# Burnham’s 55% chance of losing Makerfield

An episode of [Politics At Sam and Anne's](https://invisiblenetwork.ai/podcast/1709628885), 18 May 2026, 22 min.

Audio: https://episodes.captivate.fm/episode/682de87e-5a6a-4da0-9550-c2b631c1e66a.mp3?aw_0_1st.showid=e0c28668-b961-43cf-8d6c-6ba62ef8a7a3&aw_0_1st.episodeid=682de87e-5a6a-4da0-9550-c2b631c1e66a

Andy Burnham says Britain needs a “circuit breaker for politics” as he plots his return to Westminster. But with Labour sources putting his chances of success in the Makerfield by-election at less than 50:50, will his plan to stand for PM unravel before it’s begun? Sam and Anne unpack the political chaos consuming Labour, including the growing speculation about Sir Keir Starmer’s exit timetable, and Wes Streeting reigniting the row over rejoining the EU. Will voters see Burnham as Labour’s saviour or a man who pushes the party deeper into crisis? And does the reopening of the Brexit wars play into Reform UK’s hands?

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