# 1057: Week 12 Sleepers

An episode of [The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast](https://invisiblenetwork.ai/podcast/1224965828), 20 Nov 2025, 20 min.

Audio: https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/0a233618-d694-4c81-a139-b34e00f98fb1/9e80efa8-d70e-49f7-90a7-b39a010e7404/audio.mp3?utm_source=Podcast&in_playlist=5747cc82-33a9-497c-8353-b34e00f98fbe

It's a tough week to find start-worthy options on the waiver wire, but JJ digs through some quarterback streamers, running back options, and more on this week's sleepers show. Make sure to check out LateRound.com to subscribe to the free newsletter. Want to get weekly and rest-of-season rankings while accessing the amazing Late-Round community on Discord? Become a Late-Round member today. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

## Transcript

[0:02] Speaker 1: This is the last with your host, JJ Zachertha, JJ Zacherson.
[0:11] Speaker 1: What's up everyone, It's JJ Zacharyeson in this episode ten
[0:14] Speaker 1: point fifty seven of the Late Round Fantasy Football podcast.
[0:18] Speaker 1: Thanks for tuning in. As the saying goes, all good
[0:22] Speaker 1: things must come to an end, and my hot streak
[0:24] Speaker 1: with this Sleepers episode mostly ended in Week eleven. Mostly
[0:28] Speaker 1: it actually wasn't like a horrific week, but there were
[0:31] Speaker 1: some spots that were pretty bad, like at quarterback. It
[0:34] Speaker 1: was easily the worst quarterback week of the season. Joe Flacco,
[0:38] Speaker 1: JJ McCarthy, Aaron Rodgers, and Tuatungue Vailoa were all pretty bad.
[0:42] Speaker 1: I did talk about Jacoby Brissett that was good, and
[0:45] Speaker 1: Marcus Mariota was at least usable, but it was a
[0:48] Speaker 1: rough week at quarterback. Running back was actually okay. I'd
[0:51] Speaker 1: actually call it pretty good. The biggest miss was Woody
[0:54] Speaker 1: Marx who couldn't take advantage of a good matchup and
[0:56] Speaker 1: a good workload. But I did talk about Bam Knight,
[0:59] Speaker 1: shot On Tucker went off, Chris Rodriguez was fine, Emmanuel
[1:03] Speaker 1: Wilson he got more work too. That was pretty lucky though,
[1:06] Speaker 1: and then Jelil McLoughlin found the end zone also kind
[1:09] Speaker 1: of lucky, and then at wide receiver it was just fine.
[1:12] Speaker 1: This past week. Wanda Robinson and Quentin Johnston were really
[1:15] Speaker 1: bad calls in that top tier. Tess Johnson didn't do
[1:18] Speaker 1: a thing, but I did call out Trey Tucker, Christian Watson,
[1:21] Speaker 1: Jaden Higgins almost scored double digit PPR points, Matt Collins
[1:24] Speaker 1: was at ten point four, and then Greg Dortch and
[1:27] Speaker 1: Michael Wilson absolutely crushed it tight end very rough. None
[1:32] Speaker 1: of the tight end streamers scored more than Zach Ertz's
[1:35] Speaker 1: eight point two PPR points, and Ertz was a top
[1:38] Speaker 1: tier player, he wasn't even much of a streamer. And
[1:41] Speaker 1: in the defensive streamers they weren't very good either. So
[1:44] Speaker 1: basically the streaming positions they were terrible last week, but
[1:48] Speaker 1: at least running back and wide receiver was decent. Overall,
[1:51] Speaker 1: was like a three to four out of ten kind
[1:53] Speaker 1: of week. Before I'd been hitting like eights and nins consistently.
[1:58] Speaker 1: I'm hoping I can bounce back here in Week twelve.
[2:02] Speaker 1: We'll start with a tier of players who are rostered
[2:04] Speaker 1: in fifty to eighty percent of Yahoo leagues and will
[2:06] Speaker 1: kick things off with a couple of quarterbacks, one of
[2:09] Speaker 1: them is Brock Perdy. The forty nine ers have an
[2:11] Speaker 1: implied team total over twenty seven points this week, and
[2:14] Speaker 1: they get more of a neutral to slightly below average
[2:17] Speaker 1: matchup against the Panthers. I think there's some concern here
[2:20] Speaker 1: for maybe a lack of passing volume for the forty
[2:22] Speaker 1: nine ers, but the San Francisco defense is not playing
[2:25] Speaker 1: well at all right now. They rank bottom ten in
[2:28] Speaker 1: the league in yards per game allowed and EPA per
[2:31] Speaker 1: play allowed, so it may keep the volume up for
[2:34] Speaker 1: the offense regardless, though, as we saw in Week eleven,
[2:37] Speaker 1: Perty can get it done with the weapons that he's got.
[2:40] Speaker 1: Sam Darnald is kind of in a similar spot. They
[2:42] Speaker 1: get Tennessee their big favorites, so you've got to worry
[2:45] Speaker 1: a little bit about the passing volume. And we've seen
[2:47] Speaker 1: Donald hit just twelve pass attempts a couple of weeks
[2:50] Speaker 1: ago against Arizona. But Seattle has a twenty seven point
[2:53] Speaker 1: implied team total. If they do score three or four
[2:56] Speaker 1: offensive touchdowns, a couple of those should from a production standpoint,
[3:00] Speaker 1: through the air, and that means Sam Darnold could be
[3:02] Speaker 1: startable this week. Now moving on to running back wood
[3:06] Speaker 1: he Marx was in a good spot last week, yes,
[3:08] Speaker 1: but he's in a great spot this week. Buffalo has
[3:11] Speaker 1: been awful against running backs this year, rank has the
[3:13] Speaker 1: third best opponent for running backs by justin points allowed.
[3:16] Speaker 1: We saw what Sean Tucker did to them last week.
[3:19] Speaker 1: Marx has now seen a seventy four percent and eighty
[3:22] Speaker 1: six percent running back rush share over his last two games.
[3:25] Speaker 1: And even if this game script goes south for Houston,
[3:28] Speaker 1: which is possible, Marx is the one who would likely
[3:30] Speaker 1: find the field in that negative game script. So I
[3:34] Speaker 1: think he makes a lot of sense this week. If
[3:36] Speaker 1: forro Andre Stevenson his back, I don't think he's that
[3:39] Speaker 1: bad of a play. Like I said on yesterday's ten
[3:41] Speaker 1: Trends episode, I do think Trayvon Henderson has earned his
[3:44] Speaker 1: spot as the one A in that backfield, but we
[3:47] Speaker 1: also have no idea at this point. Stevenson's probably gonna
[3:50] Speaker 1: get some goal line looks too, and they get the
[3:52] Speaker 1: best matchup on paper Cincinnati. The Bengals not only have
[3:56] Speaker 1: allowed the most adjusted fantasy points to running backs, but
[3:59] Speaker 1: teams again Cincinnati have seen their running backs rush for
[4:02] Speaker 1: forty two yards above their season long averages. That's also
[4:06] Speaker 1: worse than the league. As long as Josh Jacobs is
[4:09] Speaker 1: out this week, Emmanuel Wilson, he's a reasonable RB two play.
[4:13] Speaker 1: He saw every running back rush after Jacob's injury last week,
[4:17] Speaker 1: and he had a sixty percent route share the match
[4:19] Speaker 1: up against Minnesota. It's not ideal. They rank as a
[4:22] Speaker 1: bottom ten opponent for running backs by justin points allowed,
[4:25] Speaker 1: but volumes should be there for Emmanuel Wilson as long
[4:28] Speaker 1: as Josh Jacobs is sidelined. If Isaiah Pacheco is out again,
[4:32] Speaker 1: then Kareem Hunt is definitely someone to look at. The
[4:35] Speaker 1: Chiefs have a twenty six and a half point imply
[4:37] Speaker 1: team total. They get an average, maybe slightly below average
[4:40] Speaker 1: matchup this week against the Colts, but Hunt's coming off
[4:43] Speaker 1: a game where he saw every single running back rush
[4:45] Speaker 1: for Kansas City. He had a season high sixty one
[4:48] Speaker 1: percent route share. For as much as I want for
[4:50] Speaker 1: Shard Smith to be more involved, and I think he
[4:52] Speaker 1: should be, we can't deny that usage. I definitely didn't
[4:57] Speaker 1: expect the Giants to keep it as close as they
[4:58] Speaker 1: did last week with the Packers, but it's gonna be
[5:01] Speaker 1: harder for them this week as they go to Detroit.
[5:04] Speaker 1: That means Wandel Robinson is definitely in play. He's had
[5:07] Speaker 1: a thirty one percent target share better in three straight
[5:09] Speaker 1: games and in four of his last five. He's averaging
[5:12] Speaker 1: almost ten targets per game over his last five games. Now,
[5:16] Speaker 1: Detroit's not necessarily an amazing matchup for a slot receiver.
[5:20] Speaker 1: It's more neutral to above average, but you can't ignore
[5:23] Speaker 1: that type of volume. Now, this next one's a little
[5:26] Speaker 1: bit more out there. I'm gonna say Rashid Shahed mostly
[5:30] Speaker 1: because I think there's a chance for a big play.
[5:33] Speaker 1: We may not see that much volume through the air
[5:35] Speaker 1: for Seattle this week, like I just talked about with
[5:37] Speaker 1: Sam Darnold, But Tennessee is bad against perimeter wide receivers
[5:41] Speaker 1: and Shahed he saw twenty five percent slot rate last week.
[5:45] Speaker 1: He mostly played on the outside, and we know that
[5:47] Speaker 1: he's a big play threat. And the Titans they've allowed
[5:50] Speaker 1: the highest completion percentage on deep ball throws this year.
[5:54] Speaker 1: I think there's a risk for very very few points
[5:56] Speaker 1: for Rashid Shaheed, There's no doubt about it. But there's
[5:59] Speaker 1: also some big play potential. Michael Wilson's a very obvious
[6:04] Speaker 1: choice in this tier this week. The Cardinals through the
[6:06] Speaker 1: ball a lot last week, Yes, but he still had
[6:08] Speaker 1: a thirty two percent target share, and now Arizona gainst
[6:12] Speaker 1: a Jacksonville team that's been much worse against perimeter wide
[6:15] Speaker 1: receivers than slot once. They've actually allowed bottom five numbers
[6:18] Speaker 1: to slot wide receivers this year, including the fewest adjusted points.
[6:22] Speaker 1: That's why I'm not quite as high on Greg Dorsch
[6:25] Speaker 1: this week, but Wilson. He only ran fifteen percent of
[6:28] Speaker 1: his routes out of the slot last week. With Marvin
[6:30] Speaker 1: Harrison Junior out once again, Wilson's a very solid play.
[6:35] Speaker 1: Alec Pierce doesn't have the best matchup against Kansas City
[6:37] Speaker 1: this week, but his usage is kind of undeniable at
[6:39] Speaker 1: this point. He's got a twenty six percent target share
[6:42] Speaker 1: per game rate over his last four games that's led
[6:45] Speaker 1: to almost fifteen p per points per game. And for
[6:48] Speaker 1: what it's worth, Kansas City may not allow a ton
[6:50] Speaker 1: of deep balls to be thrown on them, but they've
[6:52] Speaker 1: given up the seventh highest twenty plus air yard completion
[6:55] Speaker 1: rate in football this year. That could help Pierce make
[6:58] Speaker 1: a big play. I think you can go to THEO
[7:02] Speaker 1: Johnson if you're hurting a tight end this week. Now
[7:04] Speaker 1: there's a chance we get a lot of passing volume
[7:07] Speaker 1: from the Giants. No matter who's under center for them
[7:09] Speaker 1: in Detroit, they're just a below average matchup for tight ends. Now.
[7:13] Speaker 1: Johnson had his lowest target share in weeks last week
[7:15] Speaker 1: with Jamis Winston, which does make me a little concerned
[7:18] Speaker 1: if Winston does play right now. I have no idea,
[7:22] Speaker 1: but the volume in this game could make THEO Johnson
[7:25] Speaker 1: a reasonable streamer. And look, last week, he still had
[7:28] Speaker 1: a really solid eighty four percent route chair. This X
[7:33] Speaker 1: group of players consists of guys rostered in twenty to
[7:36] Speaker 1: fifty percent of Yahoo League, so we're digging just a
[7:38] Speaker 1: little bit deeper. Jacoby Brissett in this tier, he's a
[7:42] Speaker 1: really good choice at quarterback in my opinion. Since becoming
[7:45] Speaker 1: the starter for Arizona, he finishes the QB seven, twelve, ten,
[7:48] Speaker 1: nine to four in weekly scoring. He's averaging twenty one
[7:51] Speaker 1: standard Fantasy points per game and he hasn't fallen below
[7:54] Speaker 1: nineteen point four. Now he gets a Jacksonville team that's
[7:58] Speaker 1: given up the seventh most adjusted points to quarterbacks this year. Now,
[8:01] Speaker 1: he may not have Marvin Harrison Junior, but Jacksonville has
[8:04] Speaker 1: been a great matchup for tight ends as well. They've
[8:07] Speaker 1: allowed the second most adjusted Fantasy points to that position
[8:10] Speaker 1: and the eighth highest adjusted target share this Cardinals offense.
[8:14] Speaker 1: They target the tight end position at a higher rate
[8:16] Speaker 1: than any other team. This offense runs through Trey McBride.
[8:20] Speaker 1: That should help Jacoby Brissett in this matchup. Now, at
[8:24] Speaker 1: the time of this recording, I don't know if Jalen
[8:26] Speaker 1: Warren's gonna go this week. If he doesn't go, then
[8:29] Speaker 1: Kenneth Gainwell, he's a very obvious play, but Gameboe could
[8:33] Speaker 1: get some run regardless. In Chicago, they're the seventh best
[8:36] Speaker 1: matchup for running backs by justin points allowed, and they're
[8:38] Speaker 1: giving up the twelfth highest adjusted target share per game two.
[8:42] Speaker 1: So it's a good spot for Steelers running backs in general.
[8:45] Speaker 1: I won't lie. I'm a huge Sean Tucker stand like
[8:48] Speaker 1: dating back to when he came out of college. Seeing
[8:50] Speaker 1: him do what he did last week it was awesome
[8:53] Speaker 1: because I'm a big believer in his talent. And while
[8:55] Speaker 1: I do think we could see him go to like
[8:57] Speaker 1: a sixty sixty five percent running back rush share this week,
[9:00] Speaker 1: maybe even higher. And while I do think he's a
[9:02] Speaker 1: reasonable sleeper to call out this week, which is why
[9:05] Speaker 1: I'm calling him out, I do want to at least
[9:07] Speaker 1: be reasonable about this now. This obviously all assumes that
[9:11] Speaker 1: Bucky Irving is sidelined, but the Buccaneers, they go from
[9:14] Speaker 1: facing the Bills, an awesome matchup, to facing the Rams,
[9:17] Speaker 1: which has become the worst matchup on paper by adjusted
[9:20] Speaker 1: points allowed to running backs. And Tucker he hasn't been
[9:23] Speaker 1: that much of a receiving factor. I know he scored
[9:25] Speaker 1: through the air last week, but he's only had a
[9:27] Speaker 1: twenty two percent route share the last couple of weeks.
[9:31] Speaker 1: So you can play him because it's hard to find
[9:32] Speaker 1: waiver wire running backs right now, just volume on the
[9:35] Speaker 1: waiver wire in general. But I wouldn't set your expectations
[9:39] Speaker 1: amazingly high like last week, Beishall. Tuton suffered an ankle
[9:43] Speaker 1: injury against the Chargers last week, which is unfortunate because
[9:46] Speaker 1: he was seeing more work than Travis Etn for most
[9:49] Speaker 1: of that game. If he's able to go this week,
[9:51] Speaker 1: I don't mind him against Arizona. The Cardinals are a
[9:54] Speaker 1: totally average opponent. Against running backs by justin points allowed,
[9:57] Speaker 1: and Tutin was pacing to have over half of Jackxonville's
[10:00] Speaker 1: running back rushes in that game last week, and he
[10:03] Speaker 1: has the upside of seeing goal line work, so keep
[10:06] Speaker 1: him on your radar if he goes. Just like I
[10:08] Speaker 1: talked about on the fifteen Transaction Show, Taj Spears is
[10:12] Speaker 1: sort of a staple in this tier for me, mostly
[10:14] Speaker 1: because he's gonna get you something each week. That's due
[10:17] Speaker 1: to the fact that Spears has a twelve percent target
[10:19] Speaker 1: chare per game rate over his last five. They get
[10:22] Speaker 1: the Seahawks this week and they're big, big underdogs. Spears
[10:25] Speaker 1: is coming off a game where he ran a round
[10:27] Speaker 1: on over half of the team's dropbacks, so if they trail,
[10:31] Speaker 1: that should benefit Spears. He's played more long down and
[10:34] Speaker 1: distance in two minutes snaps than Tony Pollard since returning
[10:37] Speaker 1: from injury this year. Seattle's also tenth and adjusted target
[10:41] Speaker 1: share allowed to running backs. There's no Mari de Mercado
[10:45] Speaker 1: this week, but Trey Benson's practice window did open, so
[10:48] Speaker 1: maybe he goes. But if not, Bam Knight definitely someone
[10:51] Speaker 1: who could get a decent amount of work. It's not
[10:54] Speaker 1: the easiest matchup against Jacksonville, but the Arizona running back,
[10:57] Speaker 1: the top running back on that team, has averaged almost
[10:59] Speaker 1: three thirteen PPERO points per game over their last six games.
[11:03] Speaker 1: On the projections front, Night would get more of the
[11:06] Speaker 1: early down work, but then Michael Carter he'd be a
[11:08] Speaker 1: deep sleeper, so I'll just call him out here. Carter
[11:11] Speaker 1: ran around on forty nine percent of the team's dropbacks
[11:13] Speaker 1: last week and saw a twelve and a half percent
[11:15] Speaker 1: target share, So we might get some PPR love with
[11:18] Speaker 1: Michael Carter. As long as Trey Benson is out moving
[11:22] Speaker 1: on to wide receiver. It's ugly, it's gross, but Darnel Mooney,
[11:26] Speaker 1: he's got to get a shout with Drake London's sideline
[11:28] Speaker 1: this week. Mooney's been seeing Routchhaars well north of ninety
[11:32] Speaker 1: percent over his last four games, and he's had target
[11:34] Speaker 1: shares of thirty two percent and twenty four percent over
[11:37] Speaker 1: his last two. The production just hasn't been there, but
[11:40] Speaker 1: the usage it has been. Now he gets a Saints
[11:42] Speaker 1: team that's been pretty good at limiting wide receivers in fantasy,
[11:45] Speaker 1: but they've been really above average at stopping slot players
[11:48] Speaker 1: and below average at stopping perimeter once Mooney will go
[11:52] Speaker 1: inside and out, but he'll likely spend more time on
[11:54] Speaker 1: the outside, especially with Drake London out. He's done that
[11:58] Speaker 1: every game this year, so you do worse. I like
[12:02] Speaker 1: Christian Watson again this week. He saw twenty percent of
[12:04] Speaker 1: Green Bay's targets in Week eleven. He's seen his target
[12:07] Speaker 1: share rise each week since coming back from injury. In
[12:10] Speaker 1: Week eight. His row participation rate has been over eighty
[12:14] Speaker 1: percent now in back to back games the Packers. They're
[12:17] Speaker 1: at home against admittedly a tough Minnesota defense for fantasy purposes,
[12:20] Speaker 1: but they've actually given up the second highest completion rate
[12:23] Speaker 1: in football on deep passes this year. Only Tennessee has
[12:26] Speaker 1: been worse. And we know that Christian Watson can get
[12:29] Speaker 1: down the field. Mac Hollins has been getting it done
[12:32] Speaker 1: the last handful of weeks, largely without Kai Shan Boody.
[12:36] Speaker 1: Hollins has seed eleven and a half ppero points per
[12:38] Speaker 1: game over his last four, including a target share per
[12:41] Speaker 1: game rate of about twenty two percent. Kai Shan Boudi, though,
[12:45] Speaker 1: would be my preferred option if he plays this week,
[12:47] Speaker 1: which honestly, it's trending in that direction. The Patriots get
[12:51] Speaker 1: the Bengals, and not only do they have a twenty
[12:53] Speaker 1: eight and a half point implied team total, but Cincinnati
[12:56] Speaker 1: has given up top half numbers to wide receivers this
[12:58] Speaker 1: year by justin points allowed. The Bengals are also allowing
[13:02] Speaker 1: fifty passing yards per game above expected to opposing quarterbacks.
[13:06] Speaker 1: And for the record, I wish I could call out
[13:08] Speaker 1: Hunter Henry on this show, but he's now rostered in
[13:11] Speaker 1: over eighty percent of Yahoo leagues. I guess I'll go
[13:14] Speaker 1: to Tess Johnson in this tier again too. The Rams
[13:17] Speaker 1: are the twelfth best matchup for wide receivers by justin
[13:19] Speaker 1: points allowed, and teams facing LA they generally run three
[13:22] Speaker 1: to four more plays per game than their season long average.
[13:25] Speaker 1: They also tend to see their pass rate increase by
[13:28] Speaker 1: about four percentage points when they face the Rams. One
[13:31] Speaker 1: thing that does scare me is this pressure rate matchup.
[13:34] Speaker 1: It's the toughest one of the week. According to the numbers.
[13:37] Speaker 1: The Rams generate a ton of pressure and the Buccaneers
[13:40] Speaker 1: they have not been great at stopping that at preventing
[13:43] Speaker 1: that pressure. And Johnson He's often used down the field,
[13:46] Speaker 1: so Baker Mayfield may not have time for those plays
[13:49] Speaker 1: to develop. With that being said, Tampa Bay may not
[13:53] Speaker 1: have an easy time running the ball in this game.
[13:55] Speaker 1: That could lead to a lot more volume through the air.
[13:58] Speaker 1: We've seen that in the past with teams against them,
[14:01] Speaker 1: So I don't think Tesz Johnson is a horrible, horrible
[14:03] Speaker 1: play Despite only seeing eleven percent target chairs in back
[14:06] Speaker 1: to back games, I've got no tight ends for you
[14:09] Speaker 1: in this tier, so let's just move on to the
[14:11] Speaker 1: next one. The final group of players consist of guys
[14:15] Speaker 1: rostered and fewer than twenty percent of Yahoo leagues, and
[14:18] Speaker 1: to me, this is the most enjoyable group to research.
[14:21] Speaker 1: Each week, we'll start a quarterback. We'll go with Bryce Young.
[14:25] Speaker 1: As I talked about on the ten Trends episode yesterday,
[14:27] Speaker 1: the Panthers at their best pass rate over expected of
[14:29] Speaker 1: the season in week eleven. Now, I don't know if
[14:32] Speaker 1: that's going to really continue into week twelve and beyond.
[14:35] Speaker 1: What I do know is that the forty nine ers
[14:37] Speaker 1: are a good matchup for Bryce Young. They rank as
[14:39] Speaker 1: the eleventh best matchup by justin Fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks,
[14:43] Speaker 1: and they've given up seventeen passing yards per game to
[14:45] Speaker 1: quarterbacks over expected The forty nine Ers have suffered all
[14:49] Speaker 1: sorts of injuries this year, both on the defensive and
[14:52] Speaker 1: offensive side of the ball, and that's caused them to
[14:54] Speaker 1: give up a lot of fantasy points to quarterbacks over
[14:57] Speaker 1: the last handful of weeks. In fact, since Week five,
[15:00] Speaker 1: quarterbacks are averaging twenty two point two standard fantasy points
[15:03] Speaker 1: per game against the forty nine ers. So maybe Bryce
[15:07] Speaker 1: Young follows up his strong performance from last week with
[15:10] Speaker 1: another good one at running back. I'm gonna go to
[15:13] Speaker 1: Blake Korum. He's now seen a running back rush here
[15:15] Speaker 1: per game rate of forty three percent. Over his last
[15:17] Speaker 1: four He's averaged eleven and a half rush attemps per
[15:20] Speaker 1: game during that time. We want more positive game scripts
[15:23] Speaker 1: for the Rams in order for Quorum to be utilized well.
[15:27] Speaker 1: And La is a six and a half point home
[15:29] Speaker 1: favorite this week against a Bucks team that ranks the
[15:32] Speaker 1: six best opponent for running backs by justin fantasy points allowed,
[15:35] Speaker 1: so quorum works now. Also in this tier Michael Carter,
[15:39] Speaker 1: but I talked about him earlier. We can move past him.
[15:42] Speaker 1: Let's shift to Keaton Mitchell. Baltimore is a thirteen and
[15:45] Speaker 1: a half point home favorite against the Jets. This week,
[15:47] Speaker 1: giving them a twenty nine point implied team total, the
[15:50] Speaker 1: second highest on the slate. If they get ahead in
[15:52] Speaker 1: this game, there's a chance that we see more Keaton Mitchell.
[15:56] Speaker 1: He's seen at least four rush attempts in each of
[15:58] Speaker 1: his last four but Baltimore hasn't played in the games
[16:01] Speaker 1: crypt like they might see in this one, So there's
[16:03] Speaker 1: room for more volume for Mitchell, and we know that
[16:07] Speaker 1: he's capable of generating some big plays at wide receiver.
[16:11] Speaker 1: With Jamar Chase suspended this week, I'd expect andre Yosi
[16:14] Speaker 1: Vash to get a lot more run for this Bengals team,
[16:16] Speaker 1: at least from a volume standpoint. He's already run a
[16:19] Speaker 1: lot of routes. He's seen multiple games this year with
[16:22] Speaker 1: a ninety percent route chair. But there's gonna be more
[16:24] Speaker 1: target shair opportunity because Jamar Chase is sidelined, and we
[16:27] Speaker 1: can pencil in Jamar Chase with like a thirty percent
[16:30] Speaker 1: target shair. The Bengals get a new England team that's
[16:33] Speaker 1: given up the fourth most adjusted Fantasy points to wide
[16:35] Speaker 1: receivers this year, So Yosi Vash not a bad play
[16:38] Speaker 1: at all. The best slot matchup in football is arguably
[16:42] Speaker 1: the one against San Francisco. They've given up the most
[16:44] Speaker 1: fantasy points of slot wide receivers this year. They have
[16:46] Speaker 1: the second highest adjusted slot target share allowed. It's a
[16:49] Speaker 1: great matchup. The player in Carolina who could take advantage
[16:53] Speaker 1: of that matchup this week is Jalen Coker. He's seen
[16:56] Speaker 1: rout chairs above seventy five percent in each of his
[16:59] Speaker 1: last four games. His slot rate often covers the sixty
[17:02] Speaker 1: percent mark. Like I said with Bryce Young, it's a
[17:05] Speaker 1: good spot for this Panthers passing attack, and maybe Jalen
[17:09] Speaker 1: Coker can take advantage. Luther Burden has the best per
[17:12] Speaker 1: route numbers of any qualified player on the Bears, and
[17:16] Speaker 1: he's starting to see more work. He had a route
[17:18] Speaker 1: chair of sixty one percent this past week that led
[17:20] Speaker 1: to a season high eighteen percent target chair. Now he
[17:24] Speaker 1: gets a Steelers secondary that ranks as the second best
[17:26] Speaker 1: matchup for wide receivers this year by justin fantasy points allowed.
[17:30] Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's giving up fifty one passing yards over expected per
[17:33] Speaker 1: game this year. So Luther Burden's in a pretty nice spot.
[17:37] Speaker 1: And then if you wasn't even deeper play. The last
[17:40] Speaker 1: time we saw the Saints Devon Vylay had a one
[17:43] Speaker 1: hundred percent route share. He hadn't been above the fifty
[17:46] Speaker 1: percent mark all year, but in week ten he was
[17:48] Speaker 1: at one hundred percent. The Saints also just released Brandon
[17:51] Speaker 1: Cooks on Wednesday, so Veyley he looks like the number
[17:54] Speaker 1: two guy in that offense right now. Atlanta's at the
[17:57] Speaker 1: best matchup in the world, but they're now middle of
[17:59] Speaker 1: the road and adjust fantasy points allowed to wide receivers.
[18:02] Speaker 1: With his route share, you might find some usability with
[18:06] Speaker 1: Veyle aj Barner had awesome peripherals last week twenty six
[18:11] Speaker 1: percent target share, eleven targets and a season high eighty
[18:15] Speaker 1: percent route chair. The Seahawks also threw it more than
[18:19] Speaker 1: they typically throw it, but tight end's really really tough
[18:22] Speaker 1: this week, and those peripherals, if they were to continue,
[18:25] Speaker 1: they can work in most matchups. That's really what this
[18:28] Speaker 1: is about. I don't think Barner is something that's going
[18:30] Speaker 1: to do what he did last week again this week,
[18:33] Speaker 1: but he could be used as a bye week fill
[18:35] Speaker 1: in if need be. After all, Seattle's projected to score
[18:38] Speaker 1: a lot of points at defense this week. I really
[18:42] Speaker 1: do like Vegas Shador Sanders is going to start for Cleveland,
[18:45] Speaker 1: and in his outing last week, he posted the second
[18:48] Speaker 1: lowest completion rate over expected of any quarterback this year.
[18:52] Speaker 1: It's a low total game and Vegas is playing at home,
[18:56] Speaker 1: but there's also Jacksonville against Arizona. I don't mind the
[18:58] Speaker 1: Jags in that spot, and they're Chicago against Pittsburgh. And
[19:02] Speaker 1: I even think that you could use New Orleans this
[19:04] Speaker 1: week against Kirk Cousins and the Falcons. So those are
[19:07] Speaker 1: my four streaming defenses for you this week. That's gonna
[19:11] Speaker 1: do it for today's show, though. Thanks to all of
[19:12] Speaker 1: you for listening. If you get subscribed to the Late
[19:14] Speaker 1: Round Fantasy Football podcast, make sure you are bestworting for
[19:17] Speaker 1: it pretty much anywhere podcasts can be found, and don't
[19:19] Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter and on Blue Sky at Late
[19:22] Speaker 1: Round QB. Thanks for listening everyone. I'll catch you tomorrow
[19:25] Speaker 1: with the weekly Mailbag show.

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