# The Show: A Statement From JJ, Favorite Picks in Rounds 1-5, and More

An episode of [The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast](https://invisiblenetwork.ai/podcast/1224965828), 30 Jul 2026, 58 min.

Audio: https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/0a233618-d694-4c81-a139-b34e00f98fb1/9021340d-6d70-4e14-8865-b49601150e38/audio.mp3?utm_source=Podcast&in_playlist=5747cc82-33a9-497c-8353-b34e00f98fbe

JJ and Kitchen recap their trip to Canton, react to listener feedback from last week's episode, break down the latest training camp news, share some of their favorite picks through the first five rounds of 2026 fantasy football drafts, and more. ---------- All DraftKings Customers enter a lineup into the Best Ball $20 million Headliner Contest and receive a bonus ticket for a 2nd entry! Download the DraftKings app and sign up using https://bit.ly/LateRound2026 or promo code LATEROUND! The Crown is Yours! Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT). 18+ in most eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction. Eligibility restrictions apply. Void where prohibited. 1 per customer. Must enter a lineup into the NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. $25 entry fee. Bonus issued as 1 ticket to NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. Ticket reward is site credit valid for use only on NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. Ticket reward is single-use and expires at contest lock on 9/9/26. See terms at https://www.draftkings.com/promotions. Ends 9/9/26 at contest lock. Sponsored by DraftKings. #DKPartner See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

## Transcript

[0:00] Speaker 1: You're about to listen to the Late Round Fantasy Football show,
[0:02] Speaker 1: which originally aired on YouTube. If you'd like to catch
[0:05] Speaker 1: the show live this offseason, you can head to the
[0:07] Speaker 1: Late Round Fantasy Football YouTube channel YouTube dot com. Slash
[0:10] Speaker 1: at Late Round FF will be live each Wednesday at
[0:14] Speaker 1: noon Eastern without further ado. Here's this week's.
[0:17] Speaker 2: Episode, Welcome In.
[0:31] Speaker 3: Welcome In. It's a Late Round Fantasy football show sponsored
[0:34] Speaker 3: by DraftKings. David Kitchen here alongside my Ride or Die,
[0:40] Speaker 3: my road trip partner. Last week, a guy that I
[0:44] Speaker 3: may have dominated in a baseball game that we play. No, No, yes,
[0:53] Speaker 3: j Jena, welcome to the show.
[0:55] Speaker 1: We're not We're not going there. There's a what's the
[0:59] Speaker 1: game called? There's a game for a switch where you
[1:01] Speaker 1: can play like mini games, you know, like board game
[1:03] Speaker 1: type stuff, and there's a baseball game in it, and
[1:06] Speaker 1: Kitchen claims that he'd be We went into like we
[1:08] Speaker 1: couldn't score for for innings upon innings. Then he just.
[1:11] Speaker 3: Got but who did score at the very end, lucky?
[1:14] Speaker 1: He just got lucky. But no, it was it was
[1:16] Speaker 1: a good weekend at the expo, you know, got to
[1:18] Speaker 1: see people we haven't seen in a minute like the footballers.
[1:21] Speaker 1: It was good to hang out with them, got to
[1:24] Speaker 1: see people that we see there each year. I got
[1:26] Speaker 1: to see Gretch too. Gretch was another one that we
[1:28] Speaker 1: hadn't seen in a minute. But it was a great time,
[1:30] Speaker 1: you know, to to be able to you know, get
[1:32] Speaker 1: together and draft some teams. You were in the King's
[1:36] Speaker 1: Classic this year in the other division, but we both
[1:39] Speaker 1: drew the one on one and we had kind of
[1:41] Speaker 1: comparable builds, you know, with out of that spot. And
[1:45] Speaker 1: then we did the auction Draft right after, so that
[1:47] Speaker 1: was a lot of fun. So it was a good
[1:48] Speaker 1: weekend all around.
[1:50] Speaker 3: Yeah, the auction draft was pretty intense. We had the
[1:54] Speaker 3: number in my room, We had the number ten auctioneer
[1:58] Speaker 3: in the world. Just had a competition you did. Oh,
[2:02] Speaker 3: it was intense. I saw Shane Hallim on Twitter. So
[2:06] Speaker 3: this is the most like intense draft I've ever been
[2:09] Speaker 3: a part of. And I I have the same way
[2:11] Speaker 3: like you're You're It was like three hours and so
[2:14] Speaker 3: you were hanging on every player and you're checking your
[2:17] Speaker 3: sheet and and everything else. There's fourteen teams in there
[2:20] Speaker 3: with deep rosters, three wide receivers, three flex and uh, yeah,
[2:27] Speaker 3: it was interesting. It was funny because our drafts went
[2:31] Speaker 3: fairly similar. For the Snake draft, auction draft was pretty different. Yeah,
[2:35] Speaker 3: as far as and that just goes to show that
[2:38] Speaker 3: auction drafts are kind of like it's you no auxy
[2:42] Speaker 3: draft is the same because you read the room. Yeah,
[2:44] Speaker 3: you have different strategies. It's uh, every room is is different,
[2:49] Speaker 3: all right, so we do. Yeah, I want to say that.
[2:53] Speaker 3: Hold on JJ said before the show, He's like, I'm
[2:55] Speaker 3: gonna surprise you with something. I've got to.
[2:57] Speaker 1: Say something that needs to be said. Okay, So I'm
[3:00] Speaker 1: one of those people on the internet that does read
[3:02] Speaker 1: the comments, that does look at my mentions, and I
[3:06] Speaker 1: will gladly, you know, take in any criticism or jab
[3:11] Speaker 1: back if you're gonna troll, you know, not in like
[3:14] Speaker 1: a just more of like a fun sarcastic way at
[3:17] Speaker 1: this point in my life. But I read the comments
[3:20] Speaker 1: because there's a lot of good feedback from the comments,
[3:22] Speaker 1: Like genuinely there's there's good feedback that are received via comments.
[3:27] Speaker 1: People think that it's all trolling as bad for your
[3:29] Speaker 1: mental health. I disagree. I think that there's there's it's
[3:32] Speaker 1: people that are voicing their opinion about how a show
[3:35] Speaker 1: goes and they say, hey, I didn't like this part,
[3:38] Speaker 1: and it's like, Okay, I might still do that thing,
[3:41] Speaker 1: but I know that you don't like it, and maybe
[3:43] Speaker 1: other people feel the same way. There was one piece
[3:46] Speaker 1: of feedback from last week's show episode. I don't know
[3:48] Speaker 1: if you knew know about this kitchen, but I'd like
[3:52] Speaker 1: to address it, and I've I've actually written a statement
[3:54] Speaker 1: that I'm going to read, oh boy or this particular situation. Okay, first,
[3:59] Speaker 1: I'm gonna up my phone on Focus because for some
[4:02] Speaker 1: reason it wasn't a right a statement regarding last week's
[4:07] Speaker 1: news item about Sam Laporta. On last week's Late Round
[4:11] Speaker 1: Fantasy Football show, my co host and COO David Kitchen
[4:14] Speaker 1: read a news item about Sam Laporta recovering from a microdissectomy.
[4:19] Speaker 1: Immediately after, rather than responding with a take to that
[4:22] Speaker 1: news item, I immediately started talking about the Falcons quarterback job.
[4:27] Speaker 1: I'd like to go on record and say that I
[4:28] Speaker 1: was wrong and I apologize. Rather than responding individually to
[4:33] Speaker 1: the countless comments, social media mentions and emails, I just
[4:36] Speaker 1: like to go on record and say that I had
[4:38] Speaker 1: a thirty second period where I was completely lost and
[4:41] Speaker 1: there were three main reasons as to why I was lost. First,
[4:45] Speaker 1: as many of you know, I was sick last week.
[4:47] Speaker 1: My brain wasn't functioning the way it typically does, and
[4:50] Speaker 1: that led to me not fully paying attention to what
[4:52] Speaker 1: was going on. Second, my co host was attempting to
[4:54] Speaker 1: pronounce the word microdissectomy before handing it off to me,
[4:58] Speaker 1: and that really threw me off. I'll be speaking to
[5:01] Speaker 1: David Kitchen separately on that matter so it doesn't happen again. Third,
[5:05] Speaker 1: bringing it all together, that same co host skip the
[5:08] Speaker 1: laporta item in our show sheet and then went back
[5:11] Speaker 1: to it, which threw me off completely. As you know,
[5:13] Speaker 1: I was sick last week, So really, instead of emailing
[5:17] Speaker 1: me and sending me messages on social media about my incompetence,
[5:21] Speaker 1: please direct all of that hate to David Kitchen. This
[5:24] Speaker 1: is actually all of his fault. You can reach them
[5:25] Speaker 1: via email at David at Lateround dot com or on
[5:28] Speaker 1: Twitter at David Underscore Kitchen. I appreciate everyone's time.
[5:34] Speaker 3: Oh yeah, that was a surprise that I apologize as
[5:39] Speaker 3: well for my part, and that we didn't talk about
[5:42] Speaker 3: this because I'm like, maybe no one will know this.
[5:44] Speaker 1: I was so guys. Last week I was feeling like
[5:48] Speaker 1: absolute garbage, and then when that was going on, I
[5:52] Speaker 1: was actively thinking, I think I just started talking about
[5:55] Speaker 1: something completely different because I was just going off with
[5:57] Speaker 1: the show sheet.
[5:57] Speaker 3: So the first thing I did after the episode usually
[6:00] Speaker 3: I like create the you know, our podcast titles and
[6:03] Speaker 3: stuff like that. The first thing I did was I
[6:05] Speaker 3: was like, I must have zoned out because I did not,
[6:08] Speaker 3: and no one else said it in the chat at
[6:10] Speaker 3: the time, and so I had to go back and
[6:13] Speaker 3: look at it, and I was like, Okay.
[6:15] Speaker 1: That's the thing. The chat wasn't very on top of
[6:16] Speaker 1: it either in that In that case, the problem was
[6:19] Speaker 1: I heard about an injury, and then we talked about
[6:21] Speaker 1: players who were injured. So I kind of make because
[6:23] Speaker 1: because I was just kind of going off of the
[6:25] Speaker 1: line items in the show sheet.
[6:26] Speaker 3: For our news items, I do skip around sometimes as
[6:29] Speaker 3: far as like when it's like a position or if
[6:31] Speaker 3: there's someone that we mentioned, I just go to that player.
[6:33] Speaker 3: I do skip around. I apologize and in the future
[6:37] Speaker 3: I will say, JJ, I don't know what you're talking about,
[6:40] Speaker 3: Like I thought it was me.
[6:41] Speaker 1: That's fine.
[6:42] Speaker 3: I thought it was asked me.
[6:43] Speaker 1: A lot of trouble brother brother. I got not only comments,
[6:47] Speaker 1: not only people on Twitter. I had two or three
[6:51] Speaker 1: emails from people that were asking what I was doing
[6:55] Speaker 1: in that moment. And to tell you the truth, I
[6:57] Speaker 1: don't know, because I wasn't well and there was just
[7:01] Speaker 1: a lot going on in that particular moment. So I
[7:03] Speaker 1: apologize and hopefully we can move on and I'll be friendsy. Yeah.
[7:06] Speaker 3: I was stuck in a car with JJ where he
[7:09] Speaker 3: was coughing up along last week and also he had
[7:14] Speaker 3: sick kids there at the house, and I thought I
[7:17] Speaker 3: was out of it, and then JJ was like, well no,
[7:19] Speaker 3: it took me six or seven days to be fair.
[7:23] Speaker 1: I was on the tail end at that point.
[7:24] Speaker 3: So I I think I woke up this morning though,
[7:27] Speaker 3: like I think I'm good now.
[7:29] Speaker 1: First was there was there was a day of sore throat.
[7:32] Speaker 1: That was the first thing.
[7:33] Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't think I've had and.
[7:34] Speaker 1: I'm finally I'm finally like back to This is the
[7:37] Speaker 1: first day I feel like that I'm like fully fully
[7:39] Speaker 1: back to normal. But I don't think I was contagious
[7:41] Speaker 1: back then.
[7:43] Speaker 3: We have eight days until football starts Hall of Fame game.
[7:46] Speaker 3: We were just there at the Hall of fame Mary Fitzgerald,
[7:51] Speaker 3: He's gonna be there. We have new merch in the
[7:58] Speaker 3: store on Late Round dot com and it is the
[8:01] Speaker 3: t shirts, the Miami Vice kind of themed t.
[8:05] Speaker 1: Shirts, draft guide theme that we wore.
[8:09] Speaker 3: Yes, the Draft guide theme that we wore to the expo.
[8:12] Speaker 3: That's available for everybody. And also want to give a
[8:15] Speaker 3: shout out to our sponsors drafting have the draft one
[8:18] Speaker 3: get one. Lots to talk about Best Ball this week.
[8:23] Speaker 3: I was just thinking on the way home, like if
[8:24] Speaker 3: we did not have Best Ball and DraftKings Best Ball,
[8:28] Speaker 3: what would we be doing, Like what would be talking
[8:31] Speaker 3: about dynasty shares right now?
[8:33] Speaker 1: Like you know it's I mean, people are people are
[8:35] Speaker 1: getting in the redraft now we're we're here, now we're
[8:38] Speaker 1: here right Yes, July June and early July, I would
[8:41] Speaker 1: not be as fun.
[8:43] Speaker 3: But referencing stuff. So yeah, they do have the huge
[8:46] Speaker 3: million maker contest speaking out. JJ will be drafting right
[8:50] Speaker 3: after this show on the YouTube channel, another draft and
[8:55] Speaker 3: then we will have Also we're starting trying to be
[9:01] Speaker 3: more consistent with their draft times, so one pm Eastern
[9:05] Speaker 3: those are gonna be that's gonna be the time we
[9:07] Speaker 3: try to draft. So if it's one pm Eastern, twelfth Central.
[9:11] Speaker 3: You need to just check the Late Round Challenge see
[9:14] Speaker 3: if we're drafting, and we should. We should be up there.
[9:16] Speaker 3: But going back to the best ball stuff, draft one,
[9:19] Speaker 3: get get one promo code Late Round. Talk to someone
[9:23] Speaker 3: at the expo where they were like, you know, you
[9:25] Speaker 3: said that you didn't have like, if you didn't have
[9:29] Speaker 3: a huge bankroll, you could still draft the three dollars
[9:32] Speaker 3: dollar teams. That's what I've been doing. Maxed out the
[9:34] Speaker 3: twenty of the one dollar contest. So all I need
[9:38] Speaker 3: to do draftings dot Com promo code Late Round link
[9:41] Speaker 3: is in the description. And we have spent a lot
[9:44] Speaker 3: of time talking JJ. Are you ready to move on?
[9:46] Speaker 1: Yeah, there's gonna be. I'll read the comments, guys, trust
[9:49] Speaker 1: me when you complain about this. But yes, let's move
[9:50] Speaker 1: on to the news.
[9:52] Speaker 3: Today's fantasy news. All right, Uh, today's news started with
[9:58] Speaker 3: a tua. Yeah, listen, this Atlanta quarterback situation is already
[10:06] Speaker 3: a miss. He had a flare up. They signed Cooper Rush.
[10:09] Speaker 3: We don't know what's happening. What's your take on this?
[10:12] Speaker 3: To a thing? Just when we thought he was like
[10:13] Speaker 3: QB one.
[10:15] Speaker 1: So look, I don't mind Sam Laporta this year. I'm
[10:19] Speaker 1: just stop just kidding. Uh No, I mean, like it's
[10:23] Speaker 1: my stance from last week in this this quarterback room,
[10:25] Speaker 1: like I'm not like super super bowlish on you know,
[10:29] Speaker 1: any of these guys. It does like I saw that
[10:32] Speaker 1: that Michael Pennix was clear for seven on seven. He
[10:35] Speaker 1: threw a nice pass to Zachariah Branch in seven on seven.
[10:40] Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, like overall, I think I'd rather
[10:44] Speaker 1: have Tua under center for Bijon and maybe feeding Drake London.
[10:50] Speaker 1: And I feel but like he's just been really not
[10:53] Speaker 1: great and we don't have Mike McDaniel leading that offense
[10:57] Speaker 1: at this point. So yeah, I mean it at least
[11:00] Speaker 1: opens the door a little bit for Michael Pennix this
[11:02] Speaker 1: back thing. But we'll see, we'll see what ends up happening.
[11:05] Speaker 1: Hopefully it's just a minor, minor issue.
[11:08] Speaker 3: Okay, This next one, this one was an interesting one.
[11:13] Speaker 3: JJ sach scharbon sharp as we call them, ready for
[11:19] Speaker 3: week one, that is, that is and fathomable. I don't
[11:26] Speaker 3: know if that's true. I think that might be more speculation.
[11:30] Speaker 3: And you were in the the twitter streets, uh do
[11:33] Speaker 3: get it out?
[11:34] Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I there was a tweet from Sleeper.
[11:37] Speaker 1: I quot tweeted it because it was a I think
[11:40] Speaker 1: Breer was it? Breer who who was reporting on it,
[11:42] Speaker 1: like basically saying that like sharbon At might be ready
[11:46] Speaker 1: for week one or like that they're not. You know,
[11:48] Speaker 1: they don't know for sure, and I just haven't led
[11:50] Speaker 1: it out, ye right, And I said, I said, I'm sorry,
[11:53] Speaker 1: that was my my quote tweet to that, because clearly
[11:56] Speaker 1: anyone in the fantasy space right now, we're assuming that
[11:59] Speaker 1: it's more of like a November thing. Some people don't
[12:01] Speaker 1: even think he's gonna play at all this year. And
[12:05] Speaker 1: you know, if you look at this from a timeline perspective,
[12:08] Speaker 1: he got hurt in January. He then got surgery because
[12:11] Speaker 1: there was swelling and such. A month later. February twentieth
[12:16] Speaker 1: was the surgery date, which means by the time the
[12:18] Speaker 1: season starts, it's like six and a half months post
[12:21] Speaker 1: op for that acl which typically you know, for running
[12:25] Speaker 1: backs and such a future. I mean, look, if you
[12:27] Speaker 1: want to think that he's Superman or you know, can
[12:30] Speaker 1: be ahead of what we typically see, that's one thing.
[12:33] Speaker 1: But this is like multiple months, if not at least
[12:36] Speaker 1: a month ahead of like the earliest we've ever seen
[12:39] Speaker 1: a guy come back from an ACL, And yeah, you know,
[12:42] Speaker 1: medicine and peptides and all. You know, I've seen a
[12:44] Speaker 1: lot of people talk about like peptides and that's gonna
[12:47] Speaker 1: help a lot of these players recover from injury. Well
[12:49] Speaker 1: some of them are banned first off, from being used
[12:52] Speaker 1: by NFL players, So keep that in mind. But also,
[12:56] Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know enough about medicine to
[12:58] Speaker 1: say like, yeah, these guys are gonna cut two months
[13:01] Speaker 1: off of their recovery time from an ACL because of peptides.
[13:05] Speaker 1: You know, I just don't think that it's a reasonable
[13:07] Speaker 1: thing to me to sit on a podcast is gonna
[13:08] Speaker 1: be listening to a lot of people and say that, right,
[13:11] Speaker 1: So my stance still is that that's a very very
[13:14] Speaker 1: bolish and optimistic way to view Sharbonay. My guess is
[13:18] Speaker 1: still like maybe October at the earliest, just based on
[13:22] Speaker 1: what we've seen traditionally, But I think November is a
[13:25] Speaker 1: more reasonable timeline. And if you're talking about like getting
[13:27] Speaker 1: back to full strength, that's that's sort of like that
[13:30] Speaker 1: mid November timeframe and area. Now, how does that impact
[13:33] Speaker 1: the rest of that backfield. I do think that if
[13:35] Speaker 1: you think about it from like Jenerian Price's standpoint, he's
[13:38] Speaker 1: got to really do something and grab hold of that
[13:40] Speaker 1: backfield to start the season because Sharboney could be hurting
[13:44] Speaker 1: him when it matters most in the fantasy playoffs, you know,
[13:47] Speaker 1: so to keep that in mind, I still think that,
[13:50] Speaker 1: like the stuff that we're seeing with George Hallani is
[13:55] Speaker 1: not just BS. I think there's probably something to I mean,
[13:59] Speaker 1: he got run in the plays a little bit like
[14:00] Speaker 1: I think he's at least like a la Quinn Allen
[14:03] Speaker 1: type player for them, And then there's the upside of
[14:06] Speaker 1: maybe he gets more early down work than we think.
[14:08] Speaker 1: And we can sit here and say that doesn't make
[14:10] Speaker 1: any sense, but I think a lot of people thought
[14:11] Speaker 1: it didn't make any sense from this with the backfield
[14:13] Speaker 1: last year, the way that they did with Kenneth Walker,
[14:15] Speaker 1: and when you get confirmation that they did it the
[14:18] Speaker 1: right way because they won the Super Bowl largely or
[14:21] Speaker 1: at least partially because of Kenneth Walker, who won Super
[14:23] Speaker 1: Bowl MVP because he probably had fresher legs, I don't
[14:26] Speaker 1: think that they just forgot it, like forgot about that,
[14:29] Speaker 1: you know. So there might be more of a split
[14:32] Speaker 1: than people assume. I think price is fine as like
[14:35] Speaker 1: a sixth round pick. I'm a little bit worried if
[14:38] Speaker 1: he goes in like the Travion jud Kin, you know,
[14:42] Speaker 1: those like year two guys, those running backs in that range.
[14:45] Speaker 1: I think that he should be below them. But yeah,
[14:48] Speaker 1: like that, that's my general feel of this backfield. I
[14:50] Speaker 1: I would be shocked if Zach Sharbiney has a role
[14:56] Speaker 1: in Week one. I'd be pretty shocked.
[14:59] Speaker 3: I did tell you that you need to go on
[15:01] Speaker 3: VPC one five to seven and let me know how
[15:04] Speaker 3: it out feels.
[15:05] Speaker 1: That's not I'm not a peptide bro. I can't. I can't.
[15:07] Speaker 1: I get too nervous about putting anything in my body.
[15:10] Speaker 3: Yeah, that's the one.
[15:11] Speaker 1: I got nervous enough when I started taking creatine last year.
[15:13] Speaker 1: You know, I'm not.
[15:16] Speaker 3: They call it the Wolverine stack. But yeah, if everyone
[15:19] Speaker 3: else is doing it, I'm I'm going to be doing it.
[15:21] Speaker 3: I talked to a guy actually that he his business
[15:27] Speaker 3: helps NFL players a lot of a lot of different
[15:30] Speaker 3: athletes get back to like their former selves, helps with
[15:34] Speaker 3: injuries like a sports chiropractice, And he said that BPC
[15:38] Speaker 3: one five, so big, were we go?
[15:40] Speaker 1: Here we go?
[15:41] Speaker 3: Now?
[15:41] Speaker 1: Now Kitchen's just making more comments happen in the Spotify
[15:45] Speaker 1: second comments. It's gonna be great.
[15:47] Speaker 3: Listen, there might be some sponsors out there.
[15:49] Speaker 1: You know, we're not getting spot I don't want to
[15:52] Speaker 1: Peptide brand sponsoring us. All right, let's move on to
[15:54] Speaker 1: the next one.
[15:55] Speaker 3: Cards running back room is a mess. Kind of like
[15:58] Speaker 3: this show so far, I don't know what to take
[16:02] Speaker 3: from all. You know, the coach speak. Then you've got
[16:06] Speaker 3: keeping all four running backs, you got Trey Benson trying
[16:10] Speaker 3: to play special teams. I mean, what are we making
[16:13] Speaker 3: of this running back?
[16:14] Speaker 1: Well, in these situations, like when Nathaniel Hackett comes out
[16:17] Speaker 1: and you start talking about like James Connor being the
[16:20] Speaker 1: RB one or something, or just like praising him, I
[16:23] Speaker 1: hope that in these situations the market reacts to that
[16:28] Speaker 1: type of type of coach speak. Right in the end,
[16:32] Speaker 1: we know that Jeremiah Love is the best running back
[16:34] Speaker 1: in this backfield, right. I think that Tyler Aljier is
[16:39] Speaker 1: a really good grinder. More of that, like early down profile,
[16:45] Speaker 1: he was a pretty decent enough pass catcher. I mean,
[16:47] Speaker 1: he had a really interesting prospect profile because he converted
[16:50] Speaker 1: to running back whenever he was in college, Like it
[16:52] Speaker 1: wasn't wasn't this like thing that he just did from
[16:55] Speaker 1: the start, like he was playing on defense and stuff,
[16:58] Speaker 1: and so uh, good for him for doing what he did,
[17:01] Speaker 1: you know, in the NFL thus far. But with that
[17:04] Speaker 1: being said, Jeremiah Love and I talked about this on
[17:07] Speaker 1: the Schedule Analysis Show. The Cardinals have a really really
[17:10] Speaker 1: tough schedule this year, like like obscenely tough, and it
[17:14] Speaker 1: starts out really hard, and so I'm very interested to
[17:18] Speaker 1: see how that backfield is split when we know that
[17:21] Speaker 1: or we don't know for sure, but we we believe
[17:24] Speaker 1: that Jeremiah Love is more of that traditional pass catching
[17:28] Speaker 1: you know, we'll play and hurry up or play on
[17:31] Speaker 1: third downs long down and distance two minute. And if
[17:34] Speaker 1: that's the case, he might be on the field a
[17:35] Speaker 1: little bit more because the Cardinals aren' going to be
[17:37] Speaker 1: very good, right, Like that's the anti Tyler Algier stance.
[17:41] Speaker 1: In my opinion, I think Love in round three is
[17:45] Speaker 1: a very good bet because you know, everyone will comp
[17:50] Speaker 1: the Ashton Genty thing, right and they'll say, oh, look
[17:52] Speaker 1: at Ashton Gent burned us last year. Well, Ashton Gent's
[17:55] Speaker 1: production in round three last year is actually totally fine,
[17:59] Speaker 1: totally And then there's obviously the upside of like what if,
[18:02] Speaker 1: what if Jeremiah Love is just in a better situation
[18:05] Speaker 1: than we expect, or what if Arizona's offense a little
[18:07] Speaker 1: bit better, whatever the case may be. And so, like,
[18:10] Speaker 1: I don't really want to make the apples to the
[18:13] Speaker 1: I think that the comparison to Genty is more of
[18:15] Speaker 1: an apples the oranges comparison because Genty was a first
[18:17] Speaker 1: round pick and re draft last year, you know, going
[18:19] Speaker 1: in like the the end of the first or whatever,
[18:22] Speaker 1: And so with Jeremiah Love, you're getting him at a
[18:24] Speaker 1: discount from that, and I think that where he's going
[18:28] Speaker 1: is more than reasonable. As a result, now there's going
[18:30] Speaker 1: to be some platforms like ESPN is really high on
[18:33] Speaker 1: Jeremiah Love. I think they have him at like RB
[18:36] Speaker 1: five or something like something crazy. That's where he becomes
[18:40] Speaker 1: a fade. Like I'm not taking him in that first
[18:43] Speaker 1: like at least round and a half, but late round two,
[18:45] Speaker 1: when things start to fall off at the running back position,
[18:48] Speaker 1: you know, after like Derek Henry falls off the board,
[18:51] Speaker 1: that's where I think you can start looking at at
[18:53] Speaker 1: Love a little bit more. And in best Ball, we've
[18:55] Speaker 1: been getting him in round three. You know, he's a
[18:56] Speaker 1: he's a early to mid round three pick. And so
[19:00] Speaker 1: so if this news is shifting that in any way,
[19:02] Speaker 1: shape or form, I mean, you have James Connor and older.
[19:05] Speaker 1: I mean, look, I love James Connor. Not only is
[19:07] Speaker 1: he for all intents and purpose, like for what you hear,
[19:09] Speaker 1: just an awesome dude who you know, beat cancer. He's
[19:13] Speaker 1: a pit guy, right, I mean, like hailed a pit right.
[19:16] Speaker 1: Like I love James Connor, but he's on the wrong
[19:18] Speaker 1: side of his career. From an age perspective, I already
[19:21] Speaker 1: talked about Tyler Algier. I was never a big Trey
[19:24] Speaker 1: Benson guy, aside from like last year when he was
[19:27] Speaker 1: really really cheap to acquire and I thought it was
[19:29] Speaker 1: fine to just throw that dart and see if he
[19:30] Speaker 1: could maybe do something when he returned from injury. It
[19:33] Speaker 1: just never happened. So I'm just looking at this backfield
[19:36] Speaker 1: and saying, like, I don't think that there's like such
[19:39] Speaker 1: intense threats for Jeremiah Love. In the end, Tyler Algier
[19:44] Speaker 1: is a solid back who can definitely do some stuff
[19:46] Speaker 1: on the early downs and maybe at the goal line.
[19:49] Speaker 1: That's definitely a fear. But I don't think that you're
[19:51] Speaker 1: drafting a Cardinals running back for goal line touches. You know,
[19:55] Speaker 1: we just know that this this situation is gonna be
[19:57] Speaker 1: more pass heavy and not necessarily the highest scoring in
[20:01] Speaker 1: the world. So I think love if he does tumble
[20:03] Speaker 1: a little bit in ADP just makes him a little
[20:05] Speaker 1: bit more attractive.
[20:07] Speaker 3: Okay, this was a blurb by our good friend Rodopet
[20:11] Speaker 3: that we saw over the weekend. Marshall Lloyd spent multiple
[20:16] Speaker 3: months of the offseason visiting a specialized injury rehab institute
[20:21] Speaker 3: so ye two to three months basically, and what they
[20:25] Speaker 3: found was that he was kind of overcompensating for a
[20:29] Speaker 3: previous ACL injury that he had. But also keep in
[20:32] Speaker 3: mind that Josh Jacobs the investigation is still open, and
[20:36] Speaker 3: also Chris Brooks is on the non football injury list yesterday.
[20:41] Speaker 1: Yeah. You know, it's funny because the same exact team,
[20:44] Speaker 1: Christian Watson, was doing something similar with his hamstrings last
[20:47] Speaker 1: year or two years ago, or at least the last
[20:49] Speaker 1: couple of years. And right now when we talk about
[20:52] Speaker 1: Christian Watson, no one really brings up the injury stuff
[20:55] Speaker 1: he was.
[20:55] Speaker 3: Not this time last year, he was not being drafted.
[20:58] Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I mean I didn't draft Christian Watson at
[21:00] Speaker 1: all in Best Ball last year, right Like, I wasn't
[21:03] Speaker 1: going after him at all. And I can feel fine
[21:05] Speaker 1: with that in hindsight because I had a good Best
[21:06] Speaker 1: Ball season, But yeah, it was not a good call
[21:09] Speaker 1: to not be in on Christian Watson. And you know,
[21:13] Speaker 1: he got it right and hopefully Marshawn Lloyd does too.
[21:16] Speaker 1: I think as a prospect, I didn't you know, if
[21:18] Speaker 1: you guys go back and read the prospect guide from him.
[21:20] Speaker 1: When Marshawn Lloyd came out, I wasn't like super high
[21:24] Speaker 1: on him. He has a good athletic profile, but he
[21:27] Speaker 1: profiled to me more as a complimentary back than like
[21:31] Speaker 1: a full blown bell cow. But I think that's kind
[21:33] Speaker 1: of what Green Bay needs at this point. Josh Jacobs is,
[21:36] Speaker 1: you know, on the similar to like James Connon, not
[21:39] Speaker 1: quite like James Connor because he's younger and he came
[21:42] Speaker 1: in younger too, Jacobs did, but he's not the you
[21:44] Speaker 1: know he could be. We could be seeing a little
[21:47] Speaker 1: bit of wear and tear with Jacobs, and obviously you
[21:48] Speaker 1: have the off the field stuff too. I wouldn't be
[21:51] Speaker 1: shocked that they try to, Like, I think that they've
[21:53] Speaker 1: wanted to have a compliment in this backfield for a minute.
[21:57] Speaker 1: It's just that Lloyd hasn't been able to stay healthy
[22:00] Speaker 1: since they drafted him, and so I'm not gonna be
[22:02] Speaker 1: surprised if he carves out at least some role. You know,
[22:05] Speaker 1: if you want to throw a last round dart in
[22:07] Speaker 1: the season long league, and if you're drafting early just
[22:09] Speaker 1: to see what happens with the Josh Jacobs stuff, I
[22:12] Speaker 1: think it's totally reasonable. If you're playing best ball you
[22:14] Speaker 1: want to draft him in round seventeen to eighteen, you know,
[22:17] Speaker 1: in overrun draftings. Totally reasonable. So yeah, I mean, like,
[22:21] Speaker 1: I think that this is all good news from Marshon Loyd.
[22:24] Speaker 1: And you know, just as a fan of the game,
[22:26] Speaker 1: you want to see these guys be able to find
[22:27] Speaker 1: the field and see what they're all about, as opposed
[22:29] Speaker 1: to just like one injury after another and you're not
[22:32] Speaker 1: really finding out how good they actually are.
[22:35] Speaker 3: Okay, you see on this list, I have moved some
[22:36] Speaker 3: things around, and I've shifted them, and I have I'm
[22:39] Speaker 3: telling you in advance that I am shifting them around.
[22:42] Speaker 3: Let's move on to receiver, and let's talk about the
[22:44] Speaker 3: injury portion for receivers. Let's group these two together. Lake
[22:49] Speaker 3: Neighbors avoids the pup. We don't know about what he's
[22:55] Speaker 3: going to do as far as to start the season,
[22:58] Speaker 3: but Alec Pierce to miss one to two more weeks.
[23:02] Speaker 3: This is a guy that signed a big contract. These
[23:05] Speaker 3: are guys that neighbors starting to climb and peers starting
[23:09] Speaker 3: to fall in drafts.
[23:12] Speaker 1: Yeah, So with Neighbors, I think that it's important to
[23:16] Speaker 1: understand that this does not mean that he is going
[23:18] Speaker 1: to play week one. It means that they probably have
[23:22] Speaker 1: some thought that he might be able to play within
[23:24] Speaker 1: the first handful of weeks. Like that, that's a that's
[23:27] Speaker 1: a possibility, but it's obviously good news, better news than
[23:31] Speaker 1: not for sure. With Neighbors, you know, it sounded like
[23:34] Speaker 1: he had some setbacks with his recovery. There was the
[23:37] Speaker 1: famous videos that came out, you know, whether they were
[23:39] Speaker 1: playing like what were they playing softball in the one
[23:42] Speaker 1: or kickball in the one or something like that, and
[23:45] Speaker 1: he didn't look right. He still had sort of a limp.
[23:48] Speaker 1: It's good that he avoided pop. I'm trying to Now,
[23:51] Speaker 1: I mean I was I was hoping that, not hoping,
[23:54] Speaker 1: but I was playing the game, the game theory game,
[23:58] Speaker 1: you know, with Neighbors and Best Ball, and I was
[24:00] Speaker 1: not really drafting him because I was thinking that his
[24:03] Speaker 1: ADP was gonna fall if he was placed on pupp
[24:04] Speaker 1: and then he wasn't. So it was a bad call
[24:06] Speaker 1: by me. He's rising in my rankings a little bit
[24:08] Speaker 1: as a result of that. I think at this point,
[24:11] Speaker 1: if you're in a season long league, you know, if
[24:15] Speaker 1: he falls to like I don't know, it's hard, it's
[24:19] Speaker 1: hard to really know. But like, if you're in a
[24:21] Speaker 1: the shallower the season long league that you're in, the
[24:24] Speaker 1: managed league that you're in, the easier it's going to
[24:26] Speaker 1: be to take on a player like Neighbors because the
[24:28] Speaker 1: cost to acquire is not going to be as significant.
[24:30] Speaker 1: And what I mean by that is, you know, if
[24:32] Speaker 1: you end up getting if you're in a ten team
[24:33] Speaker 1: league and you get Neighbors in round four or five
[24:36] Speaker 1: or four, let's say, and in round four it's the
[24:38] Speaker 1: top of that really good wide receiver tier that I like,
[24:40] Speaker 1: whether it's Jaylen Wattle, Terry McLaurin, Luther Burden, you know,
[24:44] Speaker 1: Tedoroe McMillan. There's just a lot of good why Garrett Wilson,
[24:47] Speaker 1: there's a lot of good wide receivers in that tier.
[24:49] Speaker 1: Lat McConkey. I think that it's okay in a shallower league,
[24:54] Speaker 1: especially if you have an ir spot to take on
[24:56] Speaker 1: Malik Neighbors, because you're gonna be able to get another
[24:59] Speaker 1: guy in round five and possibly round six from that
[25:01] Speaker 1: tier depending on how things go down. And I know
[25:03] Speaker 1: that it sounds crazy to hear that if you've been
[25:05] Speaker 1: grinding Best Ball drafts. It's just different in season long
[25:08] Speaker 1: if you go look at ADP, So I think it's
[25:10] Speaker 1: going to be easier to do that if you're drafting
[25:12] Speaker 1: right now. I'm anticipating his ADP to probably be more
[25:19] Speaker 1: in that like round three range for you know, if
[25:22] Speaker 1: I were to give like a median outcome for like
[25:24] Speaker 1: the rest of the summer up until the start of
[25:26] Speaker 1: the season. And I don't think he's gonna play Week one,
[25:29] Speaker 1: but I do think that there's a possibility now that
[25:31] Speaker 1: we could see him like week three week four timeframe.
[25:34] Speaker 1: And obviously Melik Neighbors is a top twelve wide receiver
[25:37] Speaker 1: when he's healthy, you know, like, so right now, I
[25:40] Speaker 1: think Neighbors could be drafted around, Like, let's just say
[25:43] Speaker 1: mid round three is a reasonable spot to get Neighbors,
[25:48] Speaker 1: you know, if you're in a deeper league like we
[25:49] Speaker 1: were in the King's Classic this past week, I didn't
[25:51] Speaker 1: just I just didn't want to risk it. I didn't
[25:53] Speaker 1: want to take on Malik Neighbors in a fourteen team
[25:56] Speaker 1: league where you start one quarterback, two running backs, three
[25:58] Speaker 1: wide receivers, three flex spots to the tight end. You know,
[26:00] Speaker 1: it's just if you miss on that pick, it can
[26:04] Speaker 1: really really hurt you. It's not fun to lose out
[26:07] Speaker 1: on like a third round pick in a deep league
[26:12] Speaker 1: like that. So that's where I'm at with Neighbors right now.
[26:16] Speaker 3: All right, Tank Dell is back sort of, Hey, I
[26:19] Speaker 3: should talk about Alix Pierce. I thought you already did. Wow,
[26:24] Speaker 3: I group those two together. We're running kind of late,
[26:26] Speaker 3: so I'm trying to.
[26:27] Speaker 1: Like, we're fine, We're fine. People need my Alec Pierce.
[26:30] Speaker 1: Teak continues to be I am shocked that the market
[26:34] Speaker 1: is not higher on him when I thought I was
[26:37] Speaker 1: going to be lower on Alec Pierce. He is at
[26:40] Speaker 1: a completely reasonable price on most platforms.
[26:42] Speaker 3: Right now, he's still falling and.
[26:44] Speaker 1: He's still following, and I think this is gonna be
[26:46] Speaker 1: a one to two week thing, like they're saying.
[26:48] Speaker 3: Uh.
[26:49] Speaker 1: And so if that's the case, like if if Alec
[26:52] Speaker 1: Pierce is not ready by the start of the season,
[26:54] Speaker 1: that is a huge fumble by the Colts to give
[26:57] Speaker 1: him the contract that they gave him with him not
[26:59] Speaker 1: being ready. And if you want to if you're playing
[27:01] Speaker 1: in multiple leagues and you want to kind of hedge
[27:04] Speaker 1: this a little bit, you can draft Josh Downs. You
[27:05] Speaker 1: can draft Tyler Warren. I think both Tyler Warren and
[27:07] Speaker 1: Josh Downs are pretty good values right now. So if
[27:10] Speaker 1: you want to want to hedge this a little bit,
[27:12] Speaker 1: you can go in the other direction and not just
[27:14] Speaker 1: you know, go in all in with with Alec Pierce.
[27:17] Speaker 1: But I like, if you're getting Alec Peerce is like
[27:19] Speaker 1: your wide receiver four or something in any format, I mean,
[27:24] Speaker 1: it's it's not that bad considering, like we know his
[27:28] Speaker 1: big playability. He's gotten better every year I give him that.
[27:31] Speaker 1: He just hasn't been a high volume getter dating back
[27:33] Speaker 1: to even college. But in this scenario where it's not
[27:37] Speaker 1: like you're paying a fourth or he's not in that
[27:39] Speaker 1: great tier of wide receivers, you know, he's well after that,
[27:42] Speaker 1: and so because of that, I think he's actually kind
[27:44] Speaker 1: of an attractive piece right now. I'm trying not to
[27:47] Speaker 1: be too reactive to some of the injury news, whether
[27:52] Speaker 1: it comes at the end of camp or you know,
[27:54] Speaker 1: it's happening at the beginning of camp here, just because
[27:56] Speaker 1: things can change in an instant and we have to
[27:59] Speaker 1: go by what they're generally saying and also their actions,
[28:02] Speaker 1: which was they gave him a really big contract.
[28:05] Speaker 3: Okay, Tank Dell is back sort of on the sideline
[28:10] Speaker 3: at least, but he is running routes. I don't think
[28:13] Speaker 3: they have him like in full contact stuff just yet,
[28:16] Speaker 3: but they did not put him on the pup. And meanwhile,
[28:21] Speaker 3: Jalen Nole out at least a few weeks because of
[28:26] Speaker 3: a finger injury. Not not great news for him. What's
[28:30] Speaker 3: your take on the wide receivers.
[28:32] Speaker 1: Yeah, it's I mean, it seems minor enough for Jalen Nole,
[28:34] Speaker 1: so I'm not overly concerned. I mean, I think the
[28:37] Speaker 1: bigger concern with Knowl is just that if Tank Dell
[28:39] Speaker 1: is back in healthy, it's gonna limit the time for
[28:42] Speaker 1: Jayden Higgins even in that offense. As long as tank
[28:46] Speaker 1: Dell is healthy, it's good. Like I mean I said
[28:49] Speaker 1: this last week. I think it was with with CJ. Stroud, Like,
[28:53] Speaker 1: don't overstate the splits with and without Tank Dell for CJ. Stroud,
[28:57] Speaker 1: because Stroud was just not nearly as effective in general
[29:00] Speaker 1: after that first year uh in in the in the league.
[29:04] Speaker 1: So it's not really a tank Dell problem. It's just
[29:06] Speaker 1: that that Stroud hasn't been as good as a fantasy asset,
[29:10] Speaker 1: especially even as a pastor. Although I do think, and
[29:12] Speaker 1: I this is something that someone had commented on last week.
[29:16] Speaker 1: I was speaking more about him as a fantasy asset
[29:18] Speaker 1: last week. I do think there are some underlying metrics
[29:20] Speaker 1: where like Stroud isn't as bad as what people probably think.
[29:24] Speaker 1: Like I think Stroud could go through a and and
[29:28] Speaker 1: end up having like a Jared Goff type career, you know,
[29:31] Speaker 1: where super solid. Give him, get him in the right system,
[29:34] Speaker 1: give him the right weapons, and all of a sudden,
[29:36] Speaker 1: like he's not only low ENQB one, high end QB
[29:38] Speaker 1: two fantasy viable, but he's also someone that can be.
[29:41] Speaker 3: A good deliverer, deliverer of the football.
[29:44] Speaker 1: But look, this is a situation for the Texans where
[29:46] Speaker 1: bottom line for them, Man, it's gonna come down to
[29:49] Speaker 1: how how that offensive line looks after last year, after
[29:51] Speaker 1: the last couple of years, and there should be some
[29:53] Speaker 1: improvements there that we're excited about. But that that's what
[29:57] Speaker 1: this is gonna come down to most in terms of
[29:59] Speaker 1: how effective the offense is going to be. We'll see
[30:01] Speaker 1: what happens with Tank del If you want to throw
[30:02] Speaker 1: a last round, Dart, be my guest. I think Jalen
[30:05] Speaker 1: Nole was a good prospect, the fun prospect who could
[30:08] Speaker 1: play the slot. But to me, Nol is someone that
[30:10] Speaker 1: you're gonna probably want to go after, more so in
[30:13] Speaker 1: a best ball environment than a than a managed season long. Okay, uh,
[30:18] Speaker 1: Chris brasel.
[30:21] Speaker 3: It had some knee issues. He was limping, he was
[30:24] Speaker 3: carted off, and then I just saw in the News
[30:28] Speaker 3: and Rumors channel in our late round discord that head
[30:33] Speaker 3: coach Dave Caanala says that he aggravated the same left
[30:36] Speaker 3: knee that he missed that he missed a couple recent
[30:38] Speaker 3: practices for due to soreness. Not great though for the rookie.
[30:43] Speaker 1: Not great. I mean, look, I think Chris Brasel is
[30:45] Speaker 1: the type of player that will end up being better
[30:49] Speaker 1: in real life than in fantasy. He's someone who you know,
[30:53] Speaker 1: like like one of his like looser comps. It was
[30:56] Speaker 1: like a Martavis Bryant type, right, that's like his upside
[30:59] Speaker 1: I think, and what he if you want to envision
[31:01] Speaker 1: what he can do in the NFL. But in today's game,
[31:04] Speaker 1: more teams are playing more too high. We're not seeing
[31:06] Speaker 1: the big plays. And obviously he has Bryce Young a
[31:08] Speaker 1: quarterback right now, it's it's a little bit, you know,
[31:11] Speaker 1: there's some fear that he's just not going to be
[31:13] Speaker 1: that productive, but he can really open things up underneath
[31:16] Speaker 1: for a Jalen Cocher and for a Tetoroa McMillan and
[31:19] Speaker 1: so uh. And you know, it allows some flexibility with
[31:22] Speaker 1: those two weapons, who I think, are you know, awesome
[31:26] Speaker 1: wide receivers.
[31:27] Speaker 3: Uh.
[31:27] Speaker 1: While Brazil can stretch a field play the outside, we
[31:29] Speaker 1: can get a little bit more movement for for McMillan
[31:31] Speaker 1: into the slot and such. And I do think that
[31:34] Speaker 1: brasl has more upside than than like if I look
[31:37] Speaker 1: at them as prospects, Brazil had more upside as a
[31:40] Speaker 1: prospect than Xavier Legett did right. The problem with with
[31:44] Speaker 1: Brasl is he's coming from Tennessee and it's just been
[31:46] Speaker 1: a really hard school to evaluate from historically. And and
[31:50] Speaker 1: you know, we've seen like Jalen hygap Bus, Cedric Tillman
[31:52] Speaker 1: hasn't really done what we would hypothetically want him to
[31:56] Speaker 1: do as a day he was a Day two pick,
[31:58] Speaker 1: and so you know, there's there's definitely volatility there. But
[32:02] Speaker 1: I expect Brazl, if he's healthy, to be able to
[32:05] Speaker 1: outperform Xavier Laguette and take that three job for Carolina.
[32:09] Speaker 1: So fingers crossed that that things are okay, all right.
[32:13] Speaker 3: Booty rocking everywhere. Kashawn Booty has been the standout receiver
[32:20] Speaker 3: of Patriots camp. This is according to multiple Beat riders.
[32:24] Speaker 1: Oh, like everyone is saying it.
[32:25] Speaker 3: Yeah maybe so. I don't think he's starting like in
[32:28] Speaker 3: the three wide receiver sets, but he's coming on. He's
[32:30] Speaker 3: playing the X and he's like he's just making plays.
[32:33] Speaker 3: It's hard to keep a guy like that out.
[32:35] Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, like I've been drafting a lot of
[32:37] Speaker 1: Booty in bastball because I was anticipating a possible trade. Yes,
[32:42] Speaker 1: So I mean, you know, results over process, Right, that's
[32:44] Speaker 1: what we say.
[32:45] Speaker 3: Uh yeah, in our draft yesterday, in the late round
[32:48] Speaker 3: Best Ball Draft, I was gonna get him. I was
[32:50] Speaker 3: gonna plan on getting him. He had taken in the
[32:53] Speaker 3: fourteenth round.
[32:54] Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, I mean he's rising up draft boards. But again,
[32:56] Speaker 1: he is definitely a betteran bastball type player because I
[32:59] Speaker 1: do not think you're going to get very reasonable predictability
[33:03] Speaker 1: from him unless you're in like a deeper format where
[33:06] Speaker 1: you know you don't have to really make start sit decisions.
[33:08] Speaker 1: But you know, if you look at what he's done,
[33:10] Speaker 1: he's been a perimeter receiver so far in the NFL.
[33:12] Speaker 1: I liked him as a prospect because he was an
[33:14] Speaker 1: early declare and he was younger. He still won Day three,
[33:16] Speaker 1: but he had a decent profile. Ahusin profile, we know
[33:19] Speaker 1: that though like he was, he was someone that a
[33:21] Speaker 1: lot of people thought was going to be like highly
[33:23] Speaker 1: highly drafted coming out, and then it just didn't you know,
[33:27] Speaker 1: is his final season wasn't as great as people expected
[33:29] Speaker 1: it to be. And then you know, we've seen him
[33:31] Speaker 1: in the NFL not necessarily live up to the hype,
[33:35] Speaker 1: but every year he's gotten better. His yards per out
[33:37] Speaker 1: run has gotten better every year. You know, his his
[33:41] Speaker 1: targets per out run needs to need some improvement. That
[33:44] Speaker 1: hasn't been that strong. But you're pairing a guy who
[33:46] Speaker 1: can get down the field with a player in Drake
[33:48] Speaker 1: May who can really sling it down the field. That's
[33:51] Speaker 1: where you know we saw magic happen even last year
[33:54] Speaker 1: at times. So you know he's a young player still,
[33:56] Speaker 1: so I'm not surprised that, like, you know, if he
[33:59] Speaker 1: can get it together, betwe in the ears, Uh, it
[34:01] Speaker 1: can come together and practice and then in games. And
[34:03] Speaker 1: I think at this point, just based on these reports,
[34:06] Speaker 1: it's either New England media is all over this trying
[34:09] Speaker 1: to get something in return for Kishon Booty, which I don't.
[34:13] Speaker 3: I don't rule that out. I never almost floated that
[34:15] Speaker 3: as a possibility.
[34:17] Speaker 1: I never I never ever ruled that out. With that
[34:19] Speaker 1: being said, I don't think that's what's happening here because
[34:22] Speaker 1: there is a forward, positive trajectory for Booty career wise,
[34:26] Speaker 1: and you know, I don't think that you can have
[34:28] Speaker 1: too many wide receivers when you're a team like New
[34:30] Speaker 1: England and uh, you know you're you have Super Bowl
[34:33] Speaker 1: aspirations and you can move guys around you know, like
[34:36] Speaker 1: like it gives them a lot more flexibility to do
[34:38] Speaker 1: things in the slot with like a Dobbs.
[34:40] Speaker 2: Uh.
[34:41] Speaker 1: You know it's even Booty can maybe play in the
[34:43] Speaker 1: slot a little bit more. Uh, So it gives them
[34:45] Speaker 1: that flexibility. Obviously they have like pure slot guys like
[34:49] Speaker 1: the Mario Douglas. Maybe Kyle Williams can play in the
[34:52] Speaker 1: slot a little bit more if he gets playing time.
[34:55] Speaker 1: It's not looking good for him, uh, but he's put
[34:57] Speaker 1: one guy getting overall, I think this is just good
[35:01] Speaker 1: news for the New England offense. And he's a better
[35:03] Speaker 1: best ball pick than he is going to be a
[35:05] Speaker 1: managed season Like, he's not going to be a late
[35:06] Speaker 1: round dart throw for me, even if my rankings are
[35:09] Speaker 1: ahead of the market with Booty, it's just it's a
[35:11] Speaker 1: hard sell for a managed season long league in my opinion.
[35:15] Speaker 1: With Kisehan Boody.
[35:17] Speaker 3: All Right, Christian Kirk's sidelined with a calf injury, and
[35:21] Speaker 3: meanwhile Dejean's stribbling shocker. People are heaping praise on him
[35:26] Speaker 3: from the Niners organization, calling him a baller, saying he's
[35:30] Speaker 3: looking a part that sort of thing.
[35:32] Speaker 1: Look, I think that's stribbling they they they view him
[35:34] Speaker 1: as a Juwan Jennings type period like this is he's
[35:37] Speaker 1: a good blocker. I mean, I'm not I've said this
[35:39] Speaker 1: before in a show. I'm not grinding design Stribbling blocking film,
[35:44] Speaker 1: but I do think that they view him in that way.
[35:48] Speaker 1: That doesn't mean that he's gonna be great for fantasy
[35:50] Speaker 1: football necessarily, but he's a player who has good size
[35:53] Speaker 1: and speed, and these types of players generally do show
[35:56] Speaker 1: up this time of year, you know, in these camps,
[35:59] Speaker 1: especially when when it's not a full blown training camp situation.
[36:03] Speaker 1: But with you know, with that being said, I think
[36:05] Speaker 1: Stribling should be on your late round radar because you
[36:09] Speaker 1: have Ricky Piersall who hasn't been able to stay healthy
[36:12] Speaker 1: you know, throughout his career. You have Mike Evans who's
[36:15] Speaker 1: older and has had his own issues, and then you
[36:17] Speaker 1: have George Kittle coming off in Achilles. So yeah, I mean,
[36:20] Speaker 1: like this is an offense we want to invest in.
[36:22] Speaker 1: If Stribling's the wide receiver three right now with multiple
[36:25] Speaker 1: injury outs, he should be rising up draft boards regardless
[36:29] Speaker 1: of I mean, now that we know that Christian Kirk
[36:31] Speaker 1: is in his way, that there's just one less, one
[36:35] Speaker 1: less person in his way to be able to be
[36:37] Speaker 1: fantasy relevant. So yeah, I mean like I didn't love
[36:40] Speaker 1: him as a prospect, obviously the whole market didn't really
[36:43] Speaker 1: love him as a prospect. Doesn't mean that that that's
[36:45] Speaker 1: gonna happen, that it's not gonna come together for him
[36:48] Speaker 1: to be a usable piece in fantasy. So I do
[36:51] Speaker 1: think if you're in the late rounds right now, you
[36:52] Speaker 1: should be looking at him. The problem is in best
[36:54] Speaker 1: ball in particular, like usually managed season long lags behind
[36:57] Speaker 1: best ball.
[36:58] Speaker 3: Best Ball.
[36:58] Speaker 1: He's been going like I saw him in Round three
[37:00] Speaker 1: team yesterday, which I don't know if I.
[37:02] Speaker 3: Can get there, steam things up or they'll drop you
[37:05] Speaker 3: really quick. People are very knee jerk reactionary.
[37:10] Speaker 1: But in a managed season long league, I think that
[37:12] Speaker 1: he's going to be someone to just like throw that
[37:15] Speaker 1: dart at and just see what happens weeks one and two,
[37:17] Speaker 1: and then you can just throw them suddenly the waiver wire.
[37:19] Speaker 3: If it's not happening, especially with deep rosters, Okay, we
[37:23] Speaker 3: got to move on. But just a quick recap, Terry
[37:26] Speaker 3: Kill doesn't have any power in his leg. Brandon ayuk
[37:29] Speaker 3: Is just continues to go off the deep end, and
[37:33] Speaker 3: then we still don't have a landing spot for step
[37:35] Speaker 3: On Diggs, Deebo Samuel or Keenan Allen. So hopefully some
[37:39] Speaker 3: of these teams can figure that out. So with that
[37:42] Speaker 3: being said, let's get on to today's data. Today's data
[37:47] Speaker 3: are very simple.
[37:48] Speaker 1: Yes, go ahead, very simple today, and we can keep
[37:51] Speaker 1: it quick. This is showing you team strength of schedule
[37:56] Speaker 1: by projected wind total or you know, draftings win total
[38:00] Speaker 1: by team. So Arizona is at the top because they
[38:03] Speaker 1: have the hardest schedule in football. Their average opponent has
[38:05] Speaker 1: a win total of nine point one this year. Miami's second.
[38:09] Speaker 1: It's hilarious. Of these terrible teams have horrible schedules. Carolina's third,
[38:13] Speaker 1: and so on and so forth. If you look at
[38:14] Speaker 1: the bottom, Detroit I mentioned this on the show. They
[38:18] Speaker 1: have the easiest schedule in the league. New Orleans is
[38:20] Speaker 1: second easiest. Cleveland, Cincinnati, the Jets, the Ravens, the Eagles
[38:24] Speaker 1: all have pretty easy schedules. So you can just look
[38:28] Speaker 1: at this. You can screenshot this if you want, but
[38:31] Speaker 1: this is just looking at who has easy schedules and
[38:33] Speaker 1: who has hard schedules. And this is all based off
[38:35] Speaker 1: of the schedule analysis stuff that I did on the
[38:37] Speaker 1: podcast that dropped on Tuesday. So if you want to
[38:40] Speaker 1: get like more detailed insights as to how I look
[38:43] Speaker 1: at this kind of thing, I talk about that a
[38:45] Speaker 1: lot on that show and on that episode.
[38:49] Speaker 3: All right, let's get on to today's main events. It's
[38:52] Speaker 3: the late round main event, all right. These are your
[38:58] Speaker 3: favorite picks rounds one through five. I will say I
[39:02] Speaker 3: was a little bit surprised two of these guys also
[39:06] Speaker 3: on last year's Oh were they? Yeah, I'm not gonna
[39:10] Speaker 3: tell you who. You can guess afterwards.
[39:11] Speaker 1: That was probably wrong about both. Uh, all right, I
[39:16] Speaker 1: took these this ADP from Fantasy Pros. Yeah, ADP is
[39:20] Speaker 1: different every set that you look at. So I'm basing
[39:23] Speaker 1: this off of these twelve guys. I'm gonna read them
[39:24] Speaker 1: just so everyone knows, right, And this is in order
[39:27] Speaker 1: jon Robinson, Jamier Gibbs, Jamar Chase Pukinakua And this is
[39:31] Speaker 1: in order Christian McCaffrey, Jackson Smith and Jag But Jonathan Taylor,
[39:34] Speaker 1: Amana Saint Brown, James Cook, Ashton Genty, Ceedee Lamb, and
[39:37] Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson. And my pick, my favorite first round value
[39:42] Speaker 1: is Ashton Genty, I think he belongs in that Jonathan
[39:47] Speaker 1: Taylor James Cooked here. It's hard for me to be
[39:50] Speaker 1: like like, I mean, it's the first round, so I
[39:52] Speaker 1: don't think there's like any glaring values this is. I
[39:54] Speaker 1: think how I have my first round, I might have
[39:57] Speaker 1: uh Saquon in there instead of Justin Jefferson or CD
[40:01] Speaker 1: or something like that. But like it's very close to
[40:03] Speaker 1: how my first round is. I like Jamiir Gibbs more
[40:05] Speaker 1: than Bijon and such. I like Puka ahead of Jamar Chase,
[40:08] Speaker 1: but it's you know, you're splitting hairs there. But with
[40:11] Speaker 1: Ashton Genty, okay. First off Market score loves him. He
[40:15] Speaker 1: has an RB four market score, behind Bijean, Jamiir Gibbs,
[40:19] Speaker 1: and Christian McCaffrey. He also had an Elite Year two
[40:22] Speaker 1: model score of ninety nine point six, which tries to
[40:25] Speaker 1: predict how well a player is going to perform in
[40:27] Speaker 1: years two through four. Guys who are in that tier
[40:30] Speaker 1: almost always give us at least, you know, usually multiple
[40:33] Speaker 1: RB one seasons, but at least one over their next
[40:35] Speaker 1: three seasons. He had an Elite Year one weighted opportunity
[40:39] Speaker 1: When you look at targets and rushes and way targets
[40:42] Speaker 1: properly for how important they are from a fantasy points perspective. Now,
[40:46] Speaker 1: I know that a lot of people will look at
[40:47] Speaker 1: last year and say that he sucks because he had
[40:49] Speaker 1: a three point seven yards per carry average. Keep in mind,
[40:52] Speaker 1: yards per Carrie is not predictive, and he had the
[40:54] Speaker 1: second worst yards before contact per attempt in the NFL,
[40:58] Speaker 1: only Quinn Shawn Judkins lower according to Pro Football Focus.
[41:02] Speaker 1: They also get Tyler Linderbaum and Colton Miller's coming back
[41:06] Speaker 1: from injury, and they get Clint Kubiak, who We're gonna
[41:09] Speaker 1: see a lot of these like outside zone runs. I
[41:11] Speaker 1: think gent can really thrive there. There's been a lot
[41:14] Speaker 1: of research done, Like I know, I remember going on
[41:17] Speaker 1: and talking to James co about this when he was
[41:19] Speaker 1: on Perspectives last year. I think it was last year,
[41:21] Speaker 1: and he was talking about how those like outside runs
[41:23] Speaker 1: just are awesome for fantasy football purposes. I think we're
[41:25] Speaker 1: going to see a lot of them from Ashton genty
[41:28] Speaker 1: this year and since twenty eleven. I think this is
[41:31] Speaker 1: interesting too. I've said this before on the show, but
[41:33] Speaker 1: since twenty eleven, there's only one other rookie running back
[41:36] Speaker 1: who had an eighty percent running back rush air and
[41:38] Speaker 1: a target share as high as Ashton Gent's, and it's
[41:41] Speaker 1: Saquon Barkley. So with there being such little competition in Vegas,
[41:45] Speaker 1: you know, typically I don't want to invest in kind
[41:48] Speaker 1: of like mediocre to bad offenses, especially early. But the
[41:52] Speaker 1: one way you can bat that is through volume, and
[41:54] Speaker 1: I think Gent's going to see a lot of volume
[41:55] Speaker 1: in a good offensive scheme for him. So I'm going
[41:59] Speaker 1: to call out Jentys as a breakout this year and
[42:02] Speaker 1: a guy that I like to target at the tail
[42:04] Speaker 1: end of round one.
[42:06] Speaker 3: I love gen T. I got him in that King's
[42:09] Speaker 3: Plastic Auction draft and I paired him with another running
[42:13] Speaker 3: back who's actually your favorite target in round two? How
[42:16] Speaker 3: good did I do? JJ?
[42:18] Speaker 1: Yeah, Kenneth Walker, I'm just gonna read this and listen
[42:21] Speaker 1: to this list before you start, you know, yeah, criticizing
[42:26] Speaker 1: or thinking about why I'm talking about Walker thirteenth. Overall,
[42:29] Speaker 1: you have Devon a Chan than At Sakwon, Barkley, Chase Brown,
[42:32] Speaker 1: Amari and Hampton, Drake London, Trey McBride, brock Bauers, Kenneth Walker,
[42:37] Speaker 1: Josh Allen, Derrick Henry, AJ Brown, Nico Collins. So as
[42:41] Speaker 1: I go through and do more and more drafts for
[42:44] Speaker 1: season long leagues, I start to like see where I
[42:47] Speaker 1: really stand with certain players, right and one of those
[42:50] Speaker 1: players over the last couple of weeks for me has
[42:52] Speaker 1: been Kenneth Walker. Where I've had him in that tier
[42:54] Speaker 1: with all those running backs throughout the summer, I've just
[42:57] Speaker 1: had him lower in that tier than I do now
[43:00] Speaker 1: this next Like I think that I like, I'm drafting
[43:02] Speaker 1: him over a Marion Hampton, I'm drafting him over Davon Chan,
[43:06] Speaker 1: I'm drafting him over you know, Derek Henry, and then
[43:09] Speaker 1: like the Drake London. The fact that Trey McBride in
[43:12] Speaker 1: this ADP is going ahead of Rock Bauers is silly
[43:14] Speaker 1: to me. But yeah, I mean like him going twentieth overall,
[43:17] Speaker 1: I think he's more of like closer to a one
[43:19] Speaker 1: two turn player. Uh you know he was, Like I said,
[43:23] Speaker 1: I drafted him. I drafted him in the auction this
[43:25] Speaker 1: past weekend, Kansas City was twenty fifth and rushing yards
[43:29] Speaker 1: per game.
[43:29] Speaker 3: Last year.
[43:29] Speaker 1: Brandan Godula pulled this back in the during the offseason,
[43:32] Speaker 1: but they were seventh in EPA per Russian they were
[43:34] Speaker 1: eighth and success rate. Kareem Hunt and Isaiah Pacheco I
[43:38] Speaker 1: talked about this in the Free Agency podcast. They combined
[43:41] Speaker 1: for one twenty plus yard run last year on two
[43:44] Speaker 1: hundred and eighty plus carries. Their rate of gaining ten
[43:47] Speaker 1: or more yards was eight point five percent and six
[43:50] Speaker 1: point one percent. Kenneth Walker was almost at fifteen percent
[43:53] Speaker 1: In terms of gaining more or ten or more yards
[43:56] Speaker 1: per run you get are you're getting a home run
[43:59] Speaker 1: hittering Kenneth Walker combine with a team that is going
[44:03] Speaker 1: to face a lot of too high and it's a
[44:05] Speaker 1: team that generates high success rates because of that. Right,
[44:09] Speaker 1: A huge reason that Kareem Hunt was so high in
[44:11] Speaker 1: success rate last year is because they'll get some of
[44:14] Speaker 1: that push, They'll get the yards that are given to him,
[44:17] Speaker 1: but he can't do much more after that because it's
[44:19] Speaker 1: Kareem Hunt, right, And so Kenneth Walker in that situation
[44:23] Speaker 1: is like next level. There's so much rushing upside in
[44:26] Speaker 1: what he can do. So this really comes down to
[44:28] Speaker 1: what can you do as a pass catcher. I've always
[44:30] Speaker 1: thought that he's been fine as a pass catcher. He's
[44:32] Speaker 1: only had one season where he's been above like that
[44:34] Speaker 1: eight percent mark, which is definitely a problem. Like we
[44:37] Speaker 1: if you're drafting him in the one two turn, you
[44:38] Speaker 1: need that at least like a ten percent target share
[44:41] Speaker 1: from him. But if you look at what they have
[44:43] Speaker 1: in the backfield, I love them at Johnson as a prospect,
[44:47] Speaker 1: but traditionally rookie running backs do not see high target shares.
[44:50] Speaker 1: I learned my lesson last year with Traveon Henderson, and
[44:54] Speaker 1: so I don't want to get too too bullish on that.
[44:56] Speaker 1: And then you're looking at like Amari dear Mercado as
[44:59] Speaker 1: the third down back. I think it's fine if he
[45:02] Speaker 1: plays a third down role, or even if Emma Johnson does,
[45:06] Speaker 1: but I don't think that just means that there's no
[45:08] Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker love from a receiving perspective. So you bring
[45:12] Speaker 1: all that together. Patrick Mahomes coming off this acl where
[45:15] Speaker 1: he's probably not going to be getting much goal line rushing.
[45:19] Speaker 1: I mean, it's not like they run sneaks with him anyway.
[45:21] Speaker 1: But all of that combine makes me just really like
[45:23] Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker in this profile. And I feel like every
[45:27] Speaker 1: day that I think about this mor and I research
[45:28] Speaker 1: it and just go go through things more. I'm moving
[45:32] Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker up my ranks.
[45:35] Speaker 3: All right, So round three, you've got DeVonta Smith.
[45:41] Speaker 1: Yes, so DeVante Smith. I think this was a call.
[45:44] Speaker 1: I probably had him last year. Is that one of
[45:46] Speaker 1: the Yeah, not great, not great, bob uh, But Davante
[45:51] Speaker 1: Smith his splits without AJ Brown. Obviously you have Mackay
[45:54] Speaker 1: Lemon there now Eli Stowers. I don't know how big
[45:56] Speaker 1: of a threat he's going to be year one, but
[45:59] Speaker 1: in career year games without AJ Brown he now, mind you,
[46:02] Speaker 1: DeVante Smith played his rookie year without Brown and then
[46:04] Speaker 1: Brown entered the Fold for four games. He was out
[46:08] Speaker 1: when he got to Philadelphia. With Devonte Smith acted, he
[46:11] Speaker 1: is a twenty five point six percent target share in
[46:13] Speaker 1: his career without AJ Brown. He's played four games without
[46:17] Speaker 1: him since twenty twenty two, thirty five percent target share
[46:20] Speaker 1: in those four games, which is pretty wild. Ninety seven
[46:22] Speaker 1: yards per game without AJ Brown in those four games,
[46:25] Speaker 1: thirty two percent targets per out run rate, all crazy.
[46:29] Speaker 1: I mean, those are that's literally like jsnesque usage.
[46:33] Speaker 3: Right.
[46:33] Speaker 1: I'm not saying that that's what's gonna happen now, because
[46:37] Speaker 1: you do have still like McKay lemon, Dontavian Wicks. But
[46:41] Speaker 1: with that being said, like it does give us a
[46:43] Speaker 1: sample of Devonte Smith being an alpha for an NFL offense, right,
[46:48] Speaker 1: even if it's a small sample. There's a new offensive
[46:51] Speaker 1: coordinator in Philadelphia. I mean, I've I've beaten this, this
[46:55] Speaker 1: dead horse at this point with Kevin Patulo and how awful.
[46:58] Speaker 1: Just go look at the out charts for AJ Brown
[47:01] Speaker 1: last year. You know, there was a tweet yesterday where
[47:05] Speaker 1: AJ Brown and Drake May couldn't connect on like a
[47:07] Speaker 1: crosser that AJ Brown was running, and everyone's like, oh man,
[47:11] Speaker 1: this is this is bad. This is I'm like, wait,
[47:13] Speaker 1: they're running, they're running crossers with AJ Brown like he's
[47:15] Speaker 1: gonna he's gonna hit the middle of the field. You mean, like,
[47:18] Speaker 1: this is amazing. That's why I'm more bolish about this clip,
[47:22] Speaker 1: even though they didn't connect on the pass. But Devontae
[47:24] Speaker 1: Smith has had a floor too. He's hit fourteen or
[47:26] Speaker 1: more points per game in three of his five seasons.
[47:29] Speaker 1: The only two seasons where he didn't. One was his
[47:31] Speaker 1: rookie year where guys just don't score them many points
[47:34] Speaker 1: per game across the entire season. The other one was
[47:36] Speaker 1: the Patula season was last year. So I'm in a
[47:39] Speaker 1: Devonte Smith. I like him in this range. I should
[47:41] Speaker 1: read this range though, too. I didn't do that. Jeremiah
[47:44] Speaker 1: Love twenty fifth overall. Then George Pickens, Josh Jacobs, Chris
[47:48] Speaker 1: olave Kian Williams, Rashi, Rice, Javonte Williams, Breese Hall, Devonte Smith,
[47:52] Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, camp Skataboo, Tetero McMillan. It's funny because there's
[47:56] Speaker 1: some guys in the fourth round that I would draft
[47:58] Speaker 1: over some of these guys in the third round. It
[48:00] Speaker 1: does show there's a very real flatness that starts to
[48:03] Speaker 1: occur once you hit the middle of round three, which
[48:05] Speaker 1: traditionally and historically that's what we've seen with hit rates
[48:08] Speaker 1: in fantasy football too.
[48:10] Speaker 3: All right, round four, I'll read him off for you.
[48:13] Speaker 3: My league neighbors, Travis etn T. Higgins, Say Flowers, Garrett Wilson,
[48:18] Speaker 3: Colson Lovelin, a Mecca, Agbuka, Bucky Irving, Lad McConkie Quinchawn Judkins,
[48:23] Speaker 3: Trayvon Henderson, and Luther Burden. Yeah.
[48:27] Speaker 1: I thought about going Burden here. I'll be honest, you
[48:29] Speaker 1: might you know, I love Luther Burden. I am on
[48:32] Speaker 1: that side. I sent a tweet out earlier this week
[48:34] Speaker 1: where it was something along the lines of like, you know,
[48:37] Speaker 1: if you think that Burden's bad at cost this year
[48:40] Speaker 1: and he's a bad pick, you're not wrong. But if
[48:42] Speaker 1: you think that he's a great pick, you're also not wrong.
[48:44] Speaker 1: And then people were accusing me of fence sitting. I'm like, bro,
[48:47] Speaker 1: if you listen to the podcast, if you listen to
[48:49] Speaker 1: me the last year and a half, you know that
[48:51] Speaker 1: I don't fence it with Luther Burton. I am in
[48:53] Speaker 1: on Luther Burton. I think he's a very very good player.
[48:55] Speaker 1: With that being said, I'm gonna go a Mecca Buka
[48:58] Speaker 1: here because I think he's just be going higher, whereas
[49:01] Speaker 1: I understand the bear case more for Luther Burden, a
[49:04] Speaker 1: Mecha Buka. I talked about this on last week's market
[49:08] Speaker 1: Score Projection show. He has insane market score comps. He's
[49:12] Speaker 1: a top five wide receiver when you project via those comps,
[49:16] Speaker 1: not by market score. He's not bad in market score,
[49:18] Speaker 1: but when you look at the comps, it's just good
[49:20] Speaker 1: comp after good comp. And that makes me feel more
[49:23] Speaker 1: confident in Abuka himself. Last year, it was a story
[49:27] Speaker 1: of the first five weeks. He was dominating, he was
[49:29] Speaker 1: converting all these deep passes, he was doing everything, and
[49:32] Speaker 1: then he got hurt and Baker got hurt. And if
[49:36] Speaker 1: you're watching Netflix's Quarterback right now, you can see how
[49:39] Speaker 1: bad Baker's injuries were. And they talk about this whole
[49:42] Speaker 1: dynamic throughout that show. But week one to five, a
[49:45] Speaker 1: mecha Buka led the NFL with two hundred and ninety
[49:48] Speaker 1: one twenty plus air yard throw receiving yards on on
[49:52] Speaker 1: those twenty plus aeryard throws, he had ninety one from
[49:55] Speaker 1: then on out. I mean, it was just night and
[49:57] Speaker 1: day with the Buka bring to a hundredth out of
[50:00] Speaker 1: one hundred and three in catchable targets rates among qualified
[50:04] Speaker 1: wide receivers after week five. But now you're looking at
[50:07] Speaker 1: a situation Zach Robinson comes to town. They've already talked
[50:10] Speaker 1: about Abuka playing that Z role. I think a lot
[50:14] Speaker 1: of people, you know, look at like Godwin playing the
[50:17] Speaker 1: slot and they're like, oh man slot role with Zach Robinson.
[50:20] Speaker 1: That's when Cooper Cup dominated. But Cooper Cup played more
[50:23] Speaker 1: of a Z where he's moving inside out. He's not
[50:26] Speaker 1: he's not a pure slot when he had that monster,
[50:28] Speaker 1: monster season, and so I think that they could deploy
[50:32] Speaker 1: Abuka in a very similar way. Don't forget when he
[50:34] Speaker 1: came out last year, a lot of people thought Abuka
[50:37] Speaker 1: was a pure slot. You know, you can go back
[50:39] Speaker 1: and read the Prospect Guide from last year where I
[50:42] Speaker 1: talked about how, you know, I thought he was more
[50:44] Speaker 1: than that. The Zach model thought he was more than that.
[50:47] Speaker 1: That was a very common thought about Hi Mecca a Buka.
[50:49] Speaker 1: And that's interestingly enough, one of his comps was Robert Woods,
[50:53] Speaker 1: who Zach Robinson would have coached, you know, back back
[50:56] Speaker 1: in the day. But I think Abuka could work really
[50:59] Speaker 1: well in an inside out role in this Tampa Bay offense,
[51:02] Speaker 1: and if everyone's healthy, he could really have a monster season.
[51:07] Speaker 3: Yeah, some are comparing kind of what happened in Seattle
[51:10] Speaker 3: last year after DK Metcalf left, Jason stepped up into
[51:15] Speaker 3: that role, and now you have Mike Evans leaving and
[51:18] Speaker 3: you haven't mecay Buka right to just step into that role.
[51:22] Speaker 3: And we did his comment saying, yeah, I was at
[51:24] Speaker 3: Buka going much higher. Again, this is not best ball,
[51:29] Speaker 3: this is just redraft ADP.
[51:33] Speaker 1: Everyone's everyone's per it's very frustrating as a fantasy analyst.
[51:36] Speaker 1: Everyone's perception of ADP is so different, and it's based
[51:42] Speaker 1: on what you're just generally playing, like what platform you're
[51:45] Speaker 1: generally playing on. And so that's why in the draft guide,
[51:48] Speaker 1: I'm very specific about where this guy's a value. I'm
[51:52] Speaker 1: looking at Yahoo and ESPN mostly as like the two platforms,
[51:55] Speaker 1: because Sleeper at one point was very much being swayed
[51:59] Speaker 1: by Dynasty Value and it was kind of skewing things
[52:01] Speaker 1: like r. J. Harvey was like a fifth round pick,
[52:03] Speaker 1: and it's really hard to you know, like talk about
[52:06] Speaker 1: that and buy into that as a realistic ADP. But
[52:10] Speaker 1: I am leaning into like you know, CBS even and
[52:13] Speaker 1: such and trying to get like a good real feel
[52:16] Speaker 1: of the aggregate because people are best ball brained right now.
[52:20] Speaker 1: I get it. I am too. I get it, Like
[52:22] Speaker 1: I'm not No.
[52:22] Speaker 3: One's magazines out that were published last month right with
[52:28] Speaker 3: rankings that are static, you know.
[52:29] Speaker 1: So I'm trying to be very like deliberate in how
[52:32] Speaker 1: I'm talking about these like targets and avoids and stuff,
[52:34] Speaker 1: and the same thing. That's why I'm showing these ADP
[52:38] Speaker 1: this ADP list that you guys know why I'm coming
[52:40] Speaker 1: to the conclusion that I'm coming So was a Buka
[52:43] Speaker 1: one of the guys last year on this list?
[52:45] Speaker 3: No, it was actually Kenth Walker, Oh was it? Well?
[52:49] Speaker 1: I really screwed up this list last year then, but.
[52:51] Speaker 3: The other three were good. Get I forget who the
[52:56] Speaker 3: other was. All right, who are you to know that
[52:58] Speaker 3: the Eagles offense is going to be terrible?
[53:01] Speaker 1: I know the Eagles did screw me last year, that's
[53:03] Speaker 1: for sure. I had a great season though, So again,
[53:05] Speaker 1: it's one of those things where I can look back
[53:06] Speaker 1: and be like, yeah, they got me, instead of having
[53:09] Speaker 1: to like feel bad about getting that miss getting that l.
[53:13] Speaker 3: Okay, Jalen Wattle, Drake May, DJ Moore, Joe Burrow, David Montgomery,
[53:18] Speaker 3: Tyler Warren, Terry McLaurin, DeAndre Swift, DeVante Adams, All Roads,
[53:23] Speaker 3: Base Shall, Tuton, Jamison Williams, and Jayden Daniels for Round five.
[53:28] Speaker 1: Yeah. Look, I like a lot of guys in this
[53:29] Speaker 1: round two. You know, I wouldn't be taking a quarterback
[53:31] Speaker 1: this early, but I think Tyler Warren's a fun pick
[53:35] Speaker 1: this year, maybe not as early. Terry McLaurin was one
[53:38] Speaker 1: that I almost put as the best value here. I
[53:41] Speaker 1: think that you could easily make that argument. I don't
[53:43] Speaker 1: mind DeAndre Swift this year. I obviously like base Shall Tuton,
[53:47] Speaker 1: DeVante Adams is fine, JMO's fine, But I'm going Jalen
[53:52] Speaker 1: Wattle as my pick at the top of round five.
[53:55] Speaker 1: This is an ambiguous pass catching environment, which is usually
[53:58] Speaker 1: a good thing for wide receivers, where you know you
[54:01] Speaker 1: have Courtland Sutton who's going to play the X, and
[54:03] Speaker 1: you have Jalen Waddle, who you know, like a Mechabuka
[54:06] Speaker 1: will play more of a zerole. Denver's averaging thirty three
[54:09] Speaker 1: and a half past tens per game over their last
[54:11] Speaker 1: two seasons. That's an above average numbers, so you should
[54:13] Speaker 1: get some passing volume in this offense. They ranked ninth
[54:16] Speaker 1: and twelfth in wide receiver target share over the last
[54:19] Speaker 1: two seasons. These are bo nix seasons. Wattle has been
[54:22] Speaker 1: and I said this at the Fantasy Xpo because I
[54:25] Speaker 1: was on a panel and one of the first questions
[54:27] Speaker 1: was just a player that we're targeting this year. I
[54:29] Speaker 1: just decided to go with Waddle. It's not like I
[54:31] Speaker 1: have you know, I mean, I think that I could
[54:33] Speaker 1: consider him my favorite value because I think the upside's
[54:36] Speaker 1: pretty crazy. So we'll see. But what I said on stage,
[54:41] Speaker 1: I'm saying right here is that he's been in two
[54:43] Speaker 1: offenses in his career where there his offense has had
[54:46] Speaker 1: a positive EPA per play. In those two seasons, he
[54:50] Speaker 1: had a two point five to nine and a two
[54:52] Speaker 1: point six y three yards per route run rate, which
[54:55] Speaker 1: is absolutely bonkers. Those are insanely good. Those are like
[54:58] Speaker 1: prime justin Jefferson type numbers. Right now, you get to Denver,
[55:03] Speaker 1: like I said, Sutton plays the X. We saw last
[55:05] Speaker 1: year Troy Franklin played the zero at times, and there
[55:08] Speaker 1: was a stretch I talked to Harmon about this at
[55:10] Speaker 1: the expo. There was a stretch where we were getting,
[55:14] Speaker 1: you know, like like hit up by all these people
[55:16] Speaker 1: saying that Troy Franklin is the wide receiver one in Denver.
[55:19] Speaker 1: And it was true, like he was getting that kind
[55:22] Speaker 1: of volume. He was an ad for me on fifty
[55:23] Speaker 1: transactions all that kind of stuff. But that being said,
[55:26] Speaker 1: like I think they realized, hey, Troy Franklin's not it
[55:29] Speaker 1: right because you know, he doesn't do well off of press.
[55:32] Speaker 1: He's not big enough to do well blocking. And so
[55:36] Speaker 1: I think that's why they spent the capitol that they
[55:38] Speaker 1: spent to get Jalen Wattle this offseason. So he's been
[55:42] Speaker 1: efficient throughout his career. He's now in a really good offense,
[55:45] Speaker 1: one of the better offenses in football, more than likely
[55:48] Speaker 1: should see a strong target share. I think Jalen Wattle
[55:51] Speaker 1: is a very very strong pick this year, especially if
[55:53] Speaker 1: you're getting him in round five.
[55:55] Speaker 3: All right, let's wrap this up, JJ. All Right, as
[56:04] Speaker 3: a reminder, like subscribe, comment on these videos, you get
[56:09] Speaker 3: a newsletter, you got another one coming out today, you
[56:12] Speaker 3: got it behind the scenes one from me coming out
[56:14] Speaker 3: on Friday. We have our new membership over there at
[56:16] Speaker 3: lateround dot com. All the stuff we found at lateround
[56:19] Speaker 3: dot com, including the new merch we talked about prospect Guy,
[56:22] Speaker 3: draft guide and all access membership from a code late
[56:25] Speaker 3: round at DraftKings they had to draft one, get one.
[56:28] Speaker 3: And I also just want to say after the show,
[56:32] Speaker 3: JJ is drafting a best ball team. And during the show,
[56:37] Speaker 3: I got this email. Maybe your co host could follow
[56:40] Speaker 3: you if you didn't jump around all around the show sheet.
[56:44] Speaker 3: JJ is getting blamed for your misspelled mistake. So frustrating.
[56:48] Speaker 3: It is no wonder he couldn't follow, and you don't
[56:50] Speaker 3: even know what a micro sect me sometimes described as
[56:52] Speaker 3: a minimally invasive spine surgery because it requires only a
[56:55] Speaker 3: small incision and the use of microscope or surgical glass.
[56:59] Speaker 3: The surgeon also used. Anyways, is sincerely disappointed. So soone
[57:06] Speaker 3: took the time to write that email.
[57:08] Speaker 1: My favorite part is that there's clearly a copy paste
[57:11] Speaker 1: job with my curtisectamy. We can see the links and stuff.
[57:14] Speaker 1: It's very good, very very good email.
[57:17] Speaker 3: The person that wrote this email is the same person
[57:19] Speaker 3: that will be writing the the email that's in your
[57:21] Speaker 3: late run inbox. It was from Brandon Goadula, So shout
[57:24] Speaker 3: out to Godula our boy JJ.
[57:28] Speaker 1: Final thoughts, uh No, I'm going to going to be
[57:30] Speaker 1: doing a Milli draft right now. So if you guys
[57:33] Speaker 1: are watching, we got a lot of you watching right now,
[57:37] Speaker 1: go click that live stream in the feed.
[57:40] Speaker 3: Or after this ends, it will automatically it'll automatically go.
[57:43] Speaker 1: So I'll just give me a second. I got every
[57:44] Speaker 1: got to get everything set up. But I will be
[57:46] Speaker 1: drafting a Milli team right after this.
[57:48] Speaker 3: All right, So we appreciate everyone that has tuned in
[57:52] Speaker 3: left comments. I appreciate pee trip for this master's hats.
[57:56] Speaker 3: It's nice. So we love you all and we'll see
[57:59] Speaker 3: you next time here on the Late Round Fantasy Football
[58:02] Speaker 3: show sponsored by Drafting Speaks,

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