# 1105: Market Score 2.0

An episode of [The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast](https://invisiblenetwork.ai/podcast/1224965828), 23 Jun 2026, 20 min.

Audio: https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/0a233618-d694-4c81-a139-b34e00f98fb1/2e063c8c-3a49-43cd-9df5-b47100e5f9ff/audio.mp3?utm_source=Podcast&in_playlist=5747cc82-33a9-497c-8353-b34e00f98fbe

A few weeks ago, JJ introduced listeners to a new concept called Market Score. After some feedback, he's back for a new — and hopefully final — iteration of the metric. Make sure to check out LateRound.com to pre-order the 2026 Draft Guide. And while you're there, become a member! The new Members Hub is the place for rankings and tiers, data dumps, and more. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

## Transcript

[0:02] Speaker 1: This is the Label Podcast with your host JJ Zacheratha
[0:06] Speaker 1: j J zacher reefon What's up everyone, It's JJ Zacharyesen
[0:14] Speaker 1: in this episode eleven oh five of the Late Round
[0:16] Speaker 1: Fantasy Football podcast.
[0:18] Speaker 2: Thanks for tuning.
[0:19] Speaker 1: In. A few weeks ago, I introduced a new metric
[0:22] Speaker 1: to you guys called market score. It's something that Brandon
[0:25] Speaker 1: Goaduela and I we've been working on for a couple
[0:27] Speaker 1: of months and it felt like it was in the
[0:29] Speaker 1: right place to share with you. As I mentioned on
[0:32] Speaker 1: that episode, it was still a work in progress. We
[0:34] Speaker 1: still had some things that we wanted to add and
[0:36] Speaker 1: change that we didn't know how major those changes would be.
[0:40] Speaker 1: Turns out, we needed some relatively big changes. After that
[0:44] Speaker 1: episode was published, I received a lot of messages of
[0:46] Speaker 1: confusion from people. Listeners didn't quite get what we were
[0:50] Speaker 1: trying to do, and that's a problem. One of the
[0:52] Speaker 1: hardest parts of my job is being able to communicate
[0:55] Speaker 1: ideas that aren't always easy to communicate, and I want
[0:57] Speaker 1: to do a better job with that when it comes
[0:59] Speaker 1: to markets score. So Brandon and I went back into
[1:02] Speaker 1: the lab and we've emerged with a different type of
[1:04] Speaker 1: way to talk about market Score, and that's what I'm
[1:07] Speaker 1: going to talk about today, and I'll be able to
[1:09] Speaker 1: provide more concrete examples of who the metric likes and
[1:12] Speaker 1: dislikes here in twenty twenty six before get into that, though,
[1:16] Speaker 1: as a reminder, all of this market score stuff, along
[1:19] Speaker 1: with game theory talk, strategy talk, rankings and tiers and more,
[1:23] Speaker 1: are all in this year's Late Round Draft Guide that's
[1:26] Speaker 1: available for pre.
[1:27] Speaker 2: Order right now on the new Lateround dot com.
[1:30] Speaker 1: Or you can become an all access member on the
[1:32] Speaker 1: site where you also get free access to the Draft
[1:35] Speaker 1: Guide and the Prospect Guide as well.
[1:37] Speaker 2: As just becoming a member.
[1:38] Speaker 1: It's all up to you, but to learn more, check
[1:41] Speaker 1: out lateround dot com. Now, if you didn't listen to
[1:45] Speaker 1: the market Score episode from a few weeks ago, no worries.
[1:48] Speaker 1: You don't need to go back and listen to it.
[1:50] Speaker 1: In fact, you might be more confused if you do that. Basically,
[1:54] Speaker 1: the idea of market score stems from the Zap Model.
[1:57] Speaker 1: As you guys know by now, the ZAP model is
[1:58] Speaker 1: my prospect model that looks at different collegiate inputs to
[2:01] Speaker 1: determine how well a player's going to perform in fantasy
[2:03] Speaker 1: football across the first three years of his NFL career.
[2:07] Speaker 1: A central piece of that model is draft capital, or
[2:11] Speaker 1: where a player gets selected in the NFL draft. Draft
[2:14] Speaker 1: capital captures a lot of things that we should care
[2:17] Speaker 1: about for fantasy purposes, and it's pretty predictive when we'll
[2:20] Speaker 1: get how well a player performs in the NFL.
[2:23] Speaker 2: No surprise there. The higher a player.
[2:25] Speaker 1: Gets drafted, generally speaking, the better he's going to perform
[2:28] Speaker 1: in fantasy. When I sat back and thought about it,
[2:31] Speaker 1: I've realized that I've kind of been doing the exact
[2:33] Speaker 1: same thing as the ZAP model, but for season long leagues.
[2:36] Speaker 2: For years, I just didn't have a model for it.
[2:40] Speaker 2: Let me explain.
[2:41] Speaker 1: If you've read previous iterations of the Late Round Draft Guide,
[2:44] Speaker 1: or even if you've just listened to this podcast, then
[2:47] Speaker 1: you've read all of my analysis on average draft position expectation,
[2:51] Speaker 1: or how many points we'd expect a player to score
[2:54] Speaker 1: at a particular ADP. Essentially, when you do some regression analysis,
[2:58] Speaker 1: you can find the number of points you'd anticipate a
[3:01] Speaker 1: player to score based on where he's drafted. A wide
[3:04] Speaker 1: receiver picked fiftieth overall might be projected to score thirteen
[3:07] Speaker 1: pper points per game all based on history, so one
[3:11] Speaker 1: seventieth overall might be at like eleven, and that's just
[3:15] Speaker 1: based on what's happened historically. So right now here in
[3:19] Speaker 1: twenty twenty six, based on current ADP we can estimate
[3:23] Speaker 1: a player's pper points per game output.
[3:25] Speaker 2: It's a way to use the market in.
[3:27] Speaker 1: Order to get a general understanding of how many points
[3:29] Speaker 1: per game a player might score. So we have average
[3:33] Speaker 1: draft position for season long leagues, then we have draft
[3:36] Speaker 1: capital for prospecting purposes. Those are both market values for
[3:40] Speaker 1: season long leagues. ADP is telling us what the general
[3:43] Speaker 1: fantasy football market thinks about a player for the NFL draft.
[3:46] Speaker 1: In the NFL itself, draft capital is telling us what
[3:49] Speaker 1: the NFL thinks about a player. Now, as we know,
[3:53] Speaker 1: the ZAP model then takes that draft capital input and
[3:56] Speaker 1: it finds a score for a prospect based on additional
[3:59] Speaker 1: inputs like a just at total yards per team play
[4:01] Speaker 1: or breakout score for market score. We're going to do
[4:05] Speaker 1: the exact same thing, but instead of looking at collegiate metrics,
[4:08] Speaker 1: we'll be looking at previous season numbers aside from rookies,
[4:12] Speaker 1: where we will actually lean on some of those college metrics.
[4:16] Speaker 1: Market score isn't going to show you how many points
[4:18] Speaker 1: above or below expected you should expect a player to perform.
[4:21] Speaker 1: We ran into some issues when describing market score that
[4:24] Speaker 1: way because expected points per game and relating back to
[4:27] Speaker 1: expected points per game was kind of confusing people. Instead,
[4:31] Speaker 1: we're quite literally going to be looking at market score
[4:33] Speaker 1: the same way we look at the ZAP model, on
[4:35] Speaker 1: a scale from zero to one hundred.
[4:38] Speaker 2: Just like the ZAP model. We can do some cool.
[4:40] Speaker 1: Things with this, like showing how many points per game
[4:43] Speaker 1: we'd expect the player to score given his market score,
[4:45] Speaker 1: or telling you what overall ADP we'd give the player
[4:49] Speaker 1: to break even, essentially telling you where he probably should
[4:52] Speaker 1: be drafted. We can find player comps too, which is
[4:56] Speaker 1: one of my favorite ways to use this metric, and
[5:00] Speaker 1: this is just based off of a player's current ADP
[5:02] Speaker 1: and some previous season metrics that give that ADP more signal.
[5:07] Speaker 1: You can honestly think about market scores a formulaic way
[5:10] Speaker 1: to rank players. Now, I won't be ranking my players
[5:12] Speaker 1: that way, but market score will be part of my
[5:14] Speaker 1: process when I do rank players.
[5:17] Speaker 2: Now, something we ran.
[5:18] Speaker 1: Into in developing this metric is just how scattered late
[5:21] Speaker 1: round picks are. There's almost no correlation between ADP and
[5:24] Speaker 1: actual points per game for late round selections, so using
[5:28] Speaker 1: a formula might not be very helpful for those players.
[5:32] Speaker 1: With that being said, late round quarterbacks and late round
[5:35] Speaker 1: tight ends they're very important to the game of fantasy football.
[5:38] Speaker 1: Because quarterbacks and tight ends they're low in demand positions,
[5:41] Speaker 1: we can't just ignore them. We decided that the players
[5:45] Speaker 1: who would receive market scores would be any quarterback or
[5:48] Speaker 1: tight end drafted in the top one eighty, which is
[5:50] Speaker 1: the top fifteen rounds of a twelve team league. For
[5:53] Speaker 1: running backs and wide receivers, where far more of them
[5:56] Speaker 1: are drafted early. We cap things at pick one hundred
[5:59] Speaker 1: and twenty overall, so if a player falls out of
[6:02] Speaker 1: those ranges, he will not have a market score. So
[6:05] Speaker 1: non dart throw players get scores between zero and one hundred.
[6:09] Speaker 1: A score of like three doesn't mean the players undraftable
[6:13] Speaker 1: like it does with the ZAP model, because remember we're
[6:16] Speaker 1: dealing with top ten round picks for running backs and
[6:18] Speaker 1: wide receivers.
[6:19] Speaker 2: With that being said, we can definitely say, hey.
[6:22] Speaker 1: Historically, players with a score of three have done X, Y,
[6:25] Speaker 1: Z and PPR points per game. In essence, market score
[6:28] Speaker 1: is giving us more context for player evaluation, and it's
[6:31] Speaker 1: leveraging the market to do so that's really what this
[6:34] Speaker 1: comes down to. And since we reformatted everything, including some
[6:38] Speaker 1: of the inputs in the model, let's talk about what
[6:41] Speaker 1: market score is saying here in twenty twenty six. I
[6:44] Speaker 1: can look at market score right now and tell you
[6:46] Speaker 1: who it's generally higher or lower on this year. I'll
[6:48] Speaker 1: give you one player it's higher or lower on versus
[6:51] Speaker 1: the market at quarterback and tight end, and then two
[6:53] Speaker 1: of them at running back and wide receiver, and we'll
[6:56] Speaker 1: talk about some player comps to really help wrap your
[6:58] Speaker 1: head around what's going on here. At quarterback, market score
[7:02] Speaker 1: is very high on Jalen Hurts. In fact, Hurts is
[7:05] Speaker 1: the second highest market score at the moment, barely ahead
[7:08] Speaker 1: of Lamar Jackson. His score is seventy one point eight,
[7:11] Speaker 1: which gives him honestly about a fifty percent chance to
[7:13] Speaker 1: score twenty or more points per game this year. Josh Allen,
[7:17] Speaker 1: by the way, he's at a score of one hundred
[7:19] Speaker 1: given what he did last year and where he's being
[7:22] Speaker 1: drafted this year. But Jalen Hurts looks like one of
[7:25] Speaker 1: the bigger values according to the metric right now, and
[7:28] Speaker 1: I want to reiterate a couple of things here. First,
[7:30] Speaker 1: this score can and will change. Average draft position is
[7:34] Speaker 1: the baseline of this metric, So if a player's ADP increases,
[7:38] Speaker 1: that's telling us that there's something more to be desired
[7:41] Speaker 1: about that player's profile because the market wants him more,
[7:44] Speaker 1: so his market score is going to get better. Second, please, please, please,
[7:49] Speaker 1: don't think this is how I'm ranking players. I do
[7:52] Speaker 1: not have Jalen Hurts as my QB two, but I
[7:55] Speaker 1: do think it's an interesting way to be a little
[7:56] Speaker 1: bit more objective with our processes, to ask more questions,
[8:00] Speaker 1: and it tried not to be two high or too
[8:02] Speaker 1: low on certain players. Really this exact same way that
[8:05] Speaker 1: I talked about the ZAP model. Jalen Hurts has some
[8:08] Speaker 1: really interesting comps. Though. The way comps are created for
[8:11] Speaker 1: market score is by looking at a player's market score obviously,
[8:14] Speaker 1: but also his overall ADP, his positional rank, and then
[8:17] Speaker 1: his career year. Those are all wid based on importance,
[8:20] Speaker 1: so career year gets less importance for the similarity score
[8:24] Speaker 1: than some of the other metrics do. Now, admittedly Jalen
[8:27] Speaker 1: Hurts doesn't have a ton of super close comps. His
[8:29] Speaker 1: closest one is a similarity score of eighty two point three.
[8:33] Speaker 1: A lot of players have multiple guys above ninety, But
[8:37] Speaker 1: that top comp for Jalen Hurts is unfortunately Kyler Murray
[8:40] Speaker 1: from two years ago, which honestly pretty fair. I was
[8:44] Speaker 1: high on Murray that year, as was the market. It's
[8:47] Speaker 1: a mobile quarterback who was in year six of his
[8:49] Speaker 1: NFL career and he had almost identical overall ADP. Murray
[8:54] Speaker 1: scored about seventeen standard Fantasy points per game that year.
[8:57] Speaker 2: That was a huge bummer, so it's a little scary
[8:59] Speaker 2: for her.
[9:00] Speaker 1: But within this ten player comp sample, we also get
[9:03] Speaker 1: multiple twenty plus point per game players like Joe Burrow
[9:06] Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four, Cam Newton in twenty eighteen, Drew
[9:09] Speaker 1: Brees in twenty eighteen, Russell Wilson in twenty seventeen, and
[9:13] Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson in twenty twenty. In total, it's a pretty
[9:16] Speaker 1: good outcome for Jalen Hurts. Now, on the flip side,
[9:20] Speaker 1: market score still really does not like Matthew Stafford like
[9:23] Speaker 1: far more than I do. But Stafford's the QB twelve
[9:26] Speaker 1: according to the ADP that we're using right now in
[9:29] Speaker 1: market Score has him as a low end QB two.
[9:31] Speaker 1: That's definitely not where i'd rank him, like I said,
[9:34] Speaker 1: but it's seeing the touchdown rate regression that I've been
[9:36] Speaker 1: talking about on the show, which is something the market
[9:39] Speaker 1: usually doesn't factor in enough. It actually only gives him,
[9:42] Speaker 1: based on historical results, about an eleven percent chance to
[9:45] Speaker 1: score eighteen or more points per game this year, which
[9:48] Speaker 1: again I don't subjectively agree with, and the model is
[9:52] Speaker 1: not going to be perfect to me. It's just a
[9:54] Speaker 1: way of saying that market Score is not a big
[9:56] Speaker 1: fan of Matthew Stafford, and funny enough, Matthew Stafford his
[10:00] Speaker 1: top two comps are also Matthew Stafford. It's the twenty
[10:04] Speaker 1: twenty two season where he scored just twelve points per game,
[10:06] Speaker 1: and then his twenty twenty season where he was at
[10:08] Speaker 1: about sixteen. One thing I'll say about Stafford though, is
[10:13] Speaker 1: that the comps really don't know exactly what to do
[10:15] Speaker 1: with him. His top one has a seventy two point
[10:18] Speaker 1: six similarity. That's not high at all. That's probably one
[10:21] Speaker 1: of the things that hold on to if I were
[10:23] Speaker 1: really into Stafford this year. Now moving on to tight end,
[10:27] Speaker 1: market Score is literally obsessed with Brock Bauers like it
[10:31] Speaker 1: thinks that he should comfortably be a first round pick.
[10:34] Speaker 1: It's got a pretty big gap between Bowers and Trey
[10:37] Speaker 1: McBride too. Tight End looks at a lot of factors
[10:40] Speaker 1: in the model and one of them is wide receiver
[10:42] Speaker 1: competition score. That's a huge reason that Bowers has looked
[10:46] Speaker 1: at so favorably. We know the wide receivers on that
[10:49] Speaker 1: Raiders team they're lacking in a big way, and that
[10:52] Speaker 1: score is driven by the ADPs of those players. But
[10:55] Speaker 1: like you look at Bauers comps and they're amazing. His
[10:59] Speaker 1: top one is twenty two, twenty five Tray McBride. We
[11:01] Speaker 1: know how that worked out, almost nineteen pper points per
[11:04] Speaker 1: game and a league winning type pick. McBride had a
[11:08] Speaker 1: slightly lower ADP, but he had a perfect market score,
[11:11] Speaker 1: which is what we're looking at with Bowers right now.
[11:14] Speaker 1: And it pains me to say this, but Colston Loveland
[11:16] Speaker 1: is not beloved by market Score. Honestly, the Bears pass catchers,
[11:20] Speaker 1: they're iffy in general according to this metric, and it's
[11:23] Speaker 1: because of the competition factor, which I think deep down
[11:27] Speaker 1: that's everyone's concern in some way, right that instead of
[11:30] Speaker 1: just one or two of these players emerging, all three
[11:32] Speaker 1: of them Loveland, Luther, Burden, Romadunza, each of them have
[11:36] Speaker 1: pretty good seasons, but.
[11:37] Speaker 2: They're not able to totally live up to ADP.
[11:41] Speaker 1: I'm the kind of fantasy manager who wants to bet
[11:43] Speaker 1: on some of these players to emerge, because that's where
[11:46] Speaker 1: ceiling outcomes could really hit. But I do think Loveland's
[11:50] Speaker 1: forty nine point one score, which is one point below
[11:52] Speaker 1: Tyler Warrens right now, it's reflecting that it's a way
[11:56] Speaker 1: for us to stay grounded with our evaluation, even if
[11:59] Speaker 1: we don't blindly follow that score. Now, let's go to
[12:02] Speaker 1: running back Jamier Gibbs, b John Robinson, and Christian McCaffrey.
[12:05] Speaker 1: They all look like smashes according to market Score. But
[12:09] Speaker 1: then there's also Ashton Genty. He's got the fourth best
[12:12] Speaker 1: market score among all running backs. He's looked at as
[12:15] Speaker 1: the RB four, partially because he's young, he's a stud,
[12:19] Speaker 1: and he had volume last year, but also because of
[12:22] Speaker 1: what I said with Bowers, there's opportunity for him to
[12:25] Speaker 1: be the central piece of this offense and market Score
[12:27] Speaker 1: is recognizing that genty's top comp is Eddie Lacy in
[12:31] Speaker 1: twenty fourteen, his second year in the league, where he
[12:34] Speaker 1: scored seventeen PPR points per game. People forget that Lacy
[12:38] Speaker 1: was actually really valuable for the first two seasons of
[12:40] Speaker 1: his career in fantasy football. And then genty's other top comp,
[12:44] Speaker 1: which is a similarity score of ninety, is Ezekiel Elliott.
[12:47] Speaker 2: In twenty seventeen.
[12:49] Speaker 1: Z scored almost twenty one PPR points per game that year,
[12:52] Speaker 1: his second year in the NFL. There's a very real
[12:56] Speaker 1: chance I'll be even higher on genty after digging into
[12:59] Speaker 1: his market score. Another player to call out favorably is
[13:02] Speaker 1: a Marion Hampton. Market Score loves these year two backs,
[13:06] Speaker 1: Hampton being one of them. Hampton has a lot of
[13:09] Speaker 1: close market score comps, like Dalvin Cook in twenty eighteen
[13:12] Speaker 1: when he scored just fourteen PPER points per game. There's
[13:15] Speaker 1: also Kareem Hunt in twenty eighteen as a second year
[13:17] Speaker 1: player when he posted twenty one. And then he gets
[13:21] Speaker 1: some Miles Sanders, Juo Bernard, Christian McCaffrey, and Jamior Gibbs
[13:24] Speaker 1: all in their second seasons too, So there are some
[13:27] Speaker 1: good upside comps. But even a player like Sanders, he's
[13:31] Speaker 1: not a tremendous talent, but he still gave us RB
[13:33] Speaker 1: two numbers. I think the comps for Hampton tell a
[13:37] Speaker 1: story that his floor isn't as scary as you might think,
[13:39] Speaker 1: but there's really a fun ceiling. Now on the flip
[13:42] Speaker 1: side at running back, I want to first call out
[13:44] Speaker 1: that the first iteration seemed to really like Kyle Manungai
[13:47] Speaker 1: and Blake Korm the first iteration of market Score, this
[13:50] Speaker 1: one doesn't. Things were changing the inputs. I just want
[13:54] Speaker 1: to call that out and correct myself. But market Score
[13:57] Speaker 1: is not the biggest fan either of Jadarium Price. He's
[14:00] Speaker 1: got a score of twenty four point three, which is
[14:03] Speaker 1: more in line with someone like Ramandre Stevenson or Kenneth
[14:05] Speaker 1: Gainwell than in is Ba Shall Tuton or quin Shawn Judkins,
[14:08] Speaker 1: which is where he goes around. There's some market related
[14:11] Speaker 1: trends that don't mind Genarian Price, but for rookies in
[14:14] Speaker 1: market Score, the ZAP model naturally is a big input.
[14:18] Speaker 1: And while Price wasn't terrible within the ZAP model thanks
[14:21] Speaker 1: to Teammates Scorer, he definitely wasn't great. Price's top comp
[14:25] Speaker 1: in market scores another rookie in Carrie on Johnson, who
[14:27] Speaker 1: actually wasn't that bad at thirteen point nine PPR points
[14:30] Speaker 1: per game, But then you get Bishop Sanke, JK. Dobbins, TJ. Yelden.
[14:35] Speaker 1: He doesn't have any true sealing outcomes among the top
[14:38] Speaker 1: ten on his comp list, more of like solid RB
[14:41] Speaker 1: twos as a high end outcome, which is to be
[14:44] Speaker 1: expected as a rookie, but that does say that he
[14:47] Speaker 1: might be a little bit overvalued. Tony Pollard's the other
[14:51] Speaker 1: player to call out here. His market score is eighteen
[14:53] Speaker 1: point five, which is close to ric o'dowdell and not
[14:56] Speaker 1: that far away from like Rashad White, who's going thirty
[14:58] Speaker 1: picks later. Pollard's top comps are legitimately frightening their older
[15:04] Speaker 1: backs who were still holding on to dcent ADPs, but
[15:07] Speaker 1: they failed to reach even ten p PUER points per game
[15:09] Speaker 1: in that given season. Nick Chubb in twenty twenty four,
[15:12] Speaker 1: Latavius Murray in twenty nineteen, Devin Singletary in twenty twenty four,
[15:15] Speaker 1: Maurice Jones Drew in twenty fourteen. He eventually gets a
[15:19] Speaker 1: good comp in Fred Jackson back in twenty fourteen and
[15:21] Speaker 1: David Montgomery and twenty twenty three. But I've said it
[15:25] Speaker 1: before and I'll say it again. Tony Pollard scares me
[15:28] Speaker 1: this year. I know he doesn't have the toughest competition
[15:31] Speaker 1: in the world, but I think there's plenty of variance
[15:33] Speaker 1: with his profile, like he should be one tier down
[15:37] Speaker 1: versus going around players like Ramandre Stevenson and Jalen Warren.
[15:41] Speaker 1: So that's running back. Let's finish things up with wide receiver.
[15:45] Speaker 1: Market Score really likes the top of the position this year.
[15:48] Speaker 1: Nico Collins is probably one to call out, specifically because
[15:51] Speaker 1: his score of seventy four point three is actually higher
[15:53] Speaker 1: than Drake London's, which is sixty seven point five.
[15:58] Speaker 2: Nico's top comp is.
[15:59] Speaker 1: Twenty four fourteen's Jordy Nelson, where he scored nineteen point
[16:03] Speaker 1: six PPR points per game. Three of his top four
[16:06] Speaker 1: comps hit seventeen and a half PPR points per game.
[16:09] Speaker 1: It's a really good spot for Nico overall. A little
[16:13] Speaker 1: bit further down the list, I've had a really hard
[16:16] Speaker 1: time ranking like the round three to round five wide
[16:19] Speaker 1: receivers this year because.
[16:20] Speaker 2: I just really like all of them.
[16:22] Speaker 1: But I've got to say, market Score likes Ttereroa McMillan
[16:25] Speaker 1: more than I expected. Not that I think he's a
[16:28] Speaker 1: questionable talent at all anything, but the dude is a stud.
[16:32] Speaker 1: The situation is just very scary, given how little they
[16:35] Speaker 1: throw the ball and how strong Bryce Young has been
[16:37] Speaker 1: as a passer. But t Mac friend of the show.
[16:40] Speaker 1: By the way, t Mac has a score of sixty
[16:42] Speaker 1: two point eight, which is slightly ahead of a Mecca Abuka.
[16:46] Speaker 1: You could throw him in the exact same bucket. And
[16:48] Speaker 1: because these comps are looking at market Score overall ADP,
[16:52] Speaker 1: positional rank, and career year, both te Mac and Abuka
[16:56] Speaker 1: share a lot of the same comps. They basically share
[16:59] Speaker 1: identical comps, and that includes their top one, which.
[17:02] Speaker 2: Is year two Juju Smith Schuster.
[17:05] Speaker 1: That year, Juju scored seventeen point six PPR points per game. Now,
[17:11] Speaker 1: if you look at the bad side at wide receiver,
[17:13] Speaker 1: I think the most obvious callout is Mike Evans. I
[17:16] Speaker 1: don't hate Mike Evans as much as market score does,
[17:19] Speaker 1: mostly because I think the fit in San Francisco could
[17:22] Speaker 1: make him this year's DeVante Adams with maybe even more
[17:25] Speaker 1: yardage upside. But I definitely see the downside which is
[17:29] Speaker 1: why I'm not overweight on Evans right now. In Best Ball,
[17:32] Speaker 1: Evans has a market score of twenty nine point eight.
[17:35] Speaker 1: That's more in line with like Quentin Johnston like, it's
[17:38] Speaker 1: very low for where Evans generally goes. Some of you
[17:42] Speaker 1: were gonna hate hearing this, but his top comp and
[17:44] Speaker 1: market score by far is Alan Robinson's twenty twenty two.
[17:49] Speaker 1: That was the year that Robinson changed teams just like
[17:51] Speaker 1: Evans did, and he went to the Rams and he
[17:53] Speaker 1: was just a massive, massive bust. Now, I really really
[17:57] Speaker 1: don't think that we're gonna see that outcome from Mike Evans.
[18:00] Speaker 1: And we did get a couple of good top ten
[18:01] Speaker 1: comps for Evans, like Emmanuel Sanders and twenty eighteen, but
[18:05] Speaker 1: it just goes to show how valadle this situation is
[18:08] Speaker 1: given where you're drafting him.
[18:10] Speaker 2: And then the last player I'm gonna call out is
[18:12] Speaker 2: Matthew Golden.
[18:13] Speaker 1: I bought into Golden and Best Ball because his cost
[18:15] Speaker 1: is pretty cheap. But even at that price tag, which
[18:18] Speaker 1: is close to a wide receiver fifty one hundred and
[18:20] Speaker 1: seventeenth overall according to the ADP that we're looking at
[18:23] Speaker 1: for market score at that price tag, he's got a
[18:26] Speaker 1: market score of one, largely because he didn't do anything
[18:30] Speaker 1: last year, and he's obviously got competition based on ADP
[18:33] Speaker 1: and Christian Watson, Jaden Reid, and Tucker Craft. Golden's top
[18:37] Speaker 1: comp by far is sky Moore's year two. There was
[18:41] Speaker 1: some hope for more coming off of a bad rookie season,
[18:43] Speaker 1: but it just didn't develop. If you want a more
[18:46] Speaker 1: optimistic look for Matthew Golden, it's Jamison Williams in twenty
[18:49] Speaker 1: twenty four as a third year player, maybe Michael Gallup
[18:52] Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen as a year two player, But neither
[18:55] Speaker 1: of those guys were league winners. And they're the only
[18:58] Speaker 1: two players in Matthew Golden's top ten accomplist who scored
[19:01] Speaker 1: more than nine PPR points per game. I'm not quite
[19:05] Speaker 1: there with Golden, but it should bring you back to
[19:07] Speaker 1: earth a bit if.
[19:08] Speaker 2: You're buying heavily.
[19:10] Speaker 1: Now, Like I said, all of this is just another
[19:12] Speaker 1: tool to help us get closer to the right answers.
[19:15] Speaker 1: You don't have to blindly agree. Similarly, you don't have
[19:18] Speaker 1: to blindly agree with the ZAP model and what that says.
[19:21] Speaker 1: Context is always key, but this version of market score
[19:25] Speaker 1: the one that we're using moving forward. It's more predictive
[19:28] Speaker 1: than average rap position and it should be helpful on
[19:31] Speaker 1: our journey to winning a fantasy title. That's it for
[19:34] Speaker 1: today's show, though thanks to Alvy for listening. If you
[19:36] Speaker 1: had subscribed to the Late Round Fantasy Football podcast, make
[19:39] Speaker 1: sure you are best urging for it pretty much anywhere
[19:41] Speaker 1: podcasts can be found, and don't follow me on Twitter
[19:44] Speaker 1: and on Blue Sky at Late Round QB.
[19:47] Speaker 2: Thanks for listening everyone.
[19:48] Speaker 1: I'll be back on Wednesday on the YouTube channel with
[19:50] Speaker 1: David Kitchen for the Late Round Fantasy Football Show.
[19:53] Speaker 2: And then this week it's a.
[19:54] Speaker 1: Mailbag week, so I got a mailbag episode for you
[19:57] Speaker 1: dropping on Friday.
[19:58] Speaker 2: I'll talk to you guys then

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