# US-Iran Stalemate; Trump Weighs In On UK Terror Plot

An episode of [Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition](https://invisiblenetwork.ai/podcast/1663860720), 29 Sep 2026, 17 min.

Audio: https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/d15648c4-cee0-4e99-a5ca-af80014d921d/7d3b3bc6-4366-4c8f-ae01-b4d400a00422/audio.mp3?utm_source=Podcast&in_playlist=65ce2954-d8a8-4c66-9f42-af80014d923e

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes. On today's podcast: 1) Iranian officials have privately expressed pessimism about reaching a deal to end hostilities with Washington and reopen the Strait of Hormuz before US midterm elections in November, according to people familiar with the matter. Iran and the US made little progress during talks in New York on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly last week and the Islamic Republic believes there’s a high chance of the conflict escalating after the Nov. 3 vote, according to the people, some of whom were briefed by Iranian officials. They asked not to be named discussing sensitive matters. 2) President Donald Trump criticized the release on bail of five men held over an alleged terror plot against a Royal Air Force base used by the US for strikes against Iran, as British police continue to investigate foreign links to the incident. “I’m surprised that they released them, I wouldn’t have done that,” Trump told reporters on Monday.The decision to release the suspects sowed confusion about an incident that authorities had only a day earlier described as a serious attempted attack disrupted at a late stage. 3) The US Treasury Department took a big step toward curbing a Wall Street boom in investment strategies that help cut tax bills, with a notice signaling potential action on an array of tactics and a ruling that will limit the benefits of a popular ETF maneuver. The notice detailed a list of tax trades similar to those deemed “potentially abusive” and “too good to be true” by Treasury officials at an industry seminar in July. These include hedge-fund strategies that use swaps and currency derivatives to generate ordinary losses that can offset income tax — transactions which are at the heart of products such as AQR Capital Management’s Delphi Plus fund. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

## Transcript

[0:02] Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios.
[0:04] Speaker 2: Podcasts.
[0:05] Speaker 3: Radio.
[0:06] Speaker 4: News.
[0:10] Speaker 2: Good morning. I'm Karen Moscow.
[0:12] Speaker 5: And I'm Alexis Christophorus. Here are the stories we're following today.
[0:15] Speaker 2: All right, Alexis, and we are seeing that on a
[0:19] Speaker 2: lack of progress in U.S.-Iran talks, Iranian officials have privately
[0:23] Speaker 2: expressed pessimism about reaching a deal to end and reopen
[0:27] Speaker 2: the Strait of Hormuz before U.S. midterm elections in November.
[0:31] Speaker 2: We get more from Bloomberg Middle East correspondent Abir Abu
[0:34] Speaker 2: Omar in Dubai.
[0:36] Speaker 6: You're looking at where diplomacy stands right now, and it's
[0:38] Speaker 6: pretty much the same position that it was at over
[0:42] Speaker 6: the past few months, really, with no end in sight, really,
[0:45] Speaker 6: for this war. We have some signs to suggest that
[0:49] Speaker 6: both of them are willing to come back to the
[0:50] Speaker 6: negotiating table. But really, at this point, it's a question
[0:53] Speaker 6: of who blinks first and who kind of succumbs, for
[0:56] Speaker 6: the lack of a better word, to the other's asks.
[1:00] Speaker 2: And Bloomberg's Abir Abu Omar reports that a U.S. official
[1:02] Speaker 2: is saying there will be no or will not be
[1:05] Speaker 2: a pact with Iran unless issues regarding the country's nuclear
[1:08] Speaker 2: program are addressed.
[1:10] Speaker 5: And President Trump is criticizing the U.K. 's decision to
[1:13] Speaker 5: release five men held on bail over an alleged terror
[1:16] Speaker 5: plot against a Royal Air Force base. Let's get the
[1:19] Speaker 5: latest now from Bloomberg's Ewan Potts in Europe.
[1:21] Speaker 7: Ewan, good morning.
[1:23] Speaker 8: Alexis and Karen, the release of the suspects arrested over
[1:26] Speaker 8: the weekend has sowed confusion about an incident that authorities
[1:29] Speaker 8: had described as a serious attempted attack disrupted at a
[1:33] Speaker 8: late stage. The Royal Air Force Base in the west
[1:36] Speaker 8: of England is a key launching pad for US airstrikes
[1:40] Speaker 8: on Iran. But according to a British official, no viable
[1:43] Speaker 8: explosives were found at the scene of the men's arrest.
[1:47] Speaker 8: chief of counterterrorism policing says that the men remain under
[1:51] Speaker 8: investigation and multiple lines of inquiry are still ongoing. In Brussels,
[1:56] Speaker 8: I'm Ewan Potts, Bloomberg Radio.
[1:57] Speaker 2: All right, Ewan, thanks. Now to the latest on the
[2:00] Speaker 2: trade war between the U.S. and Canada. A U.S. import
[2:03] Speaker 2: ban on a select number of Canadian products is officially
[2:05] Speaker 2: in effect. The Trump administration's latest trade restrictions block imports
[2:10] Speaker 2: of motorcycles, alcoholic beverages and whey products from Canada in
[2:15] Speaker 2: response to retaliatory tariffs imposed by Prime Minister Mark Carney's
[2:19] Speaker 2: government on some U.S. goods. The trade affected by the
[2:22] Speaker 2: new import ban is relatively small, about $ 1 billion. The U.S.
[2:27] Speaker 2: and Canada exchanged almost $ 900 billion of goods and services
[2:30] Speaker 2: in 2025. Well, Karen, back.
[2:32] Speaker 5: Here in the U.S., President Trump is set to host
[2:35] Speaker 5: a lunch meeting with tech and AI leaders today to
[2:38] Speaker 5: launch a new government website, America.gov. Bloomberg's Amy Morris reports
[2:43] Speaker 5: from Washington.
[2:44] Speaker 9: Anthropic CEO Dario Amadei is reportedly among the AI executives
[2:49] Speaker 9: expected to attend the lunch meeting with President Trump. Semaphore
[2:52] Speaker 9: reports Google CEO Sundar Pichai and Meta's Mark Zuckerberg will
[2:57] Speaker 9: also attend. A White House official says the new America.gov
[3:00] Speaker 9: website is designed to help Americans access federal information and resources.
[3:05] Speaker 9: The event will include panel discussions on AI, energy dominance, health, space,
[3:10] Speaker 9: and agriculture. In Washington, Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio.
[3:14] Speaker 2: All right, Amy, thank you. White House National Economic Council
[3:17] Speaker 2: Director Kevin Hassett is weighing in on artificial intelligence. He
[3:20] Speaker 2: says AI will have a beneficial impact on future job growth.
[3:25] Speaker 7: The growth benefit of it is way bigger than you
[3:27] Speaker 7: might think. The concerns, of course, are that it's going
[3:31] Speaker 7: to change people's jobs, maybe cause some jobs to be replaced.
[3:35] Speaker 7: Firms that start using AI see their sales go up
[3:37] Speaker 7: a lot, their employment go up a lot, and wages
[3:41] Speaker 7: go up a lot because the people are more productive.
[3:43] Speaker 7: The firms that don't employ AI start to fail.
[3:47] Speaker 2: And White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett made
[3:50] Speaker 2: the comments in an interview with Bloomberg's David Weston at
[3:53] Speaker 2: the New York Economic Club. Catch the conversation on the
[3:56] Speaker 2: Bloomberg Video Hub at Bloomberg.com and the Bloomberg Business app.
[4:00] Speaker 5: And the artificial intelligence debate is catching the attention of
[4:03] Speaker 5: Pope Leo. Axios is reporting the pontiff told reporters that
[4:07] Speaker 5: warnings from AI researchers should be, quote, taken seriously and
[4:11] Speaker 5: are not fake news.
[4:13] Speaker 2: OpenAI is holding back a version of its Astra artificial
[4:17] Speaker 2: intelligence model, Alexis, after it failed to perform as well
[4:21] Speaker 2: on safety evaluations. OpenAI has reported a series of security
[4:25] Speaker 2: incidents in which its AI agents have breached outside systems,
[4:29] Speaker 2: adding to broader concerns about AI slipping out of human control.
[4:33] Speaker 2: The company said last week that it was pausing training
[4:35] Speaker 2: on its most capable models after another AI model accessed
[4:39] Speaker 2: the internet when it was supposed to be unable to
[4:41] Speaker 2: do so.
[4:42] Speaker 5: And Karen, Chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices is acquiring the AI
[4:46] Speaker 5: startup World Labs. The price tag, $ 8. 2 billion. World Labs
[4:51] Speaker 5: was founded by AI industry pioneer and researcher Fei-Fei Li.
[4:56] Speaker 5: Bloomberg's Ed Ludlow spoke about the deal with AMD CEO
[4:59] Speaker 5: Lisa Su.
[5:00] Speaker 10: For the size and scope of our ambition at AMD,
[5:03] Speaker 10: having a world-class research team, and Fei-Fei's team will be
[5:07] Speaker 10: the nucleus of our AI models team, I think is
[5:11] Speaker 10: absolutely critical when we think about all of the innovation
[5:14] Speaker 10: that is to be done over the next decade. I
[5:18] Speaker 10: think we want to do it really with innovation across
[5:21] Speaker 10: the entire stack. And so I view this as both
[5:25] Speaker 10: a big vote of confidence for just the work that's
[5:28] Speaker 10: already been done, but even more importantly, what we will
[5:31] Speaker 10: do together.
[5:31] Speaker 5: AMD CEO Lisa Su speaking there with Bloomberg's Ed Ludlow.
[5:35] Speaker 5: And you can catch the entire interview and all of
[5:37] Speaker 5: our high-profile conversations on our video hub on the Bloomberg
[5:40] Speaker 5: Business app.
[5:41] Speaker 2: Well, Alexis, we turn to the markets now, where global
[5:44] Speaker 2: stocks are trading at one-week lows. The S & P
[5:46] Speaker 2: 500 wiped out this month's advance, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq
[5:49] Speaker 2: 100 lost 1.1%. Michael Purvis, the CEO at Tallback and
[5:54] Speaker 2: Capital Advisors, is still bullish.
[5:57] Speaker 11: The rally this year, the 13% or so rally, has
[6:01] Speaker 11: been driven by exceptional earnings growth. Again, to get to 8,500,
[6:06] Speaker 11: a little bit of, not a lot, but a tiny
[6:07] Speaker 11: bit of PE expansion with earnings, more earnings growth, which
[6:11] Speaker 11: has been running a little bit more than 2% every
[6:14] Speaker 11: month this year. If we see a continuation of that,
[6:17] Speaker 11: you can easily get to 8,400, 8,500.
[6:20] Speaker 2: Tallback and Capital Advisors Michael Purvis forecasts would be about
[6:24] Speaker 2: a 10% gain from current levels.
[6:27] Speaker 5: And Karen, much of investors' focus, of course, has been
[6:29] Speaker 5: on the Treasury market, where the benchmark U.S. 10-year yield
[6:33] Speaker 5: rose to the highest since 2007. Bloomberg's John Tucker joins
[6:37] Speaker 5: us now with the latest. John, good morning.
[6:39] Speaker 3: Good morning, Alexis. An uneasy calm, I'll call it, settling
[6:42] Speaker 3: over the bond market right now. That could change in
[6:45] Speaker 3: a heartbeat, though. We have a busy stretch of labor
[6:47] Speaker 3: market data that kicks off today with the release of
[6:49] Speaker 3: the August job openings report, the Jolt Survey. With bond
[6:53] Speaker 3: yields at multi-decade highs, Bob Michael at J.P. Morgan Investment
[6:58] Speaker 3: Management actually sees opportunity for investors.
[7:01] Speaker 12: Can the Fed actually do a total of six rate hikes,
[7:05] Speaker 12: go from three and five-eighths to five and an eighth?
[7:08] Speaker 12: Because if they can't, then bond yields of over 5%
[7:12] Speaker 12: are pretty much a gift to you.
[7:14] Speaker 3: And toss this into the mix. This is historically a
[7:17] Speaker 3: bad time of year for bond prices. Over the past decade,
[7:20] Speaker 3: treasuries have posted a median loss of almost 1% for
[7:24] Speaker 3: the month of September. As one strategist puts it, it's
[7:27] Speaker 3: been a train wreck in rates over September. A Bloomberg columnist,
[7:31] Speaker 3: John Authors, comes up with a new word. bondpocalypse in
[7:35] Speaker 3: New York. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio.
[7:37] Speaker 2: All right, John, thank you. In company news, Goldman Sachs
[7:40] Speaker 2: has reportedly discussed a plan for John Waldron to succeed
[7:43] Speaker 2: David Solomon as CEO as soon as next year. The
[7:46] Speaker 2: Wall Street Journal says Waldron, who is currently chief operating officer,
[7:49] Speaker 2: could take over toward the end of 2027 or in
[7:52] Speaker 2: 2028 with Solomon moving to an executive chairman role. And
[7:56] Speaker 2: last year, Goldman's board gave Waldron a restricted stock package
[7:59] Speaker 2: now worth nearly $ 120 million, which to stay five more years.
[8:03] Speaker 5: 509 on Wall Street, time for a look at some
[8:08] Speaker 5: of the other stories making news in New York and
[8:11] Speaker 5: around the world. For that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael,
[8:14] Speaker 5: good morning.
[8:14] Speaker 13: Good morning, Alexis. It's cleanup time for residents in the Northeast.
[8:18] Speaker 13: In Seabright, New Jersey, the Nor'easter sent roughly three feet
[8:22] Speaker 13: of water into parts of the low-lying coastal community. This
[8:26] Speaker 13: man in Monmouth County was out Monday trying to restore
[8:29] Speaker 13: his property.
[8:30] Speaker 14: When you live down here, we're kind of ready for it.
[8:32] Speaker 14: It kind of happens all the time. You can get
[8:34] Speaker 14: the lightest little rain, you're going to have flooding. But
[8:36] Speaker 14: this nor'easter was a little bit more than just flooding.
[8:39] Speaker 14: So we had probably around three feet of water over here.
[8:42] Speaker 13: The Federal Emergency Management Agency said response coordination centers in
[8:47] Speaker 13: impacted regions were operating. The Senate passed a bill to
[8:51] Speaker 13: limit college athletes to one school transfer during their careers
[8:55] Speaker 13: and regulate collegiate sports. The bipartisan Protect College Sports Act
[9:00] Speaker 13: was approved on a 77-22 vote and addresses issues including
[9:05] Speaker 13: media rights and fee caps for agents. The bill must
[9:08] Speaker 13: still be voted on by the House, which is out
[9:11] Speaker 13: of Washington until after the November 3rd elections. Authorities are
[9:15] Speaker 13: saying the director of engineering for New York Times Games
[9:19] Speaker 13: was allegedly shot and killed by his 77-year-old in-laws in Dublin, California.
[9:24] Speaker 13: The case reportedly involves a pending divorce, child custody battle,
[9:28] Speaker 13: child abuse, and domestic violence. The victim identified as 40-year-old
[9:33] Speaker 13: Jonathan McKenzie. Legal expert Stephen Clark.
[9:36] Speaker 15: This has all the aspects of a deeply personal revenge-type killing.
[9:41] Speaker 15: So it's going to be important for law enforcement to
[9:44] Speaker 15: dig deep into the relationship between these parties and the
[9:49] Speaker 15: victim's wife and what email and text information was exchanged
[9:54] Speaker 15: regarding the potential issue of domestic violence.
[9:58] Speaker 13: Last year, McKenzie pleaded not guilty. to two counts of
[10:01] Speaker 13: child abuse and was released on condition of parenting glasses.
[10:04] Speaker 13: Wind is whipping Mexico's northern Pacific coast and water has
[10:07] Speaker 13: started to flood some streets as Hurricane Polo bears down
[10:11] Speaker 13: on Baja, California, sir. The hurricane is threatening flash floods
[10:16] Speaker 13: and mudslides. Polo is a category three storm with top
[10:19] Speaker 13: sustained winds of 115 miles per hour. Global news 24
[10:23] Speaker 13: hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg
[10:26] Speaker 13: News Now. I'm Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg.
[10:30] Speaker 2: Thanks, Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports Update. And
[10:33] Speaker 2: for that, we bring in John Stashower.
[10:35] Speaker 13: Thanks, Karen.
[10:36] Speaker 4: Monday Night Football in Chicago. The Bears having to use
[10:39] Speaker 4: their third-string quarterback, 38-year-old Case Keenum. Hadn't started an NFL
[10:43] Speaker 4: game in almost three years. He was terrific. Led the
[10:45] Speaker 4: Bears to a 27-7 victory over the Eagles. The Vikings
[10:49] Speaker 4: drafted QB J.J. McCarthy with the 10th overall pick just
[10:52] Speaker 4: a couple years ago. He was injured his rookie season,
[10:55] Speaker 4: then didn't play well last year. The Vikings have traded
[10:57] Speaker 4: McCarthy to the Giants. The baseball postseason begins today. Four
[11:01] Speaker 4: series get underway in New York, Houston, Atlanta, and San Diego.
[11:05] Speaker 4: That's a Bloomberg Sports Update.
[11:08] Speaker 5: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this.
[11:16] Speaker 1: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio. Nationwide on Sirius XM.
[11:20] Speaker 1: And around the world on Bloomberg.com and the Bloomberg Business App.
[11:25] Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak.
[11:27] Speaker 2: And good morning. I'm Karen Moscow alongside Alexis Christophorus. And
[11:31] Speaker 2: sources tell Bloomberg Iranian officials have privately expressed pessimism about
[11:35] Speaker 2: reaching a deal to end the war with the U.S.
[11:38] Speaker 2: and reopen the Strait of Hormuz before the midterm elections.
[11:41] Speaker 2: This says President Trump continues to insist issues regarding the
[11:44] Speaker 2: country's nuclear program must be addressed.
[11:47] Speaker 13: Iran will never.
[11:48] Speaker 6: Have a nuclear one. That's a very big thing.
[11:51] Speaker 16: Because if you want to see turmoil and a travesty,
[11:55] Speaker 16: Let them take out a city with a nuclear weapon.
[11:58] Speaker 2: Well, our next guest says a chance was missed last
[12:00] Speaker 2: week to put the standoff toward a settlement rather than escalation.
[12:04] Speaker 2: We get more on that with Bloomberg Opinion columnist Mark Champion. Mark,
[12:08] Speaker 2: good morning. Hey, let's get straight to your piece. You
[12:11] Speaker 2: say one side just overplayed its hand in Iran.
[12:15] Speaker 7: Explain.
[12:17] Speaker 16: Well, you know, we're at a point, you know, coming
[12:21] Speaker 16: towards the midterms now where both sides have basically said
[12:24] Speaker 16: if we don't get some kind of deal before then,
[12:26] Speaker 16: then we're going to see escalation. We're going to see
[12:30] Speaker 16: a return to bombing. And just today, for example, the
[12:35] Speaker 16: chief Iranian negotiator, Mohammad Bar-Khalibaf, who's an important guy in part,
[12:40] Speaker 16: you know, he's a veteran of the IRGC, the sort
[12:46] Speaker 16: of the regime's praetorian guard, if you like. And he said,
[12:51] Speaker 16: you know, if we can't sell oil and no one's
[12:55] Speaker 16: going to sell oil in the Middle East and no
[12:57] Speaker 16: infrastructure in the Middle East will be safe. So, really
[13:01] Speaker 16: what has happened is that, you know, the U.S. has
[13:04] Speaker 16: been very successful both in blockading the Iranian ability to
[13:10] Speaker 16: get its oil exports out and in breaking the Iranian
[13:15] Speaker 16: attempt at a blockade. And that success has now, you know,
[13:20] Speaker 16: emboldened President Trump. He's sounding very confident, says we will win. And,
[13:25] Speaker 16: you know, he wants to impose his deal. a deal
[13:30] Speaker 16: that he's willing to accept. And, you know, so the
[13:34] Speaker 16: talks kind of broke down. There's still mediation going on. But,
[13:39] Speaker 16: you know, both sides are talking about what happens after
[13:42] Speaker 16: the midterms with the U.S., you know, Trump saying, you know,
[13:46] Speaker 16: he's considering to return to bombing and the Iranians saying
[13:51] Speaker 16: that they are ready to escalate.
[13:54] Speaker 2: And by escalate, does that mean broaden the war then
[13:57] Speaker 2: and getting more countries involved?
[13:59] Speaker 4: Yes.
[14:00] Speaker 16: So, we know they can escalate in the Gulf.
[14:02] Speaker 2: They've done it already.
[14:03] Speaker 16: They can hit the East-West Pipeline, which Saudi Arabia is
[14:08] Speaker 16: using to, you know, move oil out of, you know,
[14:12] Speaker 16: to its exports without having to go through Hormuz. They've
[14:16] Speaker 16: done that before. They can, you know, have hit and
[14:19] Speaker 16: will again hit energy infrastructure. So, oil refineries, Qatar's gas industry,
[14:27] Speaker 16: you know, natural gas installations. These are huge pieces of
[14:31] Speaker 16: the global economy. And so, the Iranians, you know, have
[14:35] Speaker 16: shown that they can do it and they will, you know,
[14:39] Speaker 16: they're basically threatening that they will escalate. And it's really
[14:43] Speaker 16: the success of the U.S. that has, you know, reopening
[14:48] Speaker 16: Hormuz for international oil, getting, you know, half or more
[14:53] Speaker 16: of what was flowing out of Hormuz before the war,
[14:58] Speaker 16: that success has now left, you know, Iran in a quandary. So,
[15:03] Speaker 16: you know, they either have to, you know, back down
[15:06] Speaker 16: and accept terms from the U.S., which this particular regime
[15:10] Speaker 16: is highly unlikely to do, or they have to escalate.
[15:14] Speaker 2: What about diplomacy, though? Is there still hope for diplomacy?
[15:18] Speaker 9: I think so.
[15:19] Speaker 16: You know, ultimately, I think that the Iranians do want
[15:23] Speaker 16: a way out of this. You know, they're ready to escalate,
[15:29] Speaker 16: but they know that it will be pretty devastating for them. And,
[15:33] Speaker 16: you know, President Trump ultimately, a number of times before,
[15:37] Speaker 16: he's wanted to do certain things, you know, like to
[15:41] Speaker 16: occupy Haag Island, where, you know, most Iranian oil is
[15:45] Speaker 16: exported from. And then was persuaded by you know, his
[15:50] Speaker 16: advisors military advisors. Well, you know, we can do it
[15:53] Speaker 16: But what then we just you know become targets say
[15:56] Speaker 16: there's not much we can do after that And so,
[15:58] Speaker 16: you know, it's there's stuff that he wants to do
[16:02] Speaker 16: and you know has wanted to do before but it's
[16:05] Speaker 16: always a question of okay, I So, you know, what
[16:08] Speaker 16: will that achieve? You know, how will that end the
[16:12] Speaker 16: conflict on the terms that you want? So that, you know,
[16:16] Speaker 16: remains unclear. And as they get towards, you know, restarting
[16:21] Speaker 16: the fighting for real, then I think those, you know,
[16:25] Speaker 16: diplomacy then has a chance.
[16:28] Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories
[16:32] Speaker 2: making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond.
[16:35] Speaker 5: Look for us on your podcast feed by 6 a.m.
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[16:42] Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning starting at 5 a.m.
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[17:15] Speaker 5: And I'm Alexis Christophorus. Join us again tomorrow morning for
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[17:21] Speaker 5: here on Bloomberg Daybreak.

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