 5: of you know, Starlink, and they're probably Amazon Leo. I
[13:31] Speaker 5: think Europe might want one of their own. I'm sure
[13:33] Speaker 5: the Chinese want a couple of their own. Maybe India
[13:36] Speaker 5: gets in this game. I don't think anybody else's constellation
[13:39] Speaker 5: is going to get launched on SpaceX launches, right, so
[13:43] Speaker 5: I think it's going to be even I think Amazon
[13:46] Speaker 5: Leo is going to be launched largely on Blue Origin
[13:48] Speaker 5: rockets as they get that going. So I think we're
[13:52] Speaker 5: kind of looking at space kind of a flatish, maybe
[13:54] Speaker 5: a slow growth kind of business as they do government
[13:58] Speaker 5: work and things like that. The connectivity business, you know,
[14:01] Speaker 5: that's all about that's you know, that's data, broadband data,
[14:05] Speaker 5: that's direct to sell communications. We kind of understand that too.
[14:10] Speaker 5: We have terrestrial providers if you're in a big population center.
[14:14] Speaker 5: They're going to do it better than SpaceX is going
[14:16] Speaker 5: to do given latency of going to a satellite, problems
[14:19] Speaker 5: of being in buildings. But they're very important areas of
[14:22] Speaker 5: the world that need that connectivity to a satellite to
[14:25] Speaker 5: stay on the you know, on the web and connected,
[14:30] Speaker 5: and that will get better over time. But I think
[14:32] Speaker 5: that's you know, maybe it's a what we're seeing sort
[14:35] Speaker 5: of twenties ish percent growth in the last couple of years,
[14:38] Speaker 5: but some of the metrics are coming down. On the
[14:40] Speaker 5: amount each subscriber spends, it's decently profitable, it's not wildly profitable.
[14:46] Speaker 5: So to me, everything shifts to AI, right, it's a
[14:51] Speaker 5: big bet on data centers, putting them into the sky,
[14:55] Speaker 5: putting them into orbit. It could where you probably be
[14:58] Speaker 5: able to do it cheaper, cool at, cheaper powered, easier,
[15:03] Speaker 5: and then you know, we'll stream data up to satellites
[15:06] Speaker 5: and GROC will help us figure out what to do
[15:08] Speaker 5: in the future. And that's kind of to me, the
[15:11] Speaker 5: big big vision.
[15:12] Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm looking at just kind of where the revenue
[15:14] Speaker 2: comes from. George just on a trailing twelve month basis,
[15:16] Speaker 2: you know, round numbers eleven billion from the connectivity business,
[15:20] Speaker 2: four billion from the space business, and then at the
[15:23] Speaker 2: bottoms AI at three billion of revenue. But when you
[15:25] Speaker 2: think about a company that's going to be valued at
[15:28] Speaker 2: at least ninety five times revenue, it seems like the
[15:31] Speaker 2: buyer today is saying, I'm putting my money on this
[15:34] Speaker 2: AI thing because I think that's going to be something
[15:36] Speaker 2: just astronomical. I guess it's the AI play that kind
[15:40] Speaker 2: of gets you to where you need to go for
[15:42] Speaker 2: if you're a long term investor.
[15:44] Speaker 5: Yeah, I think if you look, you know, if you
[15:47] Speaker 5: look at some of the recent deals cut with Anthropic, right,
[15:49] Speaker 5: so what that's a billion and a quarter a month.
[15:54] Speaker 5: You know, I guess as long as they keep signing
[15:56] Speaker 5: that agreement, you're going to see that AI revenue jump
[16:00] Speaker 5: up pretty dramatically here over the over the next year
[16:04] Speaker 5: and years. Right. So, I think when we look at
[16:06] Speaker 5: sort of what we think is going to be at
[16:07] Speaker 5: the end of twenty twenty six, we think it's going
[16:10] Speaker 5: to be a fourteen billion connectivity business and a fourteen
[16:13] Speaker 5: billion rev AI business. And I think one of the
[16:17] Speaker 5: interesting things we saw was, right is SpaceX built Colossus
[16:21] Speaker 5: one and Colossus two. The two big data centers down Memphis,
[16:25] Speaker 5: Tennessee area. They did it in existing buildings so they
[16:28] Speaker 5: could get it up and running very quickly. He you know,
[16:32] Speaker 5: it's sort of in typical Elon muskway. He's looking to
[16:35] Speaker 5: drive down the cost quickly. It's just, you know, that's
[16:38] Speaker 5: smart for any business person put a lot of capacity online.
[16:42] Speaker 5: Now he has the opportunity to sell some of that
[16:44] Speaker 5: to the anthropic. I think Google's in there too, so
[16:47] Speaker 5: you're going to see that AI you know, revenue line
[16:50] Speaker 5: drive up. But they spend a lot of money to
[16:53] Speaker 5: keep that going, right. I think they're going to consume
[16:56] Speaker 5: even more than the revenue they bring in. And there's
[16:59] Speaker 5: like four or five six billion dollar deficits in an
[17:01] Speaker 5: operating margin, sorry, operating profit for that business. So you've
[17:05] Speaker 5: got to find a way to power all that investment
[17:08] Speaker 5: you need. This IPO is about we're going to invest
[17:11] Speaker 5: a lot of that money into data centers, and we'll
[17:14] Speaker 5: invest some of it into Starship because we think long
[17:17] Speaker 5: term is going to be easier to make those data
[17:19] Speaker 5: centers in space. It'll be cheaper, and so that's where
[17:22] Speaker 5: a lot of this money goes. That's the best.
[17:24] Speaker 4: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
[17:31] Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
[17:35] Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
[17:38] Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App, Listen on demand wherever
[17:41] Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
[17:45] Speaker 2: Well, let's continue to talk about space. Why not? Ross Helminson,
[17:48] Speaker 2: chief operating officer for Space Network Joints US here in
[17:52] Speaker 2: our studio, Russell. One of the things that I think
[17:54] Speaker 2: got investors attention on this road show is I try
[17:56] Speaker 2: to think about the opportunities for SpaceX and for the
[18:00] Speaker 2: industries the company and elon identifying a twenty nine trillion
[18:04] Speaker 2: dollars total addressable market, do we have any idea where
[18:09] Speaker 2: that number really comes from?
[18:11] Speaker 6: Well, thanks for having me on again. It's a huge number,
[18:14] Speaker 6: it really is. I don't know if m could really
[18:17] Speaker 6: add up the numbers. I'm not quite sure exactly where
[18:19] Speaker 6: that comes from. But I think the kind of the
[18:21] Speaker 6: thesis is what SpaceX is eventually going to become. It
[18:25] Speaker 6: really wants to be the infrastructure that's running all industry
[18:28] Speaker 6: at all markets. So if you think about, you know,
[18:30] Speaker 6: the Internet in the nineties, you know they're really trying
[18:33] Speaker 6: to create the backbone for AI infrastructure, infrastructure for this century.
[18:39] Speaker 6: So what they're looking to do is put a lot
[18:41] Speaker 6: of AI infrastructure in place, lots of chips, lots of robotics,
[18:45] Speaker 6: not just for their own use for SpaceX and not
[18:48] Speaker 6: just for Tesla, but they're looking to do that for
[18:51] Speaker 6: all industries. So if you have a long term view
[18:55] Speaker 6: on AI chips and infrastructure and compute, then the argument
[19:01] Speaker 6: is that all industries would benefit from that.
[19:03] Speaker 4: Of course, of course SpaceX has become a government contractor.
[19:07] Speaker 4: It's done a lot of the work that NASA used
[19:09] Speaker 4: to do. So one of the addressable markets is the
[19:12] Speaker 4: US government and that's a big customer. How can we
[19:15] Speaker 4: quantify just how big of an opportunity that would be
[19:18] Speaker 4: going forward?
[19:19] Speaker 6: So I think it is pretty big. I mean, if
[19:21] Speaker 6: you think about the relationship with NASA as well, you know,
[19:23] Speaker 6: NASA's focus is shifting to more exploration, but from a
[19:27] Speaker 6: government standpoint, it's definitely been more on the national defense
[19:30] Speaker 6: gold and Golden Dome type strategy as long as you know,
[19:35] Speaker 6: you know, the US particularly wants to be you know,
[19:37] Speaker 6: the dominant force and has recognized through Space Force that
[19:42] Speaker 6: much of the military will be guided through satellites and
[19:45] Speaker 6: that technology. I think it's basically our prime for the
[19:49] Speaker 6: US government.
[19:51] Speaker 2: So how do you guys think about it? I mean,
[19:54] Speaker 2: how does this relate to your company and connect what
[19:56] Speaker 2: you guys are doing.
[19:57] Speaker 6: Yeah, so we're really focused on the private side. So
[20:00] Speaker 6: we're helping space tech companies who are not yet public
[20:04] Speaker 6: commercial arted so raise capital, find customers folks, and revenue.
[20:08] Speaker 6: And the thing that's really important there is with what
[20:10] Speaker 6: the SpaceX is doing is it is going to generate
[20:13] Speaker 6: a love liquidity in the marketplace. So as people you
[20:16] Speaker 6: will spin out from SpaceX going to get their own thing,
[20:20] Speaker 6: it's drawing attention from private equity and venture capital into
[20:23] Speaker 6: the market. That's going to draw a lot of capital in.
[20:26] Speaker 6: So from our standpoint, it's going to increase this focus
[20:29] Speaker 6: on the opportunity. But our argument is though, that it
[20:33] Speaker 6: has to be on the basis that there's real customers
[20:37] Speaker 6: for those space technologies. And our thesis is that aside
[20:41] Speaker 6: from governments you know and NASA who doing space exploration,
[20:45] Speaker 6: that's actually in non space industries, so financial markets and
[20:50] Speaker 6: you know, global logistics, agriculture, pharmaceutical that's the market there,
[20:56] Speaker 6: and that remains an opportunity for a lot of these
[20:59] Speaker 6: innovation native companies. I think SpaceX is more of an
[21:03] Speaker 6: infrastructure play for those other markets.
[21:06] Speaker 4: It's an infrastructure play for now. It could also become
[21:09] Speaker 4: an electric vehicle companies soon as well, or that'll be
[21:12] Speaker 4: kind of brought into its its orbit because there's a
[21:15] Speaker 4: lot of talk about how Elon Musk mighte combine SpaceX
[21:18] Speaker 4: with Tesla. That just becomes another kind of company than
[21:23] Speaker 4: and not really comparable to what you do.
[21:26] Speaker 6: Yes, I think there's a couple of things there, you know,
[21:30] Speaker 6: with from SpaceX and Tesla relationship. You know, one of
[21:33] Speaker 6: the ideas originally that he wants to get into EVS
[21:35] Speaker 6: is ultimately he wants to be able to like have
[21:37] Speaker 6: vehicles up in Mars. You know, for that you need
[21:40] Speaker 6: electric vehicles and power. So that's part of his broad
[21:43] Speaker 6: you know, interplanetary you know species strategy there right, But
[21:48] Speaker 6: when it comes back to you know, what's what's back
[21:50] Speaker 6: on Earth, it really is about building infrastructure and providing
[21:55] Speaker 6: things that are used or created for space but used
[21:58] Speaker 6: back down on Earth. And I think there's enough of
[22:01] Speaker 6: an alternate market to SpaceX to allow those things to happen.
[22:05] Speaker 6: So an example would be the International Space Station is
[22:09] Speaker 6: coming down in a couple of years, and there's going
[22:11] Speaker 6: to be new commercial space stations going up, which is
[22:13] Speaker 6: going to allow drug research and other types of research
[22:17] Speaker 6: and in orbit manufacturing to happen. That is going to
[22:21] Speaker 6: be core in other parts of the infrastructure that the
[22:24] Speaker 6: SpaceX market space X will will not serve.
[22:29] Speaker 2: How's the capital raising out there other than SpaceX or
[22:32] Speaker 2: companies that want to do space based businesses.
[22:35] Speaker 6: It's actually been very healthy over the last number of years.
[22:37] Speaker 6: I mean, you could argue it's been quite healthy over
[22:39] Speaker 6: the last fifteen years, but the last couple of years
[22:41] Speaker 6: there's definitely been an inflow of private capital. You know,
[22:44] Speaker 6: it's not for things that are like rockets and hardware
[22:48] Speaker 6: and satellites. It's traditionally not been a venture model, but
[22:51] Speaker 6: I think they're starting to realize that this is a
[22:54] Speaker 6: play towards more venturel like businesses that can run on
[22:57] Speaker 6: the infrastructure.
[22:59] Speaker 4: He talked about how this will create a liquidity event,
[23:01] Speaker 4: this IPO, it's going to make a lot of people rich.
[23:03] Speaker 4: We talk a lot about the SpaceX current employees and
[23:06] Speaker 4: former employees. If they do become very wealthy and decide
[23:09] Speaker 4: to step away and stop working. They may go off
[23:12] Speaker 4: and start their own company as well. This creates this
[23:15] Speaker 4: large ecosystem. Do you have any sense of timing around
[23:19] Speaker 4: how this plays out.
[23:23] Speaker 6: That's a hard one because I'm sure there's gonna be
[23:25] Speaker 6: a lot of lock ups in there and a lot
[23:26] Speaker 6: of people looking to fulfill the SpaceX mission. But I
[23:30] Speaker 6: think certainly over the next couple of years you're going
[23:32] Speaker 6: to see a lot of that activity happening.
[23:35] Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,
[23:40] Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each
[23:44] Speaker 1: weekday ten am to noon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,
[23:47] Speaker 1: the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app.
[23:51] Speaker 1: You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube
[23:55] Speaker 1: and always on the Bloomberg terminal.

Shows are listed from Apple Podcasts' charts and directory, and Podcast Index where it is used. Every show and episode belongs to its publisher and plays from the publisher's own feed; this site hosts none of them.
